• Welcome to the new Internet Infidels Discussion Board, formerly Talk Freethought.

Redistricting for the US House and the US state legislatures

What Redistricting Looks Like In Every State | FiveThirtyEight now has Oregon's new Congressional districts.

One can see in it a division between two of Colin Woodard's American nations: Democratic-leaning Left Coast and Republican-leaning Far West, with a split roughly at the Cascade mountain range.

Upcoming deadlines for states with proposed maps: AR, CO, IA, ID, IN, MD, ME, NE, NY, (OR), TX
  • ME: Sept. 30, 2021 - Deadline for commission to propose draft of congressional map - 1 commission, 1 Democratic, 1 Republican map
  • CO: Oct. 1, 2021 - Deadline to submit final congressional map to state Supreme Court - 4 commission maps
  • IN: Nov. 15, 2021 - Adjournment date for legislature (which takes first crack at enacting a map) - 1 Republican map
  • TX: Dec. 13, 2021 - Deadline for congressional candidates to file (therefore map should be set by this date) - 1 Republican map
  • NE: Jan. 5, 2022 - Date that candidates begin filing for congressional runs (therefore map should be set by this date) - 1 Democratic, 1 Republican, 1 compromise map
  • NY: Jan. 15, 2022 - Deadline for commission to submit congressional map to legislature - 2 commission (D: "Letters", R: "Names") maps
  • AR: Feb. 22, 2022 - Date that candidates begin filing for congressional runs (therefore map should be set by this date) - 2 Democratic, 6 Republican maps
  • MD: Feb. 22, 2022 - Deadline for congressional candidates to file (therefore map should be set by this date) - 1 commission map
  • IA: Feb. 28, 2022 - Date that candidates begin filing for congressional runs (therefore map should be set by this date) - 1 commission map
  • ID: Feb. 28, 2022 - Date that candidates begin filing for congressional runs (therefore map should be set by this date) - 2 commission maps
Commission = redistricting commission.

In New York, the redistricting commission's Democratic and Republican members have submitted separate maps, their "Letters" and "Names" maps. New York State Independent Redistricting Commission - Draft Plans has a map where one can toggle the various existing and proposed district boundaries.

Several states seem to have an informal deadline: when candidates start filing for their running for office.
 
538's staff has added maps for 3 more states:

Upcoming deadlines for states with proposed maps: GA, MI, WA
  • MI: Nov. 1, 2021 - Deadline for commission to enact congressional map - 4 commission maps
  • WA: Nov. 15, 2021 - Deadline for commission to enact congressional map - 2 Democratic, 2 Republican map
  • GA: March 7, 2022 - Date that candidates begin filing for congressional runs (therefore map should be set by this date) - 1 Republican map
 
Maine now has a map, a map much like its previous one, with two districts: a leaning-Democratic west half of the coast, and the leaning-Republican rest of the state.

AR, CO, GA, IA, ID, IN, MD, (ME), MI, NE, NY, OH, (OR), TX, WA, WV
  • OH: Sept. 30, 2021 - Deadline for legislature to enact congressional map - 1 Democratic map
  • WV: Jan. 10, 2022 - Date that candidates begin filing for congressional runs (therefore map should be set by this date) - 9 Republican maps
Deadlines coming up for CO and MI.
 
Nebraska now has a map. It is much like the old one, with a competitive district in Omaha and nearby, a moderately Republican district surrounding it, and a strongly Republican district in the rest of the state: most of it.

Maps at 538: AR, CO, GA, IA, ID, IN, MD, (ME), MI, (NE), NY, OH, (OR), TX, WA, WV
 
Indiana now has a map. Like ME and NE, its map is not much different from the previous one.

Maps at 538: AR, CO, GA, IA, ID, (IN), MD, (ME), MI, (NE), NY, OH, (OR), TX, WA, WV

On Sep 28, CO's Supreme Court got the state's proposed new map from the redistricting commission. It is to either approve the map or send it back for fixes by Nov 1, and its final deadline for acceptance is Dec 1.
 
What Redistricting Looks Like In Every State | FiveThirtyEight

538's dashboard now marks out the states with proposed maps, and its lists of states have a green circle for each state with approved maps, along with a yellow circle for each state with proposed maps. Makes my life a lot easier.

Maps at 538: AR, CO, GA, HI, IA, ID, MD, MT, MI, NY, OH, TX, WA, WV

Hawaii now has 2 proposed maps for its 2 districts. Both maps are much like the original, with two districts, one around the capital, Honolulu, and one for the rest of the state. Given this lack of change, I would not be surprised if this map gets enacted very quickly.

Montana has 9 proposed maps for its now 2 districts, with one district strong R and the other ranging from competitive to strong R.

New Mexico has 8 proposed maps for its 3 districts, ranging from having 2 D-leaning 1 competitive to 1 strong D, 1 D-leaning, 1 strong R.

The NM map is likely to be very contentious.

Updated deadlines:
  • MT: Oct. 21, 2021 - Date that commission will select a tentative final congressional map - 9 commission maps
  • NM: Oct. 30, 2021 - Soft deadline for commission to propose draft of congressional map - 8 commission maps
  • OH: Oct. 31, 2021 - Deadline for backup commission to enact map if legislature doesn't succeed - 1 Democratic map
  • CO: Nov. 1, 2021 - Deadline for state Supreme Court to approve commission's map or send it back for revisions - 5 commission maps
  • MI: Nov. 1, 2021 - Deadline for commission to enact congressional map - 15 commission maps
  • IN: Nov. 15, 2021 - Adjournment date for legislature (which takes first crack at enacting a map) - 1 Republican map
  • WA: Nov. 15, 2021 - Deadline for commission to enact congressional map - 2 Democratic, 2 Republican maps
  • TX: Dec. 13, 2021 - Deadline for congressional candidates to file (therefore map should be set by this date) - 2 Republican maps
  • NE: Jan. 5, 2022 - Date that candidates begin filing for congressional runs (therefore map should be set by this date) - 1 Democratic, 1 Republican, 1 compromise map
  • HI: Jan. 8, 2022 - Deadline for commission to propose draft of congressional map - 2 commission maps
  • WV: Jan. 10, 2022 - Date that candidates begin filing for congressional runs (therefore map should be set by this date) - 18 Republican maps
  • NY: Jan. 15, 2022 - Deadline for commission to submit congressional map to legislature - 2 commission (D: "Letters", R: "Names") maps
  • AR: Feb. 22, 2022 - Date that candidates begin filing for congressional runs (therefore map should be set by this date) - 3 Democratic, 7 Republican maps
  • MD: Feb. 22, 2022 - Deadline for congressional candidates to file (therefore map should be set by this date) - 2 commission map
  • IA: Feb. 28, 2022 - Date that candidates begin filing for congressional runs (therefore map should be set by this date) - 1 commission map
  • ID: Feb. 28, 2022 - Date that candidates begin filing for congressional runs (therefore map should be set by this date) - 2 commission maps
  • GA: Mar 7, 2022 - Date that candidates begin filing for congressional runs (therefore map should be set by this date) - 1 Republican map
 
Arizona has a map. It's a bit easier for the Democrats than the current map, making an area near Phoenix more competitive, though making the southernmost districts less strongly Democratic.

MD now has 2 maps, both with two strong Republican districts. The current map has only one, but it's very gerrymandered.

WV now has 25 maps, differing in how they split the state in two. N-S, NE-SW, E-W, SE-NW.

Maps at 538: AR, AZ, CO, GA, HI, IA, ID, MD, MI, MT, NY, OH, TX, WA, WV
 
Utah now has some maps. Its redistricting commission has produced 6 maps for its 4 districts. Like the original map, all these maps contain 3 strong Republican districts. The 4th one ranges from strongly Democratic to strongly Republican, with the existing one leaning Republican. What makes it vary is how much of Salt Lake City that it includes.
  • UT: Nov. 24, 2021 - Deadline for commission to submit three congressional maps to legislature
  • AZ: Jan. 1, 2022 - Date that candidates begin filing for congressional runs (therefore map should be set by this date)
 
Texas's State Senate has accepted a map that's close to the proposed maps. It seems to me that the map will soon be accepted by the House and the Gov, since the Republican Party has a trifecta there. It also seems like TX's politicians are going for safe seats rather than more but risky seats.

Otherwise, no additional maps.
 
What Redistricting Looks Like In Every State | FiveThirtyEight
with
Home Page - All About Redistricting

Oregon's map is now being litigated.
Clarno v. Fagan - All About Redistricting
State court challenge by former Secretary of State (Clarno) against current Secretary of State (Fagan) arguing that the state’s congressional redistricting plan violates various provisions of the state constitution (art. I §§ 8, 20, 26, art. II § 1) and a state statute that explicitly provides that “[n]o district shall be drawn for the purpose of favoring any political party, incumbent legislator or other person.” (ORS § 188.010(2)).
Click to expand...
Chapter 188 — Congressional and Legislative Districts; Reapportionment - 2019 EDITION
Clarno vs. Fagan plaintiffs' filing
 
Illinois and Virginia now have maps.

Now at 538: AR, AZ, CO, GA, HI, IA, ID, IL, MD, MI, MT, NM, NY, OH, TX, UT, VA, WA, WV

Illinois lost a seat, and the proposed map has two fewer Republican-leaning seats and one more competitive seat. Two Democratic incumbents, Lauren Underwood and Marie Newman, will be in vulnerable seats, and the seat of retiring incumbent Cheri Bustos will also be vulnerable.

Virginia has three proposed maps, all with with 5 strong D, one with 3 lean R and 3 strong R, one with 1 competitive, 1 lean R, 4 strong R, and one with 1 competitive, 2 lean R, 3 strong R.

I note a nice user-interface feature that was either recently added or that I did not notice earlier: + and - buttons to magnify and demagnify the map. One can click and drag to move the map in the page.
 
What Redistricting Looks Like In Every State | FiveThirtyEight Where are we now?

Arizona: Jan. 1, 2022 - Date that candidates begin filing for congressional runs (therefore map should be set by this date)

The state's redistricting commission now has 4 plans.

Arkansas: Feb. 22, 2022 - Date that candidates begin filing for congressional runs (therefore map should be set by this date)

The state's legislature has approved a map, and Gov. Asa Hutchinson has decided to let it pass into law without signing it. That event should happen on November 5.

Colorado: Nov. 1, 2021 - Deadline for state Supreme Court to approve commission's map or send it back for revisions

The state's Supreme Court is now considering it.

Georgia: March 7, 2022 - Date that candidates begin filing for congressional runs (therefore map should be set by this date)

State Senate Republicans have released an initial map.

Hawaii: Jan. 8, 2022 - Deadline for commission to propose draft of congressional map

Two nearly identical maps.

Idaho: Feb. 28, 2022 - Date that candidates begin filing for congressional runs (therefore map should be set by this date)

Two similar maps.
 
Republicans Are Passing Rigged Maps and Democrats Are Running Out of Time to Stop It

Extreme gerrymandering in Texas shows the high price of congressional inaction.

Texas’ population is 39.8 percent white, 39.3 percent Hispanic, 11.8 percent Black, and 5.4 percent Asian American. But under the state legislative maps approved on October 15, white people comprise a majority of eligible voters in more than 60 percent of districts on average, while Hispanics are a majority in roughly 20 percent of districts, Black residents a majority in just 3 percent of districts, and Asian Americans a majority in zero districts—far below their overall numbers in the state. The congressional maps approved on October 18 have a similar skew in favor of white representation: white people comprise a majority of eligible voters in 60 percent of districts, while Hispanics are a majority in 18 percent of districts, and Black residents are a majority in zero districts—a stunning level of under-representation for voters of color given that Texas gained nearly two million new Latino residents and more than 550,000 Black residents compared to just 187,000 white residents over the past decade. The Mexican American Legal Defense and Educational Fund has already filed suit against the state, contending the maps violate the Voting Rights Act.
Click to expand...
 
Illinois: March 7, 2022 - Date that candidates begin filing for congressional runs (therefore map should be set by this date)

Illinois Democrats agonize over how much to gerrymander - POLITICO - "State legislators proposed a map last week. National Democrats thought it didn't go far enough."
Illinois Democrats unveiled a draft congressional map Friday that would bury the GOP: The proposed lines could give them control of 14 of the state’s 17 House seats.

But privately, some national Democrats felt even that didn't go far enough. So late Friday night, they floated an alternative map that was even more aggressive — one that could leave Republicans with just two seats.
Click to expand...
The state's delegation is currently D 13 R 5, and the state lost a district in redistricting, going from 18 to 17 districts.

Though Rep. Cheri Bustos is retiring, for convenience, I will talk about her as if she will still have her district. Her district will go from R+5 to D+2, Lauren Underwood's from R+3 to D+2, and Marie Newman's from D+10 to D+3. All three Reps will be vulnerable in a bad year for Democrats.
Democratic Rep. Marie Newman, on the other hand, finds herself in a potentially competitive seat — and she was quick to express her displeasure.

"It is abundantly apparent that what has currently been proposed for Illinois' 3rd Congressional District is not only retrogressive but substantially diminishes the diverse and progressive voices of Chicago's Southwest Side and suburbs," Newman said in a statement.

...
"The map that was released is a massive missed opportunity that will have repercussions for control of the House," said one Democratic strategist involved in Illinois politics. "And I can’t imagine that Democrats in Illinois, who have a reputation for being incredibly well-organized, disciplined and ruthless, would allow this to happen."
Click to expand...
MN's new district stretches well into the countryside, and CB's from the northwest into the interior to reach Peoria. A currently-Republican district in the center of the state will be slimmed and rerouted through Champaign, Decatur, Springfield, and East St. Louis. It will become Democratic-leaning, something that will cause trouble for that district's Republican incumbent.

Republicans dismissed this map as gerrymandered.
"Call this new Illinois map the Nancy Pelosi Protection Plan," said state GOP Chairman Don Tracy. "It’s appalling that fair representation, keeping communities of interest together and transparency in the mapmaking process in Illinois all had to take a back seat to the demands of national politics."
Click to expand...
A Democratic operative created a more aggressive map, one that would leave Republicans with only two seats.
In this proposal, Bustos' northwest Illinois district stretches across the state's northern border, grabbing the city of Rockford and dipping into Lake County to pick up some of the city of Waukegan. It also loops the Democratic-leaning cities downstate into two districts: one snaking from East St. Louis to Springfield to Decatur, and another that stretches from Peoria to Bloomington to Champaign.
Click to expand...
I look at these maps and I think: why doesn't anyone ever think of multimember districts? That would make it easier to ensure that everybody will get some compatible Representative, even if only one of several in a district.
 
Iowa: Feb. 28, 2022 - Date that candidates begin filing for congressional runs (therefore map should be set by this date)

The State Senate rejected the first proposed map, one that would have created a Democratic-leaning district.

Maryland: Feb. 22, 2022 - Deadline for congressional candidates to file (therefore map should be set by this date)

Michigan: Dec. 31, 2021 - Date by which commission says it will enact a map

The redistricting commission has trimmed its proposals down to four maps. "The maps are now open for consideration and comment from the public to help the commission decide on one finalist. On Nov. 5, the commission is set to vote on final maps, which will then be open for a final round of public scrutiny before commissioners are expected to adopt the final maps on Dec. 30."

Montana: Oct. 21, 2021 - Date that commission will select a tentative final congressional map

New Mexico: Oct. 30, 2021 - Soft deadline for commission to propose draft of congressional map

The redistricting commission is down to three maps.

New York: Jan. 15, 2022 - Deadline for commission to submit congressional map to legislature

The redistricting commission could not agree on what maps to submit, so the Democrats composed one map and the Republicans another.

North Carolina: Dec. 6, 2021 - Date that candidates begin filing for congressional runs (therefore map should be set by this date)

The state gained a district, and the five proposed maps range from D 2 C 2 R 10 to D 5 C 3 R 6 - the state is currently D 5 R 8

Ohio: Oct. 31, 2021 - Deadline for backup commission to enact map if legislature doesn't succeed

Texas: Dec. 13, 2021 - Deadline for congressional candidates to file (therefore map should be set by this date)

Both houses of the legislature have agreed on a map, and it is off to Gov. Greg Abbott for his signature.

Utah: Nov. 1, 2021 - Date by which commission says it will submit three congressional maps to legislature

The redistricting commission has proposed six maps.

Virginia: Oct. 25, 2021 - Deadline for commission to submit congressional map to legislature

The redistricting commission has created 7 maps, and its Democratic and Republican members are at loggerheads on which map to submit.

Washington: Nov. 15, 2021 - Deadline for commission to enact congressional map

The redistricting commission has created 4 maps, and its Democratic and Republican members are at loggerheads over what to put in the map. The Democrats want an additional Democratic-leaning seat, while the Republicans want an additional Republican-leaning seat.

West Virginia: Jan. 10, 2022 - Date that candidates begin filing for congressional runs (therefore map should be set by this date)

The legislature has agreed on a new map, and Gov. Jim Justice is expected to sign it into law.

Wisconsin: April 15, 2022 - Date that candidates begin filing for congressional runs (therefore map should be set by this date)

The People's Maps Commission has created 3 maps. Since Gov. Tony Evers is a Democrat and since Republicans dominate both houses of the legislature, expect the courts to decide which maps to use.
 
lpetrich said:
Illinois: March 7, 2022 - Date that candidates begin filing for congressional runs (therefore map should be set by this date)

Illinois Democrats agonize over how much to gerrymander - POLITICO - "State legislators proposed a map last week. National Democrats thought it didn't go far enough."

The state's delegation is currently D 13 R 5, and the state lost a district in redistricting, going from 18 to 17 districts.

Though Rep. Cheri Bustos is retiring, for convenience, I will talk about her as if she will still have her district. Her district will go from R+5 to D+2, Lauren Underwood's from R+3 to D+2, and Marie Newman's from D+10 to D+3. All three Reps will be vulnerable in a bad year for Democrats.

MN's new district stretches well into the countryside, and CB's from the northwest into the interior to reach Peoria. A currently-Republican district in the center of the state will be slimmed and rerouted through Champaign, Decatur, Springfield, and East St. Louis. It will become Democratic-leaning, something that will cause trouble for that district's Republican incumbent.

Republicans dismissed this map as gerrymandered.
"Call this new Illinois map the Nancy Pelosi Protection Plan," said state GOP Chairman Don Tracy. "It’s appalling that fair representation, keeping communities of interest together and transparency in the mapmaking process in Illinois all had to take a back seat to the demands of national politics."
Click to expand...
A Democratic operative created a more aggressive map, one that would leave Republicans with only two seats.
In this proposal, Bustos' northwest Illinois district stretches across the state's northern border, grabbing the city of Rockford and dipping into Lake County to pick up some of the city of Waukegan. It also loops the Democratic-leaning cities downstate into two districts: one snaking from East St. Louis to Springfield to Decatur, and another that stretches from Peoria to Bloomington to Champaign.
Click to expand...
I look at these maps and I think: why doesn't anyone ever think of multimember districts? That would make it easier to ensure that everybody will get some compatible Representative, even if only one of several in a district.
Click to expand...

Or create electorates based solely upon numbers, not previous voting patterns?
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top Bottom