lpetrich
Contributor
Dave Wasserman on Twitter: "It’s official: ..." / Twitter
Katie Porter's districts: Old 45: +6, New 47: +4, +6, +6, +6
So it looks like she'll be safe, and she won't even have to live out of carpetbags to be safe.
I looked at the responses, and I found a link to this: Redistricting: Orange County’s new Congressional districts shuffle incumbents – Orange County RegisterIt’s official: CA’s citizen commission votes 14-0 to approve new congressional lines. In a huge win for Dems, all 42 of their incumbents get double digit Biden seats (two are merged due to CA’s seat loss).
Meanwhile, five of CA’s 11 GOP incumbents get more vulnerable.
The last big remaining redistricting puzzle pieces: are Dems able to pass a really aggressive gerrymander in NY? And do courts strike down GOP gerrymanders in NC and/or OH? If those break Dems’ way, we’re looking at a wash nationally. If not, result would be a small GOP gain.
The CA map is both less competitive and better for Dems than initial drafts (and my priors heading into the process). The main feature of the new map: 18 seats w/ 50%+ Latino voting age populations, up from 13 now.
538 has the initially-proposed map and maps for Dec. 13, 15, and 18.Democratic Rep. Katie Porter on Monday said she’ll run for reelection in 2022 in a newly drawn coastal district that includes her hometown of Irvine, not her current House seat.
...
Porter’s shift to the coastal district, where voter registration will lean Democrat by just one point, raises the prospect of Porter facing off against GOP Rep. Michelle Steel, who lives in Seal Beach. It’s also possible that Steel, who is Korean-American, will run in a new House district that includes Little Saigon and parts of north Orange County. It is estimated that the new district will be about 38% Asian American, but voter registration will lean Democrat by about 5 percentage points.
...
Meanwhile, Steel’s fellow GOP Congresswoman and longtime friend, Rep. Young Kim, who’s also Korean American, lives just outside the new north county district. Her stretch of La Habra was drawn in with a Los Angeles County district that roughly aligns with one now represented by Rep. Linda Sanchez, D-Whitter.
Political observers are speculating that Kim will run in the new version of Porter’s old seat, which now will be heavily Republican as it stretches from Rancho Mission Viejo north through Yorba Linda and into Chino Hills in San Bernardino County.
Katie Porter's districts: Old 45: +6, New 47: +4, +6, +6, +6
So it looks like she'll be safe, and she won't even have to live out of carpetbags to be safe.