dystopian
Veteran Member
"timeline prediction" my ass. You did claim that "If we were to add up all the different technology predictions of the past, both positive and negative, I have no doubt that the takeaway will be that tech progress faster and beyond what the predictions estimate."
Except; what I *asked* for was examples of technology predictions that we now know to be 'flat-out impossible'; which your answer doesn't do.
And yes, I maintain that if we were to add up all the different technology predictions, that the overall trendline will be that tech develops faster and beyond what the predictions forecast. Naturally, there will be outliers.
You can say it, but show it you can't.
Despite your previous statements; some truths are self-evident. Although strictly speaking I can most certainly show that it is better for you to exist than not exist. It's a simple enough logical exercise. A human being who exists can experience joy. A human being who does not exist... can not. Joy, is by definition a positive experience; therefore, it is better to be in a state where you can experience it than in a state in which you can not. Simple.
No emotional sentiments there. I'm happy with my life. I expect to be happy for most of the roughly 40-60 years that remain of it, and I probably would do just fine for most of another 300 years too. I just don't see much added value from those additional 250 years. If you want to maintain that the value of one's existence increases linearly with duration, you're going to have come up with something better than just assume it declare it "obvious".
Nonsense. Do you not consider the quantity of happiness and positive experience to be relevant? If so, that's not healthy, you know. Why do people care about things like 'leading a full life?'. Would you rather have 50 years filled with happiness, or a mere 10? Yes, even if you don't like the word... it's still *obvious* what choice you'd go with. Just as 50 years of happiness is better than 10, so too is 250 years of happiness better than 50. And that's to say nothing of other positive experiences beyond simple happiness. Surely, as someone who frequents a forum dedicated to skepticism and rational thought, you must like the idea of increasing your own knowledge. Learning new things is something I consider to be a very valuable experience; and I can learn far more than in 250 years than I can in 50.
Where does this "can't reproduce" come from all of a sudden?
My bad, I read it as zero-birthrate.
Also, I didn't say the population would die out. Individuals will die -- as you've fairly explicitly said yourself when you argued that the population will stabilize for lack of food. Individuals like you or me. There goes your immortality out of the window. Even if you finish the 21st century as Supreme Dictator of the Western Regions of the Milky Way who has guaranteed priority access to all resources, you can't expect to remain in such a position for eternity.
Except that still relies on the existence of a problem that just wouldn't exist.
I doubt it.
Everything reaches equilibrium eventually. There are no exceptions.
And you know you're going to be on the lucky side because? Do you have a pact with the devil or something?
I don't 'know' for sure, no. But I have two things going for me that give me a reasonable amount of confidence: 1), I live in a highly developed and stable society, and 2) I'm smart.
Not at all "the exact same problem". A whole new problem: The problem that the planet, and indeed the universe, is finite (which is not as such a problem now).
The planet is irrelevant, as I've repeatedly pointed out to you. There's no way that an immortal species will stay on a single planet. The size of the universe is only a problem if you assume that infinite growth is possible; which is absurd since as I pointed out previously there's going to be a lot of different factors limiting growth. And in any case, even the size of the universe is not actually the problem you think it is, since its entirely conceivable that we might find ways to travel between universes.
So people are going to die of starvation. You just said it again. So don't tell me off for pointing out that, in your "utopia", people will starve to death.
No, I said there are other limiters to growth beyond food.
I would consider inert storage dead. You can only call anything alive if it interacts and processes stuff (at the very least information). And that's going to cost energy on whatever medium you're doing it.
Energy is hardly a problem even over extreme periods of time, given that some red dwarf stars have expected lifespans of trillions of years.