Lumpenproletariat
Veteran Member
- Joined
- May 9, 2014
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- 2,563
- Basic Beliefs
- ---- "Just the facts, ma'am, just the facts."
Will high-level scientists and certain other experts/professionals be the only ones not replaceable by robots/computers, in the future?
It's possible that most of the current medium- and low-level jobs will be replaced by computers/robots, and that only a minority of today's "jobs" will still be necessary. Plus even many (most?) high-level jobs also will be replaced.
But will there be new jobs different than those of today, needing to be done by humans? And especially, will there be jobs for humans of only average I.Q., who would not have the aptitude to be scientists? Even if a greater percent of humans could be scientists, it seems unlikely that half or even 1/4 of humans have the necessary ability to do scientific research. Only a tiny percent could be an Einstein or George Washington Carver, etc. Hopefully all those with such ability will be "discovered" and channeled into such careers, but the vast majority probably don't have those abilities.
So, what about average humans, whose jobs of today will disappear? What new jobs for average folks will emerge in the future, needing to be done, but which won't be do-able by computers/robots?
I will name one here. This is only one very specialized job, out of millions of other possible future jobs. I'll call this "Political Candidate Test-Creating," for lack of a better term.
Political Candidate Test Creator
In the future -- if not already -- there will be a need to have political candidates be tested to determine their competency. Even now we seem unaware how stupid many of the political candidates are, and so it doesn't occur to us that these job-seekers need to be tested in order to determine their competency to make good decisions.
Sooner or later it will finally become apparent that we need something beyond the current speech-making abilities they show, as a guide to their competency. It is too easy for them to fake it, pretending to have knowledge, when in reality their only talent is to give good speeches. The ability to give a good speech is little or no indicator of one's knowledge of the subject matter they are to deal with.
A state could require all candidates seeking ballot status to take tests on history or public affairs etc., to demonstrate their knowledge. It possibly could even be voluntary, and those refusing to take the tests would be identified to the voters as unwilling to take the tests. So the system could in effect put pressure on them to take the tests, and most or all of them would have their ranking shown on the ballot, indicating how they scored on the tests.
Who would create the tests, to determine what is tested?
The items/questions on the test need not be highly specialized. An ordinary person would have the ability to choose what is included in the tests and put forth to the candidates for them to answer.
These tests need not be only for rating political candidates, but absolutely anyone wishing to take them to determine how their knowledge rates in comparison to others. The tests might be useful for many other purposes beyond judging political candidates. Teachers should also be expected to take such tests, to demonstrate their competency or superior knowledge.
The creation of the tests should be open to absolutely anyone wishing to participate, as volunteers, and some would be hired to do this and paid. Probably those hired would be chosen from among earlier volunteers, after a period of serving and demonstrating special ability or interest in creating the tests.
Isn't this a job which computers/robots could not do? Of course they could make some choices of the content of the tests, but choosing what is important to be tested is not something a machine could do. Deciding what should be tested, or what knowledge the candidates should demonstrate, is a subjective judgment, rather than something mechanical. The computers would have vast memories with all the correct answers, but they could not judge what test items should be on the test for adequately rating the candidates, to judge their competency.
Perhaps the administering and scoring the tests would be mechanical, so the computers would do that part. However, there still has to be human checking procedures to ensure that the tests are administered and scored in a totally neutral way with no chance for any cheating. This might require a number of ordinary workers who would do much checking and monitoring of the procedures. If computers did this part, there is the danger that a fraudulent programmer or technician might be able to subvert the procedure, to falsify the results. So numerous redundancy checks would be necessary, to do verifications at a low technical level. There has to be public confidence that there could be no cheating by parties having exclusive access to information or components.
Performing this function, of creating these tests or choosing what is to be tested, will be a much greater contribution to society than current factory jobs, or jobs in steel mills, which will more and more be replaced by machines.
What are some other jobs of the future which humans could perform and could not be done by machines?
It's possible that most of the current medium- and low-level jobs will be replaced by computers/robots, and that only a minority of today's "jobs" will still be necessary. Plus even many (most?) high-level jobs also will be replaced.
But will there be new jobs different than those of today, needing to be done by humans? And especially, will there be jobs for humans of only average I.Q., who would not have the aptitude to be scientists? Even if a greater percent of humans could be scientists, it seems unlikely that half or even 1/4 of humans have the necessary ability to do scientific research. Only a tiny percent could be an Einstein or George Washington Carver, etc. Hopefully all those with such ability will be "discovered" and channeled into such careers, but the vast majority probably don't have those abilities.
So, what about average humans, whose jobs of today will disappear? What new jobs for average folks will emerge in the future, needing to be done, but which won't be do-able by computers/robots?
I will name one here. This is only one very specialized job, out of millions of other possible future jobs. I'll call this "Political Candidate Test-Creating," for lack of a better term.
Political Candidate Test Creator
In the future -- if not already -- there will be a need to have political candidates be tested to determine their competency. Even now we seem unaware how stupid many of the political candidates are, and so it doesn't occur to us that these job-seekers need to be tested in order to determine their competency to make good decisions.
Sooner or later it will finally become apparent that we need something beyond the current speech-making abilities they show, as a guide to their competency. It is too easy for them to fake it, pretending to have knowledge, when in reality their only talent is to give good speeches. The ability to give a good speech is little or no indicator of one's knowledge of the subject matter they are to deal with.
A state could require all candidates seeking ballot status to take tests on history or public affairs etc., to demonstrate their knowledge. It possibly could even be voluntary, and those refusing to take the tests would be identified to the voters as unwilling to take the tests. So the system could in effect put pressure on them to take the tests, and most or all of them would have their ranking shown on the ballot, indicating how they scored on the tests.
Who would create the tests, to determine what is tested?
The items/questions on the test need not be highly specialized. An ordinary person would have the ability to choose what is included in the tests and put forth to the candidates for them to answer.
These tests need not be only for rating political candidates, but absolutely anyone wishing to take them to determine how their knowledge rates in comparison to others. The tests might be useful for many other purposes beyond judging political candidates. Teachers should also be expected to take such tests, to demonstrate their competency or superior knowledge.
The creation of the tests should be open to absolutely anyone wishing to participate, as volunteers, and some would be hired to do this and paid. Probably those hired would be chosen from among earlier volunteers, after a period of serving and demonstrating special ability or interest in creating the tests.
Isn't this a job which computers/robots could not do? Of course they could make some choices of the content of the tests, but choosing what is important to be tested is not something a machine could do. Deciding what should be tested, or what knowledge the candidates should demonstrate, is a subjective judgment, rather than something mechanical. The computers would have vast memories with all the correct answers, but they could not judge what test items should be on the test for adequately rating the candidates, to judge their competency.
Perhaps the administering and scoring the tests would be mechanical, so the computers would do that part. However, there still has to be human checking procedures to ensure that the tests are administered and scored in a totally neutral way with no chance for any cheating. This might require a number of ordinary workers who would do much checking and monitoring of the procedures. If computers did this part, there is the danger that a fraudulent programmer or technician might be able to subvert the procedure, to falsify the results. So numerous redundancy checks would be necessary, to do verifications at a low technical level. There has to be public confidence that there could be no cheating by parties having exclusive access to information or components.
Performing this function, of creating these tests or choosing what is to be tested, will be a much greater contribution to society than current factory jobs, or jobs in steel mills, which will more and more be replaced by machines.
What are some other jobs of the future which humans could perform and could not be done by machines?
