I think part of the answer is very clear. Margin of error and well not all white women voted more for Trump. The 2020 election was very unique and exit polling can not be expected to be as good at the demographics. The margin of error could possibly too high for this comparison.
Secondly, white women, at least in the Exit Polls didn't all vote more for Trump. Take Colorado. In
2020, white women voted nearly 2 to 1 for Biden. In
2016, white women voted 50 to 44 for Clinton!
Numbers for Florida are similar. Ohio shows a 39 to 56 in
2016 went 44 to 56 in
2020.
So 'battleground states' aren't showing that women voted in higher numbers for Trump. In general, we saw Trump's numbers contract or evaporate in Battlegrounds. So this leaves us with little option but to go down south to the Covid-19 States.
South Carolina saw White Women increase for Trump
30/64 to
28/71.
Georgia was 26/70 in 2016, which is a pretty large difference. Went down to 32/67 in 2016, but still pretty big.
Interestingly, when you head up north to stalwart blue states, New York allegedly sees this increase.
52/44 to
47/51. These numbers are hard to swallow because white men went from 36/59 to 53/45. White women flopped 5 pts, white men flopped 14+ pts?
The final state we look at is Pennsylvania.
47/50 to
47/52. White men? 32/64 to 37/62..
And our final final state is a PA of the west, Oregon.
55/38 to
62/36, which tells us that white women voted more for Biden.
As I have pointed out in several other threads to vacuums of silence, the polling in 2020 was all over the place, with some states having whacky polls being right (CO, VA) to some polls have nail-biters being wrong (OH, IA) to some nail biters being right (FL, NC). The conclusion seems to be (neglecting the premise that there was voter fraud in Trump's favor) that the assumptions for turnout were off and unknowns all went Trump. The Exit Polls? They say in a few states white women voted more for Trump, but most of the others had more white women voting for Biden, respective to 2016. It seems reasonable to conclude that the Evangelicals doubled-down on the anti-christ in the South. Most other states don't provide evidence this happened. Without many states in the south being Exit Polled, we are left with a national poll potentially digging too deeply, in my opinion, into the demographics.
In another thread, I wanted to see if the % of white women voting for Trump increased or decreased in 2020. I was stunned to see that it increased to 55% in 2020 vs 47% in 2016. That's just such a shocking number that I thought it deserved it's own thread:
https://truthout.org/articles/yes-55-percent-of-white-women-voted-for-trump-no-im-not-surprised/
I really think that the left needs to find the why behind this trend or the Trumpsters are going to win again in 2024, and that might be our last free election. What's going on here? I'm wondering if the left has gone to far regarding feminism? Maybe it's a safety issue? I'm sure that religion plays a large part. I've tried to find some articles on this, but couldn't find any with compelling reasons.
I think it's arrogance that's the problem. Previously the left have fought for obvious injustices. Over time our targets have become more and more subtle. Some point the left started making up problems to fix. The problem with contemporary feminism is that it's a muddled mess regarding what women are. Are they different than men psychologically or not? Depending on what you chose it requires different mutually exclusive solutions. The left can't make up their minds so they demand everything at once which doesn't compute. Nobody likes to be told what they want. This used to be exclusive for conservatives. Now it's also the left.
The left completely dominated the 20th century. I think this has made us arrogant and intellectually lazy.
Hobby horses are fun, but this doesn't try to address the question, "Why did White Women vote for Trump in higher numbers in 2020 than 2016?" That is a nuanced question and you, as you typically do, used your sledge to address it. Because the trouble with your answer is that white men allegedly voted more for the Democrat candidate in 2020 than 2016.
