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How should west respond to potential (likely) U.S. invasion of Venezuela?



The Maduro regime needs to go. We (Humanity) have given him plenty of chances to mend his ways. Bye bye Maduro. I hope Cuba is next

Well the man is gone, and it remains to be seen how long his regime will last. As far as Cuba, I heard an interesting take today about that. Basically, once the Soviet Union fell, the Castro regime was pretty well and truly fucked for the better part of a decade. When Chavez came to power, he threw Cuba several lifelines, selling them oil, hiring doctors, military consultants, and other Cubans to help his regime, and the two nations have been more or less joined at the hip through both the Chavez and Maduro years. If they manage to separate the Venezuelan support from Cuba, folks in the Trump orbit like Little Marco will be given another shot at overthrowing the Castro regime (long after Castro's death).

I don't know if we'll do "Bay of Pigs II, Electric Boogaloo," but there's definitely a "and then we go after Cuba" thing happening here.
 
How the fuck can anyone with a functioning moral compass have any problem with Trump toppling Maduro?
By noting that he had neither the authority nor the right to do so.

The extreme suffering of the Venezuelan people isn't enough?
Extreme? The world has a lot worse, and yet the US military are nowhere to be seen...
Wtf is wrong with you?
Nothing, I am fine, thanks.
Had he gone in in support of a popular revolt, it might have been OK.

Maduro uses the little oil revenue there is to pay for his terror state. Its way harder for a popular uprising to take place in a country rich in natural resources. Because the government can just pay for a terror machine
Sure. So why isn't the US in Saudi Arabia capturing their leaders, or for that matter, in Iran, helping the protestors there?
But he went in in support if stealing someone else's oil,

Sure. But the oil is being stolen now by Maduro. The Venezuelan can only stand to benefit from it.
Maduro is a Venezuelan.
and distracting the US public from Epstein.

Trump was chin deep in scandal before he got reelected. He still got reelected. Why would he care?
Because his ego is his primary concern.
He already knows he's bulletproof.
He knows nothing.
And his dreams of being USA's dictator is not going to happen.
I wish I had your confidence on that matter.
I think the Epstein explanation is stupid.
Why would I care what you think?
I think Trump is an insecure loser with a tiny penis who continually needs to do stuff to boost his fragile orange clown ego.
No disagreement there.
He's also unashamedly a greedy patriot who only sees to USA's immediate economic benefit. He's too dumb to understand the value of soft power.
Nor there.
USA is the big boy and he uses its power as a bully to get stuff.
Yup. Just like any other dictator. So, you were saying his dreams of being USA's dictator is not going to happen; Sounds to me like it is happening.
But in the world of international trade, that can backfire.
Yup.
But Trump is Trump. I doubt he's smart enough to understand that.
Me too.
I think that's a better explanation
I am not sure anyone asked you for an explanation of anything.
How the fuck can anyone with a functioning moral compass think that this is acceptable?

I guess we're different. I like to respect human dignity. I dislike governments terrorising their own people. I think the rest of humanity (ie liberal democracies) have a duty to help them.
So, how are we different?
I applaud USA being the first country making the move.
Oh, you think the US is better than every other country. Yes, I guess we're different; I think the US, like any other country, is only as good as its respect for international law and post WWII diplomatic norms.
I don't care what ulterior motive Trump has.
You should.
This is the right thing to do.
Maybe. Probably not.
Doing something right, by accident, while comitting a crime, is not laudable.

Again, we disagree. I care more about outcome than intention.
A smart person cares about both.
The Maduro regime needs to go.
Then the Venezuelans need to do the deed. They can ask for help, and if they do, it should be forthcoming. But "help" un-asked for is not help, it's agression.
We (Humanity) have given him plenty of chances to mend his ways. Bye bye Maduro. I hope Cuba is next
I hope the US avoids militaristic expansionism. But that hope seems folorn at this point in time.

The US as world hegemon was scary, but the US as an expansionist imperial power is a terrifying prospect. Trump has been taking lessons from his buddy Putin with his C19th 'might is right' attitude. That's a seriously scary attitude for nuclear armed nations to take; It led to two world wars in the C20th, and we seriously can't withstand a third.

The US could easily do to the Americas what the Third Reich did to Europe. Including the "sell out any bits of the world you don't want yet to Russia" part.

The world's policeman just beat the crap out of a suspect. That should scare anyone who cares about justice, even if the suspect is guilty of heinous crimes.
 
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So where to draw the line?
Trump's not likely to get much push back on taking out Maduro, politically or publicly. Did he have the authority to do so? I guess as far as the Supreme Court goes, yes. He can act in the interest of the nation and it's all good, innit? Now if we start making money off the deposition of Maduro, if oil revenue isn't wholly used to benefit Venezuelans, then there is evidence to the contrary.
So if we take this at face value and at this point I think we must, what other nations harm the American people? Both Trump and Rubio mentioned Colombia and Cuba. Are they next? Colombia? Yes. Cuba? Not so much as they are not a transit point for illegal drugs that I am aware of.
 
How the fuck can anyone with a functioning moral compass have any problem with Trump toppling Maduro?

Its a horrendous regime that went from Venezuela being South Americas wealthiest country to poorest, and the regime is doing nothing to fix it. Nor seems to have the will.

Colombia is full of young Venezuelan women working as prostitutes out of desperation.

Just removing the government and deregulating will immediately see a rise in standard of living. I can't imagine a scenario where USA manages to fuck it up. Venezuela is in such a bad shape that anything different will be an improvement.

Adios Maduro. We won't miss you
I remember Bush supporters using exactly the same rationalisation for the Iraq invasion that you are using right now. You've never heard of the phrase unintended consequences? Anyone who thinks the Trump admin is going to stick the landing on this is as ignorant as fuck.
 
Come on! Stop trashing Trump alone. It's not as if any other POTUS/politician in the last 25 years was not dreaming about invading Venezuela, Iraq, Syria, Iran, Cuba,.... Russia. Trump did not do it alone, he had more than enthusiastic administration/Congress filled with Rubios, Pompeos, Grahams.
 
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The "war" with Venezuela has pushed possible war over Taiwan off the front page.

TAIPEI, Taiwan (AP) — China's People's Liberation Army staged a second day of large-scale military drills around Taiwan on Tuesday, unleashing a live-fire show of force as part of what it called "Justice Mission 2025" to demonstrate its ability to deter any external armed support for the self-ruled island that it has long insisted is part of its sovereign territory.

The PLA's Eastern Theater Command sent destroyers, frigates, fighters and bombers to the waters to the north and south of the island to test its ability in sea-air coordination and blockading. Its ground forces carried out long-range, live-fire drills in the waters to the island's north and also organized live-fire training, alongside simulated long-range, joint strike with air, navy and missiles units, in the waters to Taiwan's south, achieving what command spokesperson Li Xi called "desired effects."

... Taiwan's Civil Aviation Administration was notified that seven temporary "dangerous zones" had been set up around the strait. The schedules of Taiwan's four international airports on Tuesday afternoon showed over 100 international and domestic flights had revised times, delays or cancellations, according to their websites.
- - - - - - -
President Donald Trump’s capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro sparked widespread discussion on Chinese social media, with many users saying the operation offered a template for how Beijing could handle tensions with Taiwan.

Trump’s operation against the Venezuelan strongman shot to the top of China’s Weibo late Saturday, with the topic gaining some 440 million views on the X-like platform. Many commentators were quick to make comparisons between the fate of the South American nation and that of the self-ruled democracy Beijing has vowed to claim.

What would YOU do as POTUS if you were woken up in the middle of the night with news that China had invaded Taiwan? Call for the "football" and push the button?

With the callow and feeble-minded Trump in control of The Button, I'd not be surprised if Xi Jinping can find a way to sweet-talk Trump into helping a Chinese take-over of Taiwan.
 
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Your post errs on the assumption that Trump has a plan at all.
They've been working on this one for a while now. Then again, I stupidly assumed Dubbya/Cheney had a well thought out plan before they went into Iraq. Nobody would take on an endeavor like that and not have a thorough long term strategy in place... right?
 
Holy crap!!!

I see your “Holy crap!!!” and raise you a Jesus H Christ!
I think you meant Jesus F Christ. There is no way this will have a happy ending. The no wars president seems to enjoy starting wars. But, what can we expect from a demented maniac!
Bush sent 24,000 troops to Panama to grab Noriega, who was prosecuted for the same things. I guess numb nuts gets credit for being more surgical.

But if he moves to take over the oil supply, most of which goes to China, that’s when it will get interesting.
Will this action encourage China to seize Taiwan? As a Quid Pro Quid?
Yeah. Duh. Exactly what serious commentators are saying.
That's apples and oranges. The U.S. will come to Taiwan's aid, and China knows that. Nobody but nobody was going to come to Maduro's aid and there was zero potential for it to start what could likely be WW3 that would end in nuclear war.
 
Come on! Stop trashing Trump alone. It's not as if any other POTUS/politician in the last 25 years was not dreaming about invading Venezuela, Iraq, Syria, Iran, Cuba,.... Russia. Trump did not do it alone, he had more than enthusiastic administration/Congress filled with Rubios, Pompeos, Grahams.
And he had the support of NATO nations. Some of them may make stern, finger-wagging statements, but that's the game. Big Daddy tells them what we're doing, everyone agrees, and then they let the U.S. play the heel, which we're more than happy to do.

It opens up every U.S. ally to cheaper oil and further secures U.S. hegemony.
 
The "war" with Venezuela has pushed possible war over Taiwan off the front page.

TAIPEI, Taiwan (AP) — China's People's Liberation Army staged a second day of large-scale military drills around Taiwan on Tuesday, unleashing a live-fire show of force as part of what it called "Justice Mission 2025" to demonstrate its ability to deter any external armed support for the self-ruled island that it has long insisted is part of its sovereign territory.

The PLA's Eastern Theater Command sent destroyers, frigates, fighters and bombers to the waters to the north and south of the island to test its ability in sea-air coordination and blockading. Its ground forces carried out long-range, live-fire drills in the waters to the island's north and also organized live-fire training, alongside simulated long-range, joint strike with air, navy and missiles units, in the waters to Taiwan's south, achieving what command spokesperson Li Xi called "desired effects."

... Taiwan's Civil Aviation Administration was notified that seven temporary "dangerous zones" had been set up around the strait. The schedules of Taiwan's four international airports on Tuesday afternoon showed over 100 international and domestic flights had revised times, delays or cancellations, according to their websites.
- - - - - - -
President Donald Trump’s capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro sparked widespread discussion on Chinese social media, with many users saying the operation offered a template for how Beijing could handle tensions with Taiwan.

Trump’s operation against the Venezuelan strongman shot to the top of China’s Weibo late Saturday, with the topic gaining some 440 million views on the X-like platform. Many commentators were quick to make comparisons between the fate of the South American nation and that of the self-ruled democracy Beijing has vowed to claim.

What would YOU do as POTUS if you were woken up in the middle of the night with news that China had invaded Taiwan? Call for the "football" and push the button?

With the callow and feeble-minded Trump in control of The Button, I'd not be surprised if Xi Jinping can find a way to sweet-talk Trump into helping a Chinese take-over of Taiwan.

Destroy Taiwan's chip making capacity. Frankly, I'd be more concerned with beating back China for Japan's sake.

Taiwan has put less effort into its own defense than Europe has. All things considered, if Taiwan was so concerned with their own independence, I'd think their level of preparedness would at least be on par with that of Finland.
 
It will be interesting to see how this plays out over the near future. I hope for the best for the people of the country. Meanwhile, it seems Venezuelans around the world are OK with what happened.

 
How the fuck can anyone with a functioning moral compass have any problem with Trump toppling Maduro?
By noting that he had neither the authority nor the right to do so.

The extreme suffering of the Venezuelan people isn't enough?

Wtf is wrong with you?
WTF is wrong with your country that you didn't do it? Fix your own house first.
As I recall, a few years ago on this forum you said one of your relatives (?) was looking for help in escaping Venezuela. Just out of curiousity, have you heard her reaction to this?
 
Holy crap!!!

I see your “Holy crap!!!” and raise you a Jesus H Christ!
I think you meant Jesus F Christ. There is no way this will have a happy ending. The no wars president seems to enjoy starting wars. But, what can we expect from a demented maniac!
Bush sent 24,000 troops to Panama to grab Noriega, who was prosecuted for the same things. I guess numb nuts gets credit for being more surgical.

But if he moves to take over the oil supply, most of which goes to China, that’s when it will get interesting.
Will this action encourage China to seize Taiwan? As a Quid Pro Quid?
Yeah. Duh. Exactly what serious commentators are saying.
That's apples and oranges. The U.S. will come to Taiwan's aid, and China knows that. Nobody but nobody was going to come to Maduro's aid and there was zero potential for it to start what could likely be WW3 that would end in nuclear war.
Trump will not come to Taiwan’s aid. And frankly he really can’t. At least not once it’s started. Biden would have.
 
Maduro is initially being charged with a dozen counts of aggravated not being the Epstein files. Further charges may follow, if they can find anything he's done that is even close to being as illegal as all the stuff Trump has done.
If they can’t find it they’ll manufacture it.
 
Maduro is initially being charged with a dozen counts of aggravated not being the Epstein files. Further charges may follow, if they can find anything he's done that is even close to being as illegal as all the stuff Trump has done.
If they can’t find it they’ll manufacture it.
Against a head of state and their attorneys? Most of Maduro's crimes are against his own people.
 
How the fuck can anyone with a functioning moral compass have any problem with Trump toppling Maduro?
The absolute utter lack of faith that Trump cam manage Venezuela in a manner that is remotely beneficial to its people. Maduro was bad. But this is the real world and merepy removing Maduro doesn't make things better in Venezuela for its people

Trump has been robbing his supporters blind, what do you think cares to do for Venezuelans when he doesn't even help Americans who are in need after a natural disaster?
 
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