It pains me to say this, but I agree with Andrew Wang, the democratic party is a dead brand. We're probably going to pretty good in November, and we'll do slightly better than republicans in 2028. But imo, this is more of a function that the republicans are throwing it away due to incredibly dumb shit. Americans are sick of foreign wars and inflation. The republicans don't care! But they will course correct sometime soon. Long term, we are fucked. IMO, we've been fucked since Gore lost. We're flat out dead in more than 30 states.
To be clear, that is a result of the 2010 election and the criminal level of state legislative gerrymandering because American voters freaked the "fuck out" over the ACA.
Gore lost in 2000. I see the decline and malise in the democratic party really started in 1994 when Gingrich republicans destroyed the dems and took the house. This happened despite a majority of voters being democratic and Bill Clinton very being popular. Obviously it was a signal that people didn't want Hillary-Care. But democratic turnout was terrible that election.
This means that long term, the senate is gone. But then there is a population shift from blue states to red states. We've lost the supreme court for a generation, maybe more. And now, we're losing minorities, younger voters, and women voters. Again, we're going to have a good run for a short time, but long term, the democratic party is dead.
Right now the Democrat Party has a couple huge issues. The average American voter and the GOP's relentless drive to win an election. The Democrats passed a private market type solution for health care insurance access and the voters made them pay of which the impact went deep in the US political system. The US prefers liberal policies, but votes Republican (lower taxes) and generally only votes out Republicans when they have fucked up royally. And the GOP had a subliminal advertisement, stepped in the way of counting votes in Florida, made shit up over Kerry's Vietnam service, to either conspired to cause or enabled the Capitol riot. The GOP isn't afraid to fight dirty and message very negatively, or give a middle finger to an election result.
According to the GOP, the Democrats are communists now.
That is our fault. The republicans started calling democrats slight left of center socialists and communists in the 1950's. Then I don't why, but many on the left started embracing this conservative label. And now we are all being lumped in with the DSA folks who want to shut down all the prisons and have public ownership of all corporations. The republicans are savvy, we are the suckers.
Loper Bright was multi-generational for SCOTUS. The election of Trump in 2016 had generational impact. Meanwhile Social Security is headed towards a shortfall. The Democrats can't run on much because Americans want solutions that don't cost anything and they don't want to bother understanding any of the problems and messaging them is nearly impossible... so the Democrat ads are about Data Centers and cost of living.
And bonus issue, Trump normalized bald faced lying.
He's also incredibly normalized graft and outright bribery. There is a
conservative government watchdog group that claims that Trump has grafted (is that a word?} more than 2 billion dollars! Remember the paltry white water scandal and the "$5,000,000 for the big guy"!! Again, we're going to win in November and most likely in two years. But it's more because the republicans are going against the voters wishes (inflation, Iran and etc). But they will course correct. And the fundamental problems plaguing the democratic party will bite us severely in the near future. Sorry that I'm such a downer lately!
