Derec
Contributor
This is what makes me pessimistic about the runoff. Biden won the popular vote by the slimmest of margins, so Ossoff and Warnock need all the votes they can possibly get.
Both runoffs are long-shots, imho. Dems are notorious for their turnout dropping off a cliff when there is not a presidential election on the ballot. And doubly so if the election is a runnoff.
By the way, what was Abrams thinking pushing Warnock on us as the party-backed candidate?
1. He is a Baptist pastor. Kinda tells you everything you need to know about his critical thinking skills.
2. He said some idiotic things about Israel.
3. He said some equally idiotic things about police.
3b. Even as Warnock has claimed that he is not in favor of defunding police, his senior advisor sure is.
[tweet]<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Must read from my sister-in-service <a href="https://twitter.com/paigejfernandez?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@paigejfernandez</a>. The movement to defund the police isn’t as radical as some may think. It’s about a complete reimagining of law enforcement in the United States. <a href="https://t.co/1t8WWupOXO">https://t.co/1t8WWupOXO</a></p>— Dasheika Ruffin (@DasheikaRuffin) <a href="https://twitter.com/DasheikaRuffin/status/1269064917807779840?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 6, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>[/tweet]
4. He continued to support radical pastor Jeremiah "God damn America!" Wright even after Obama distanced himself from him.
Still, the color of his skin should be enough to give him almost all the black vote. So he will probably do better than Ossoff.
Unless they get disappointed when Georgia certifies for Biden. That's basically Dems' only hope for these runoffs.Even that may not be enough, given that Biden did not really "win" Georgia. Trump lost it. Georgia is a purple state right now, not a blue state, and the election machinery is still firmly in the hands of Republicans. Most Republicans want to keep control of the Senate, so Georgia Republicans will be highly motivated to vote.
Even after Merrick Garland, they still don't learn ...Many Democrats are not as excited about who controls the Senate, and both Republicans are incumbents.
I agree. Between her being a weaker candidate and the built-in advantage for Warnock regarding the black vote, she will probably do worse than Perdue. But unless there is a full-blown revolt against GOP by the MAGAs, I expect both to win.Of the two, I suspect that Loeffler is the more vulnerable Republican, but she is still a Republican. And Republicans only need one of those two to win in order to keep Mitch McConnell in a position to block any meaningful legislative progress.