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2020 Election Results

Memo on 'the path forward' for Democrats - The Washington Post

From: Justice Democrats, Sunrise Movement, New Deal Strategies, Data for Progress
Date: November 29, 2020

"The Path Forward for Democrats"
  • Reclaim a populist economic message. ​When Democrats run on a populist economic message, they win. This is not a radical proposal: In 2012, President Obama beat Mitt Romney by running as a populist seeking to make the rich pay their fair share.
  • Invest in a progressive, ground-up organizing strategy and let voters choose in primaries.The consultant-driven, top-down model is simply not working. Democrats are strongest in states where progressives and local leaders have organized from the ground up - like Nevada, Colorado and Georgia.
  • Don’t get fooled again: Run against McConnell. ​Democrats must learn from the first two years of the Obama administration, when being strung along by McConnell yielded no meaningfu lRepublican cooperation while depressing the base and leading to electoral disaster in the 2010 midterms.
  • Biden has a mandate to govern — act like it.​ Biden won a convincing victory and defeated an incumbent president, a rare accomplishment. He has a mandate, and he must act like it by wielding his power decisively.
 
But Pres.-Elect Biden hopes to work with Congressional Republicans.

Maybe a a shot or two across their bows in the form of radical executive actions would render them a little more willing to compromise.
I think wiping out student loan debts would be a good place to start.
If they still refuse to work with him, he should go full trump on them.
Good idea. Let them squeal about "executive overreach" and Caesarism.
 
Arizona certifies election win for Biden over Trump
Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey, a Republican, lauded his state’s handling of the election, as well.

“The system is strong, that’s why I have bragged on it so much,” Ducey said at the signing event. “This is America, and no voter should be disenfranchised.”

“The votes have been tabulated, all 15 counties have certified their results,” he added.
It got this response:
Jenna Ellis on Twitter: "The certification of Arizona’s FALSE results is unethical and knowingly participating in the corruption that has disenfranchised AZ voters.

BUT, this in no way impacts the state legislature’s ability to take back the proper selection of delegates." / Twitter

She's a member of Trump's legal team, and that team's claims have repeatedly been slapped down in the courts.
 
That leaves only one battleground state with an uncertified vote.
On Sunday, Wisconsin said a recount of two counties, which the Trump campaign had requested, verified Biden had won the state’s popular vote. That recount cost the Trump campaign $3 million.

Recount in two Wisconsin counties reinforces Biden’s victory. - The New York Times
n Milwaukee County, Mr. Biden’s ticket received 317,527 votes. Mr. Trump’s ticket received 134,482, according to county results. Both totals increased slightly compared with an earlier count, and Mr. Biden gained 132 votes.

Dane County, which includes the city of Madison and the flagship campus of the University of Wisconsin, found that 260,094 votes were cast for Mr. Biden, while 78,754 were cast for Mr. Trump. Compared with earlier results, the final tally included 91 fewer ballots for Mr. Biden and 46 fewer for Mr. Trump — a net gain of 45 for Mr. Trump.
So Biden gained 87 votes relative to Trump. His campaign ended up paying about $34K per vote.

Wisconsin recount: Showdown over finalizing presidential election
As a showdown looms over finalizing Wisconsin’s presidential results, a former elections official with GOP ties is telling key Republicans they shouldn’t hold up the certification of votes.

“You supervised this election. You are responsible for finalizing the results,” John Franke wrote in a letter Friday to the Wisconsin Elections Commission.

“For the sake of election integrity it is important that you acknowledge that Wisconsin counted votes in a responsible and reasonable manner; then let the other branches of government exercise whatever responsibility they might have with respect to this process.”
 
That leaves only one battleground state with an uncertified vote.


Recount in two Wisconsin counties reinforces Biden’s victory. - The New York Times

So Biden gained 87 votes relative to Trump. His campaign ended up paying about $34K per vote.

Wisconsin recount: Showdown over finalizing presidential election

That's a lot of money to spend to get Biden MORE votes,

:hysterical:

So glad all that winning is finally coming to an end. Trump was right, we're sick and tired of his "winning."
 
I heard Trump was planning a 2024 campaign launch event on inauguration day. That would be so pathetic.
 
The winning continues!

https://twitter.com/brahmresnik/status/1333535859153440769?s=20


Our GOP governor here in AZ was so far up Trump's rump that he changed his ringtone to play "Hail to the Chief" whenever Trump called. Well, Trump called...while Ducey was signing the certification of Biden's win.

Dougie muted the call. Maybe he called back later? Anyway, Trump took to Twitter to express his displeasure with his new least friend. I won't link to that, but he again claimed voter fraud, of which we had none. The Republican governor, AG, and Democratic Secretary of State all agreed.

Oh, and our second Democratic Senator is being sworn in on Wednesday. So much winning...
 
Arizona and Wisconsin Certify Biden’s Wins: ‘The System Is Strong’ - The New York Times
In Arizona, Katie Hobbs, the Democratic secretary of state, formalized her state’s results while sitting at a long table with three Republicans who signed the election documents: Gov. Doug Ducey; the state’s attorney general, Mark Brnovich; and the chief justice of the Arizona Supreme Court, Robert M. Brutinel.

Ann Jacobs, the chairwoman of the Wisconsin Elections Commission, signed a document during a three-minute video conference in which she narrated herself certifying Mr. Biden’s victory.

“I am now signing it as the official state determination of the results of the Nov. 3, 2020, election and the canvass,” Ms. Jacobs said before holding the document up to the camera. Later Monday afternoon, Gov. Tony Evers of Wisconsin, a Democrat, announced that he had signed the state’s Certificate of Ascertainment appointing Mr. Biden’s slate of electors to represent Wisconsin at the Electoral College.
So all the battleground states have certified their election results.

Turning to Congress, we have:
  • CA-21: NYT has called it, though WaPo, ABC, NBC, CNN haven't
  • NY-01: WaPo, ABC, NBC, CNN have called it, though NYT hasn't
  • NY-02: ABC has called it, though NYT, WaPo, NBC, CNN haven't
  • NY-11: ABC has called it, though NYT, WaPo, NBC, CNN haven't
  • NY-24: ABC, NYT, CNN have called it, though WaPo, NBC haven't
 
IA-02 seems just about decided.
Iowa board certifies 6-vote Republican win in US House race
Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks finished ahead of Democrat Rita Hart in Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District after a recount saw her 47-vote lead steadily dwindle to single digits.

The state Board of Canvass voted 5-0 Monday afternoon to certify Miller-Meeks as the winner over Hart by a count of 196,964 to 196,958.

...
If it withstands expected legal challenges, Miller-Meeks’ margin of victory would amount to the closest U.S. House race since 1984 and the tightest in Iowa since 1916.

“That race alone reinforces that every vote counts and can make a difference,” said Secretary of State Paul Pate, Iowa’s commissioner of elections and a canvass board member.
Rita Hart's campaign has two days to decide whether or not to take legal action to challenge this result, though her campaign may likely do so. If so, then a panel of judges will be convened to judge the case, a panel that must make a ruling by Dec. 8.


CA-25, Katie Hill's old seat.
Democrat concedes in US House race north of LA
Christy Smith (D) conceded to Mike Garcia (R):
“With final votes counted in this race, it’s clear we will not be able to close the 339-vote gap,” Smith said in a statement. “This is not the end result we fought for, but I am proud of the strong, grassroots campaign we ran.”

“We exhausted every possible option, and did everything within our power to ensure that every voice in this election was heard. Nonetheless, we came up short,” Smith said.
 
Updates: Tracking The Unresolved 2020 Races | FiveThirtyEight - as of Nov 30
New York’s 22nd District: The initial trajectory of the count favored Republican Claudia Tenney, who led Democratic Rep. Anthony Brindisi by 28,422 votes after Election Day, but absentee ballots have almost completely erased that lead. After counties double-checked their results on Monday, Tenney’s lead stood at just 12 votes. This race is a long way from over, though. Next Monday, a state court will convene to consider whether to count around 2,500 disputed absentee and provisional ballots that could swing the race either way.
 
... So Biden gained 87 votes relative to Trump. His campaign ended up paying about $34K per vote.

That sounds like a lot of money; and of course in this case the spending was foolish because the outcome wasn't in doubt.

But $30,000 per vote can be dirt cheap in many cases.

How close will the Georgia run-off election be? I dunno; let's say 50,000 votes just to pick a number. If there were some way for The Forces of Humanity to swing 50,000 votes in Georgia by spending $30k each, would that be wise? You betcha!

For $1.5 billion (in the hypothetical), we could turn the U.S. Senate from GOP control to Democratic control for the next 2 years? The boon to America and to good people everywhere would be huge, with a value easily dwarfing $1.5 billion. If the Senate then has the gumption to abolish filibuster and take some other key steps, the victory would be compounded further. Is Bloomberg still spending his money to help America? I wouldn't expect a single multi-billionaire to take the entire hit by himself, but this simple arithmetic should show how valuable every single vote is! I don't know how to spend the money legally and effectively, but I hope people with money are thinking clearly. At a minimum, there should be vans to drive voters to the polling stations, and then to take them for a free massage after they vote!

Anybody who doesn't think control of the Senate is worth billions of dollars to humanity has taken his eye off the ball. Trump's Covid-19 stupidities have cost 100,000 lives; at $100,000 per life (the minimum used in such calculations) that's a $10 billion charge just for Covid. Betraying our allies and giving secrets to Russia has cost billions more. Yes, these examples are about Trump rather than other GOP criminals, but what about blocking Obamacare? The onus for that is strictly on the GOP Senate, and it has cost the nation hugely: just for starters, about as people are dying from the failure to expand Medicaid as from Covid-19. Withdrawal from the Paris Accords may have a long-term price-tag that makes $1.5 billion look like peanuts.

I've no specific advice to offer, but I hope smart Democrats in Georgia have a lot of money to spend and are spending it wisely.
 
Opinion | 1918 Germany Has a Warning for America - The New York Times
One hundred years ago, amid the implosions of Imperial Germany, powerful conservatives who led the country into war refused to accept that they had lost. Their denial gave birth to arguably the most potent and disastrous political lie of the 20th century — the Dolchstosslegende, or stab-in-the-back myth.

Its core claim was that Imperial Germany never lost World War I. Defeat, its proponents said, was declared but not warranted. It was a conspiracy, a con, a capitulation — a grave betrayal that forever stained the nation. That the claim was palpably false didn’t matter. Among a sizable number of Germans, it stirred resentment, humiliation and anger. And the one figure who knew best how to exploit their frustration was Adolf Hitler.
This was despite Germany holding its own for most of the war and delivering major humiliations to Russia, starting with the Battle of Tannenberg early in the war. Russia was failing so badly in it that its army became plagued with desertions and mutinies, and Tsar Nicholas II abdicated early in 1917. The Provisional Government that succeeded him nevertheless kept the war going. Germany then sent Russian revolutionary Vladimir Lenin across its territory from Switzerland to the northern coast in a diplomatically sealed train. He then went from there into Sweden, Finland, and then into St. Petersburg, Russia. He then led his fellow Bolsheviks (more or less "Majority") in a coup against the Provisional Government, the Russian "Revolution". Early in 1918, Lenin ended the war with the Treaty of Brest-Litovsk, giving Germany and its Central Powers allies the Baltic States, Belarus, western Ukraine, and the Russian part of Poland.
The deceit found willing supporters. “Im Felde unbesiegt” — “undefeated on the battlefield” — was the slogan with which returning soldiers were greeted. Newspapers and postcards depicted German soldiers being stabbed in the back by either evil figures carrying the red flag of socialism or grossly caricatured Jews.

A starving population joined the strikes and demands for a republic grew. On Nov. 9, 1918, Wilhelm abdicated, and two days later the army leaders signed the armistice. It was too much to bear for many: Military officers, monarchists and right-wingers spread the myth that if it had not been for political sabotage by Social Democrats and Jews back home, the army would never have had to give in.

The deceit found willing supporters. “Im Felde unbesiegt” — “undefeated on the battlefield” — was the slogan with which returning soldiers were greeted. Newspapers and postcards depicted German soldiers being stabbed in the back by either evil figures carrying the red flag of socialism or grossly caricatured Jews.

By the time of the Treaty of Versailles the following year, the myth was already well established. The harsh conditions imposed by the Allies, including painful reparation payments, burnished the sense of betrayal. It was especially incomprehensible that Germany, in just a couple of years, had gone from one of the world’s most respected nations to its biggest loser.
This political myth continued to be popular for over a decade after the end of the war, and Adolf Hitler said that he would make Germany great again by crushing Germany's enemies, enemies like Jews and Bolsheviks who had dragged Germany down into defeat by stabbing the nation in the back.

His party was the National Socialist German Workers' Party (Nationalsozialistische Deutsche Arbeiterpartei (NSDAP); "Nazi" is from the "National" part of its name) never got a majority of seats in the Reichstag, the German parliament, before Hitler's takeover. The most it could do is a coalition with some other party, which it did in 1933, with the conservative Nationalist Party. Back then, the Nazi Party seemed more kooky than horrible, and Hitler's coalition partners seem to have thought that the responsibilities of power would tame him. But in early 1933, the Reichstag building had a fire, a fire that Nazi leaders blamed on Communist revolutionaries. They used that as their pretext to take over, getting emergency powers for themselves and shutting down all other parties, even their coalition-partner parties. Germany's first full democracy, the Weimar Republic, came to an end.

Then about partisan splits in the present-day US.
Alarmingly, that seems to be exactly what is happening in the United States today. According to the Pew Research Center, 89 percent of Trump supporters believe that a Joe Biden presidency would do “lasting harm to the U.S.,” while 90 percent of Biden supporters think the reverse. And while the question of which news media to trust has long split America, now even the largely unmoderated Twitter is regarded as partisan. Since the election, millions of Trump supporters have installed the alternative social media app Parler. Filter bubbles are turning into filter networks.
 
Another parallel example. The behavior of the Republican Party during the McCarthy Era vs Trump

https://www.cnn.com/2020/12/01/politics/gop-silence-trump-false-election-claims-mccarthy/index.html

GOP silence on Trump's false election claims recalls McCarthy era

(CNN)The silence of congressional Republican leaders as President Donald Trump's unfounded claims of election fraud grow wilder and more venomous increasingly resembles the party's deference to Sen. Joe McCarthy during the worst excesses of his anti-Communist crusade in the early 1950s.

In McCarthy's era, most of the GOP's leaders found excuses to avoid challenging conspiracy theories that they knew to be implausible, even as evidence of their costs to the nation steadily mounted. For years, despite their private doubts about his charges and methods alike, the top GOP leadership -- particularly Senate Republican leader Robert A. Taft, the Mitch McConnell of his day -- either passively abetted or actively supported McCarthy's scattershot claims of treason and Communist infiltration. A significant faction of Senate Republicans didn't join with Democrats to curb McCarthy's power until the senator immolated himself with his accusations, in highly publicized 1953 and 1954 hearings, that the Army was riddled with Communists during the presidency of fellow Republican Dwight Eisenhower.

In an interview with Fox News on Sunday, Trump broadened his claims to suggest that the FBI and Department of Justice were part of a plot to defeat him; after weeks of excoriating Georgia's Republican secretary of state for failing to overturn the state's election results on his behalf, Trump this week extended his criticism to the state's staunchly conservative Republican governor, Brian Kemp. On Monday, Trump added a new Republican target when he fired a volley of attacks against Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey after the state certified Biden's victory there.

In another parallel to Trump, congressional Republicans were deferential not only because they considered McCarthy an ally, but also because they recognized him as a potential threat. The journalist William S. White captured their skittish ambivalence when he wrote, "In McCarthy, embarrassed Republican leaders know they have got hold of a red-hot bazooka, useful in destroying the enemy but also quite likely to blister the hands of the forces that employ it. Their private fear is that a lethal rocket may at any moment blast out through the wrong end of the pipe."

Just like congressional Republicans now with Trump, GOP legislators then found themselves following McCarthy into deeper and deeper waters of conspiracy theories. An early indication of how far McCarthy might go came in June 1951, when he delivered a 60,000-word attack on George Marshall, the brilliant Army chief of staff in World War II and later secretary of state for Truman. It was in that speech that McCarthy famously (or infamously) declared that he was unraveling "a conspiracy ... so immense as to dwarf any previous such venture in the history of man."

Reeves reports in his biography that while McCarthy was still riding high in early 1954, Walter Lippmann, the most influential newspaper columnist of his time, wrote that the senator's goal was to establish himself as the GOP's "supreme boss."

Wrote Lippmann, "This is the totalitarianism of the man: his cold, calculated, sustained and ruthless effort to make himself feared. That is why he has been staging a series of demonstrations, each designed to show that he respects nobody, no office, and no institution in the land, and that everyone at whom he growls will run away."

Some Republicans may fear Trump; others may find his fraud accusations a useful tool for weakening Biden or justifying a new wave of voter suppression measures. But whatever their motivation for enabling Trump's baseless and corrosive claims, Mitch McConnell, Kevin McCarthy and the vast majority of other Republican legislators are likely consigning themselves to the same withering verdict that history has applied to the party predecessors who found their own reasons not to object as Joe McCarthy tore for years at the nation's deepest values.
 
Even worse is the denial... but not exactly a denial. We keep hearing, 'if he has evidence..." which is a way to deny without denying the outright lack of specific claims, forget evidence to support said claims. They aren't saying "The President has failed to demonstrate his case", they ask him to provide the evidence. It is a subtle, but significant difference.

Then we have the issue of the Attorney General.

AG Barr said:
There's been one assertion that would be systemic fraud and that would be the claim that machines were programmed essentially to skew the election results. And the DHS and DOJ have looked into that, and so far, we haven’t seen anything to substantiate that.
Instead of saying "we have no nothing to substantiate the claim", he presents it as a 'well, we haven't found evidence... yet'.

article said:
“Most claims of fraud are very particularized to a particular set of circumstances or actors or conduct. They are not systemic allegations and. And those have been run down; they are being run down,” Barr said. “Some have been broad and potentially cover a few thousand votes. They have been followed up on."
So again... Barr is saying there is fraud, without saying there is fraud... but covers it by noting it isn't systemic.
 
So, 89% of Trump supporters are clinically delusional. I'm not surprised, the GOP is a home for the rationally challenged. I just hope my delusional neighbor gets rid of his signs that I see whenever I am relaxing on the front porch. Come January 21, if they are still there I will peacefully raise the issue, or the ante, his call.
 
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