When a goal, and the pathway to that goal, is clear in one's mind there is no need to make a choice in relation to that goal. There are no options that require considering (the pathway being fully understood). It is with incomplete information that complications arise when a course of action needs to be analyzed decisions based on the analysis of incomplete information need to be made. The need too contemplate and consider are a sign of confusion (to whatever degree) due to insufficient information. An Omniscient Being, should One exist has no need to contemplate, consider or decide. The so called 'decision' is an inherit part of complete knowledge as an action knowingly performed.
When a goal, and the pathway to that goal, is clear in one's mind there is no need to make a choice in relation to that goal. There are no options that require considering (the pathway being fully understood). It is with incomplete information that complications arise when a course of action needs to be analyzed decisions based on the analysis of incomplete information need to be made. The need too contemplate and consider are a sign of confusion (to whatever degree) due to insufficient information. An Omniscient Being, should One exist has no need to contemplate, consider or decide. The so called 'decision' is an inherit part of complete knowledge as an action knowingly performed.
Insufficient information makes decision making easier. The less information you have, the simpler it is to choose.
If you must pick between two cars, and you know nothing about them, then you can just toss a coin.
If you know a little about them, the decision gets harder - One is red and the other is blue. Which to choose - I like blue, but the red one has more chance of being a Ferrari.
Knowing a bit more makes it harder still - They are both Fords (boo). The blue one costs $2,000 more than the red one, but the red one gets better gas mileage. The blue one is ten years old, the red one is only two years old. The blue one was never involved in a crash. The red one was owned by an elderly lady who only ever drove it to the shops. The blue one has a sunroof. The red one has built in GPS. The blue one has cruise control...
The more information you have, the more likely it is that you will pick the option that leads to a better outcome - but at the same time, the harder the decision becomes.
With infinite information, you require an infinite time to decide; but you will always make the best decision.
I don't think I read his book but I saw his ted talk a year ago and I recall one of the examples he gave. He talks about going out to buy a pair of jeans and leaving the mall after three hours of shopping for jeans with the best fitting and most flattering jeans he has ever worn in his life but feeling frustrated and disappointed with the experience. He compares this with buying jeans when he was a child because he would get poorly fitting jeans but he could pick them out in 10 minutes and move on with his life even though the jeans didn't fit well.
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Insufficient information makes decision making easier. The less information you have, the simpler it is to choose.
If you must pick between two cars, and you know nothing about them, then you can just toss a coin.
If you know a little about them, the decision gets harder - One is red and the other is blue. Which to choose - I like blue, but the red one has more chance of being a Ferrari.
Knowing a bit more makes it harder still - They are both Fords (boo). The blue one costs $2,000 more than the red one, but the red one gets better gas mileage. The blue one is ten years old, the red one is only two years old. The blue one was never involved in a crash. The red one was owned by an elderly lady who only ever drove it to the shops. The blue one has a sunroof. The red one has built in GPS. The blue one has cruise control...
The more information you have, the more likely it is that you will pick the option that leads to a better outcome - but at the same time, the harder the decision becomes.
With infinite information, you require an infinite time to decide; but you will always make the best decision.
Depends on the mental disposition of the decision maker, a gambler may just flip a coin.
I should have went into more detail.
The gambler is clear in his goals and expectations, so flipping a coin in order to take a course of action that will determine the state of the rest of his life poses no problems for him.
Clarity comes in many forms.
When a goal, and the pathway to that goal, is clear in one's mind there is no need to make a choice in relation to that goal. There are no options that require considering (the pathway being fully understood). It is with incomplete information that complications arise when a course of action needs to be analyzed decisions based on the analysis of incomplete information need to be made. The need too contemplate and consider are a sign of confusion (to whatever degree) due to insufficient information. An Omniscient Being, should One exist has no need to contemplate, consider or decide. The so called 'decision' is an inherit part of complete knowledge as an action knowingly performed.
Depends on the mental disposition of the decision maker, a gambler may just flip a coin.
I should have went into more detail.
The gambler is clear in his goals and expectations, so flipping a coin in order to take a course of action that will determine the state of the rest of his life poses no problems for him.
Clarity comes in many forms.
All choices are coin flips. Pandering to the notion of mind is subject to phenomenal thinking. Off the edge of the world again.
ah but no monsieur. The brain is adding up decisions into a go decision all of which are switches driven by preponderance of inputs resulting in an effective coin flip.
ah but no monsieur. The brain is adding up decisions into a go decision all of which are switches driven by preponderance of inputs resulting in an effective coin flip.
Sorry, but I don't see how the coin flip analogy applies to neural connectivity. Maybe a more detailed description will help.
Sorry, but I don't see how the coin flip analogy applies to neural connectivity. Maybe a more detailed description will help.
Really? In the beginning there was Sherrington, then Eccles, Hodgkin, and Huxley, then Katz, von Euler, and Axlerod, then Carlsson, Greengard, and Kandel. I think you'll find most of the connectivity issues answered by the work of these luminaries. It comes down switches, gaps, ions, and neurochemicals accepting and communicating with other cells. The congruence of neural outputs and action are related as fair comparisons with ideal observers in a decision theory paradigm.
nuff?
Really? In the beginning there was Sherrington, then Eccles, Hodgkin, and Huxley, then Katz, von Euler, and Axlerod, then Carlsson, Greengard, and Kandel. I think you'll find most of the connectivity issues answered by the work of these luminaries. It comes down switches, gaps, ions, and neurochemicals accepting and communicating with other cells. The congruence of neural outputs and action are related as fair comparisons with ideal observers in a decision theory paradigm.
nuff?
Needs more. Synapses open or closed....sort of like a coin flip, but not arbitrary in terms of application.