bilby
Fair dinkum thinkum
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- Mar 6, 2007
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Very true about statistics. Statistics are very good for indicating averages and trends. Individual measurements such as daily deaths are not giving you the precise value for that point in time. There are simply too many sources of variation happening in the process.We don't know the covid numbers to anything close to the individual number. It's just a typical case of spurious accuracy.
When worldometers declare 12,132 deaths one day and 11,921 the next, it's reasonable to infer that there were about 12,000 deaths each day, and that the number is fairly steady. It's probably more reasonable to say that between 10,000 and 15,000 died on both days.
The idea that the correct number can be known to five significant digits is absurd - but people do love to pretend that statistics are precise.
Yup. It's like the high school chemistry student who reports that they added 17g of solute to 14l of solvent, giving a solution with a concentration of 1.2142857g/l. Sure, we all believe that you measured everything to the nearest tenth of a microgram.