The main factor preventing democracy in the Middle-East is tribalism. Which has nothing at all do with religion. Europe went through the same bullshit. We still managed to emerge as strong democracies. If we can, so can they.
Like evolution with respect to intelligence, there's no evidence that all cultures, given enough time, will produce secular, liberal democracies.
True. We only have one example and that's Europe. A statistical population of one isn't much to create a theory from. But the same could be said of the Middle-East. We only have one Middle-East and the fact that it's not democratic (apart from Israel) doesn't prove anything.
But we do have a global community communicating like crazy. Liberal democracy, as a system of government, is popular. People like freedom. While the western world stays rich, powerful and stable there's no reason to think that the rest of the world won't bit-by-bit edge toward western style liberal democracy. The 20'th century was just one huge massive win for democracy. The number of countries that were democratic just constantly grew and grew. That's a trend that hasn't been slowing down. It might not go as quickly as we might wish. But it is happening.
Why is the change slow? People are afraid of change. That's just normal. Countries with money, especially oil rich countries have little incentive to change. So they won't. That's a problem for the Middle-East. And also something which has nothing to do with religion.
There's a whole host of civic institutions that need to be in place before liberal democracy is possible. We learned that the hard way when colonialism dismantled. In hind-sight it was obvious and inevitable which democracies would fail.
And there is little evidence that Islam has any especially strong desire to produce such systems.
Correlation does not imply causation. Also.. Islam isn't a person. But to use your terminology, Islam managed to produce democracy in Indonesia. 15% of all Muslims live in Indonesia. About 50% of all the world's Christians live in democratic countries. Since democracy started in Europe we did get a head start. Don't you think that alone can explain the discrepancy? Do you really think the problems with establishing democracies in Africa has anything to do with them being Christian or Muslim?
Like any culture, it has people who have an interest in either gaining power or holding onto it at the expense of everyone else, but Muslims countries control exercised through religion to implement authoritarianism. And when the majority is poorly educated, that will hold.
Islam isn't a culture. It's not even an ethnic group. It's just a religion. Christianity isn't a culture either. It's vaguely a group of cultures that are somewhat associated with the religion.
There is certainly tribalism, but that tribalism has deep religious roots: Our version of how to please the Sky God vs. Their version of how to please the Sky God. And both versions provide for killing everyone else who doesn't please the Sky God the right way.
No it doesn't. Tribalism is family. It's got nothing to do with a shared faith. Tribalism just means that blood ties (imagined or real) trump any other consideration.
We see similar, but less extreme versions of it in the U.S. when individuals like Ted Cruz tells certain crowds of people that the law of his god comes first before anything. Thankfully, that shit won't actually fly here and even most Christians don't want the country run as a theocracy. That isn't the case in the ME.
If by God you mean money, then we see it similarly. Iran and ISIS are the only Muslim theocracies out there. That's like 3% of the total Muslim population. Doesn't that disprove your theory about Muslims wanting theocracies? Obviously they don't want it particularly much.