So might the Mueller report say that the Trump campaign was colluding with WikiLeaks instead of Russia?
Damn, son, I think this is
exactly it! Well spotted. Though I think it's even subtler.
Here's a snippet from
What to Make of Bill Barr’s Letter in regard to anything Stone might be indicted on:
Barr’s letter is divided into two main sections, corresponding to what the attorney general characterizes as the two components of the report itself. The first concerns “collusion”—as it has come to be called, though the letter never uses that term—between the Trump campaign and the Russian government. Barr’s account of Mueller’s finding is not quite the “No Collusion!” that the president has so often crowed. Barr does not indicate affirmatively that Mueller found that collusion didn’t happen. The report, rather, makes clear that Mueller did not find evidence of conspiracy to the rigorous standards of the criminal law.
...
Depending on what’s actually in Mueller’s report, the news could get better still for the president. This section of Barr’s summary, after all, is broadly consistent with the Trump campaign’s having had very little to do with Russia’s conduct. While the summary says that there were “multiple offers from Russia-affiliated individuals,” its language is consistent with no one in the campaign having taken the Russians up on it—beyond the public hints and the untoward meetings and communications that are already part of the public record, that is. Yes, the contacts were suspicious, even quite inappropriate, and some people did commit crimes in lying about them both during the campaign and during the transition. But this section of the summary is consistent with a report that says that Mueller looked everywhere yet couldn’t find any knowing engagement on the part of Trump’s campaign with Russia’s interference in the election.
But Barr’s summary would also be broadly consistent with many other possible reports. It would be consistent with, for example, a report that finds lots of “evidence of collusion” that for one reason or another falls short of criminal conduct. It would be consistent with a report that describes conduct that falls short of the criminal standard by the barest of technicalities. It would be consistent with a report that finds that individuals associated with the president’s campaign were aware of the Russian efforts to interfere in the election, welcomed such assistance, and did not in any way warn the American public about it—but who did not take the requisite step of entering into any criminal agreement to assist the effort either. It would also be consistent with a report that suggested that Trump’s principal engagement with the Russians was not over hacked emails at all, but instead about the tower he was negotiating to build in Moscow even as the campaign was going on.
Our point here is not that that report suggests any of these things or that if one squints at Barr’s summary long enough, it is actually bad for the president. It isn’t. The point, rather, is that there is a huge range of conduct and findings that would be consistent with this top-line summary. How good the outcome is for the president—and to what extent it puts L’Affaire Russe to rest—depends on what the underlying facts look like.
But here's something the piece overlooks. Stone was actually
fired by Trump in August of 2015:
As speculation swirled that Trump was considering another presidential run, Stone became an informal adviser to his longtime associate, eventually joining Trump’s official campaign. In a moment of high political drama, Trump fired Stone in August 2015 for being a “publicity seeker,” but Stone continued to support the candidate’s election efforts. In a December 2015 interview with the conspiracy theorist Alex Jones, which was set up by Stone, Trump called his longtime associate “a good guy … so loyal and so wonderful.”
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July–October 2016: Stone tries to get his hands on information that would damage the Clinton campaign
One year after officially leaving the Trump team, Stone made several moves that eventually put him on the radar of Robert Mueller.
In the months just before the 2016 presidential election, WikiLeaks published thousands of emails hacked from the account of the Clinton campaign chairman John Podesta and from the servers of the Democratic National Committee. Stone, who had been trying to find damaging material on Clinton from multiple sources, had sent a series of tweets predicting such a release about the Clinton campaign. “Julian Assange will deliver a devastating expose on Hillary at a time of his choosing,” he wrote in one message. “I stand by my prediction.”
Now go to Barr's letter (from the Lawfare piece; emphasis mine):
Barr describes Mueller’s report as outlining the “Russian effort to influence the election” and documenting “crimes committed by persons associated with the Russian government or in connection with those efforts.” He notes that one of the special counsel’s primary considerations in investigating Russian interference was “whether any Americans—including individuals associated with the Trump campaign—joined the Russian conspiracies to influence the election, which would be a federal crime.”
Mueller’s top-line finding with regard to Russian interference, as Barr quotes it, is that “the investigation did not establish that members of the Trump Campaign conspired or coordinated with the Russian government in its election interference activities.” In a footnote, Barr specifies that the Mueller report defined “‘coordination’ as an ‘agreement—tacit or express–between the Trump Campaign and the Russian government on election interference.’”
It is specific to "members of the Trump Campaign." Stone was
not a member of the Trump campaign at the time he nevertheless acted. And, further, as you noted, Stone did not conspire or coordinate "with the Russian government." He conspired/coordinated with Julian Assange, who was conspiring/coordinating with the Russian
hackers, NOT the "Russian government."
With that in mind, we see (emphasis mine):
The attorney general then provides a brief, high-level summary of Mueller’s indictment of members of Russian military intelligence: “Russian government actors successfully hacked into computers and obtained emails from persons affiliated with the Clinton campaign and Democratic Party organizations, and publicly disseminated those materials through various intermediaries, including WikiLeaks.” Those activities, says Barr, led the special counsel to bring criminal charges against “a number of Russian military officers for conspiring to hack into computers in the United States for purposes of influencing the election.” Barr again emphasizes that “the Special Counsel did not find that the Trump campaign, or anyone associated with it, conspirated or coordinated with the Russian government in these efforts, despite multiple offers from Russian-affiliated individuals to assist the Trump campaign.”
It may or may not be significant that Barr does not here make references to U.S. persons not affiliated with the Trump campaign, as he did when describing the special counsel’s investigation of the IRA’s efforts. Nor does he address the possibility of conspiracy or coordination with the “various intermediaries” to which he previously referred.
More importantly, Barr also leaves unanswered whether Russia’s “multiple offers” of assistance to the Trump campaign refer only to events Mueller has already chronicled (including Joseph Mifsud’s efforts to reach out to George Papadopoulos and attempts by Russian nationals to reach out to Michael Cohen in late 2015), if the report will also include events previously reported in the press (such as the Trump Tower meeting between Trump campaign associates including Donald Trump Jr., Jared Kushner, and Paul Manafort and Russian government associates offering “dirt” on Hillary Clinton), or whether it will offer an even more substantial history of efforts on the part of the Russian government to engage and aid the Trump campaign.
Not only was Stone fired (
VERY publicly no less, but over behavior that Trump could not possibly have personally cared about all things considered), but he was fired in early August of 2015. That was only
two months into the
primary bid for Trump.
All of the following is taken from the former Bill Moyers hosted
Trump-Putin Timeline that Dan Rather has taken over. The IRA is formed in 2013. All throughout 2013, Trump publicly praises Putin and inexplicably just decides to hold the Miss Universe pageant in Moscow. That (imo) is when Putin "activates" Trump (to use spy vernacular) for the express purpose of putting him into the WH. Around this same time, Steve Bannon creates Cambridge Analytica.
Here, however, is the key bit as it relates to Stone and the fact that he was brought on board and then two months into the official campaign was fired (emphasis mine):
Beginning “at least as early as 2014” and continuing through Election Day 2016, Russian government-affiliated actors undertake a wide variety of intelligence-related activities targeting the US voting process,” according to a May 8, 2018 Senate Intelligence Committee Report.
Specifically, in April of 2014:
The 'Translator Project' Begins; Supports Trump; Exploits Divisions Among US Voters
Russia's Internet Research Agency forms a department dubbed the “translator project.” Its purpose is to interfere with the US political system, including the 2016 presidential election, by spreading distrust in 2016 US presidential candidates and the political system in general. It focuses on the US population and conducts operations on social media platforms, including YouTube, Instagram, Facebook and Twitter. By July 2016, more than 80 IRA employees are assigned to the translator project, and it is actively supporting Donald Trump.
According to the Washington Post’s later reporting on an independent study for the Senate Intelligence Committee released in December 2018, “[T]he efforts to manipulate Americans grew sharply in 2014 and every year after, as teams of operatives spread their work across more platforms and accounts to target larger swaths of US voters by geography, political interests, race, religion and other factors.”
The report states that all of the messaging “clearly sought to benefit the Republican Party — and specifically Donald Trump… Trump is mentioned most in campaigns targeting conservatives and right-wing voters, where the messaging encouraged these groups to support his campaign. The main groups that could challenge Trump were then provided messaging that sought to confuse, distract and ultimately discourage members from voting.”
Discussing the findings, The New York Times notes, “The voter suppression effort was focused particularly on [Sen. Bernie] Sanders supporters and African-Americans, urging them to shun [Hillary] Clinton in the general election and either vote for [Green Party candidate Jill] Stein or stay home.”
We have numerous confirmations directly from Trump that he had been in personal contact with Putin in late 2013:
Trump Says Putin Contacted Him in November 2013
In a Fox & Friends telephone interview, Trump talks about Vladimir Putin: “When I went to Russia with the Miss Universe pageant, he contacted me and was so nice. And, you know, I mean the Russian people were so fantastic to us. I can say this. They are doing — they’re outsmarting us at many turns.”
...
At the 2014 Conservative Political Action Conference, Trump says: “You know, I was in Moscow a couple of months ago. I own the Miss Universe pageant and they treated me so great. Putin even sent me a present, a beautiful present.”
...
Speaking at a National Press Club luncheon [May 27, 2014], Trump says, “I own the Miss Universe [pageant]. I was in Russia. I was in Moscow recently. And I spoke indirectly and directly with President Putin who could not have been nicer. And we had a tremendous success.”
June, 2014:
Massive Facebook Data Leak Underway; Cambridge Analytica in Contact With Russians
Seeking to develop psychographic tools that would identify the personalities of American voters and influence their behavior, Cambridge Analytica hired Russian-American academic Dr. Aleksandr Kogan to harvest personal data from Facebook. To obtain Facebook’s data, Kogan discloses to Facebook only that he is using an “app” that he has developed as a user survey to collect information solely for academic purposes. Steve Bannon, vice president, secretary, and board member of Cambridge Analytica, approves the company’s strategy and expenditures for the project, according to Cambridge Analytica’s former research director, Christopher Wylie.
...
Russians Visit Us
Using false information to obtain US visas, two Russians working for Internet Research Agency’s translator project travel throughout the US to gather intelligence for their interference operations.
July 22, 2014:
Giuliani’s Law Firm Warns Cambridge Analytica
As legal counsel to Cambridge Analytica, a partner in Rudy Giuliani’s law firm—Bracewell & Giuliani—writes a memo to the company’s CEO Alexander Nix, vice-president Steve Bannon and financial backer Rebekah Mercer warning about US laws limiting the involvement of foreign nationals in American elections: “To the extent you are aware of foreign nationals providing services, including polling and marketing, it would appear that unless it is being done through US citizens, or foreign nationals with green cards, the activity would violate the law.”
Summer 2015:
Dutch Intelligence Notifies US Intelligence About Russian Hack of DNC
Dutch AIVD (General Intelligence and Security Service) notifies its American counterparts that Cozy Bear, a hacking group believed to be tied to the Russian government, has hacked into the Democratic National Committee.
And June 2015:
BETWEEN JUNE 2015 AND AUGUST 2017
150 Million Americans See Social Media Content From Russian-Government-Linked Troll Farm
In written testimony provided to the Senate Judiciary Subcommittee on Crime and Terrorism a year after the election, Facebook’s general counsel says that 29 million people were served content directly from a Russian-government-linked troll farm — the Internet Research Agency — on its platform between June 2015 and August 2017.
...
BETWEEN JUNE 2015 AND NOVEMBER 2016
Russian Twitter Accounts Back Trump
According to a later analysis by The Wall Street Journal, “Russian Twitter accounts posing as Americans began lavishing praise on Mr. Trump and attacking his rivals within weeks after he announced his bid for the presidency in June 2015… In the three months after Mr. Trump announced his presidential candidacy on June 16, 2015, tweets from Russian accounts reviewed by The Journal offered far more praise for the real-estate businessman than criticism — by nearly a 10-to-1 margin. At the same time, the accounts generally were hostile to Mrs. Clinton and the early GOP front-runner, Jeb Bush, by equal or greater margins.”
Much, much more of course, but the point is firmly established that by the time Stone was brought on, ALL of this had been going on in full force and the machinery/actors/logistics were all apparently well-established. Which necessarily means that they had to have been set up and given their orders and prepared the strategy, etc., long before (i.e., 2013).
What was needed then was someone
exactly like Stone to be the coordinator, so they bring him on officially and then perhaps reveal the full extent of what's going on and what his role will be, or maybe he's never told the full extent (but I doubt it). That's the point of the indictment.
Regardless, he can't remain part of the campaign in any official capacity no matter how much he knows about who is behind it all. Hence the firing. And since he only coordinated with Julian Assange, there is no direct link to anyone in the Russian
government and therefore everything in the Barr letter that carefully avoids such connections is technically (legally) valid.
He just omits all of the relevant parts and, like all lawyers, obfuscates through careful word choice.
I think the code has been cracked! Nicely done.