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Pelosi: Impeachment Is Moving Forward

An interesting panel discussion on the impeachment proceedings at the Brookings Institution aired on C-SPAN this past weekend. I was really impressed with Susan Hennessey's comments. Here's a good assessment by her of what constitutes effective impeachment charges. It starts at about 23:07 on the video. (Sorry for the all-caps on the auto-transcription.)
At 23:07 in the video -

... WHEN YOU THINK ABOUT WHAT ACTUALLY MIGHT FALL WITH IN THOSE ARTICLES OF IMPEACHMENT, WE ARE SEEING A HUGE TREND RIGHT NOW OF PEOPLE MOVING FORWARD ON THIS NARROW UKRAINE CALL ALL THE WAY TO PEOPLE SAYING YOU SHOULD INCLUDE FAMILY SEPARATION EVERYTHING WE HAVE SEEN THE PRESIDENT DO. WHATEVER WE THINK ABOUT WHAT SHOULD BE IN THE CODES OF IMPEACHMENT, THINK ABOUT TWO THINGS. YOU WANT UNAMBIGUOUSLY IMPEACHABLE CONDUCT AND YOU WANT UNAMBIGUOUSLY STRONG HABITS.

WE HAVE SOME AREAS IN WHICH THERE IS VERY STRONG EVIDENCE BUT IT'S NOT CLEAR IT'S IMPEACHABLE CONDUCT. EVIDENCE OF WRONGDOING. THE STORMY DANIELS PAYMENTS, PRE-PRESIDENTIAL CONDUCT THAT IMPLICATES CAMPAIGN-FINANCE LAW. WE HAVE A CLEAR EVIDENTIARY RECORD BUT THE QUESTION OF WHETHER PRE-PRESIDENTIAL CONDUCT WOULD FALL WITHIN THAT STARTS TO BECOME MORE DIFFICULT. THE EMOLUMENTS CLAUSE'S VIOLATION, VERY SERIOUS QUESTIONS, SOME OPEN QUESTIONS ABOUT THE CONSTITUTION, CONGRESS IS NOT YET TAKEN STEPS TO MAKE THE LAWS. GENUINE POLICY DIFFERENCES, EVEN THINGS WE MIGHT FIND PERSONALLY ABHORRENT LIKE FAMILY SEPARATION WHICH IS A POLICY DISAGREEMENT, YOU DON'T GET TO IMPEACH FOR THAT. THERE IS A DIFFERENT CATEGORY WHICH IS UNSATISFYING TO LEAVE THAT ON THE TABLE.

THERE'S ANOTHER CATEGORY OF PLAINLY IMPEACHABLE CONDUCT IN WHICH THE EVIDENCE IS NOT QUITE STRONG ENOUGH. TO PRESIDENT REPORTEDLY HAS OFFERED PEOPLE PARDONS IN EXCHANGE FOR VIOLATING THE LAW IN THE CONTEXT OF BORDER SECURITY. UNAMBIGUOUSLY IMPEACHABLE CONDUCT, THE RECORD IS MURKY, MAYBE HE WAS KIDDING OR MAYBE HE DIDN'T SAY IT.

WE HAVE TO ASK OURSELVES, PUTTING THAT STUFF ASIDE, WHAT ARE WE LEFT WITH? WE THINK ABOUT ON THEM VIGOROUSLY IMPEACHABLE AND STRONG EVIDENCE. THE ANSWER TO THAT QUESTION IS A LOT. [LAUGHTER]

THE FIRST ONE IS OBSTRUCTION OF JUSTICE. THIS IS THE BIG QUESTION THAT REMAINS AFTER THE MUELLER REPORT. NOT EVERY EPISODE OBSTRUCTION OF JUSTICE IS RESTRUNG BUT THERE ARE TWO OR THREE THAT ARE UNAMBIGUOUSLY -- THE STATUTORY REQUIREMENTS -- WE WOULD EXPECT TO SEE THE PRESIDENT POTENTIALLY IMPEACH FOR THAT.

ABUSE OF FOREIGN POLICY POWERS ARE USING FOREIGN POLICY POWERS FOR PERSONAL GAIN, THAT'S AN ABUSE. INVITING FOREIGN INTERFERENCE IN AMERICAN ELECTIONS IS AN ABUSE. THE VIOLATION OF THE OATH OF OFFICE OR TARGETING POLITICAL OPPONENTS FOR INVESTIGATIONS, NOT JUST IN A FOREIGN CONTEXT BUT ALSO THINGS LIKE DIRECTING THE ATTORNEY GENERAL TO INVESTIGATE HILLARY CLINTON'S EMAILS. THAT IS NOT AN APPROPRIATE USE OF U.S. LAW ENFORCEMENT. OBSTRUCTION OF CONGRESS, THE REFUSAL TO REPLY TO SUBPOENAS, THE FRIVOLOUS ASSERTIONS OF PRIVILEGE OVER PEOPLE LIKE COREY LEWANDOWSKI COMETH THAT IS OBSTRUCTING CONGRESS AND ITS FUNCTION. LAST CATEGORY IS LIES TO THE AMERICAN PUBLIC. THIS IS SOMETHING WE SAW IN THE DRAFT ARTICLES OF IMPEACHMENT FOR RICHARD NIXON AND AGAINST BILL CLINTON AS WELL, LYING TO THE AMERICAN PUBLIC IS NOT A CRIME. IT IS IMPEACHABLE CONDUCT AND IT DOES ERODE BASIC DEMOCRATIC ACCOUNTABILITY. THERE IS A VERY LONG, VERY STRONG RECORD THAT SUPPORTS IMPEACHMENT.
 
How long before he tries to order a strike on Congress?

Conventional or nuclear?
 
Ok, Ford is not a career intelligence officer or diplomat, just a private citizen.

As for Garland, now you're wiggling...there's no indication at this time that McConnell will try to sleaze out of an impeachment trial. The opposite, in fact.

Granted, Trump may come through this. But it's far more serious than anything past. Roy Cohn, Trump's hero, for all his chutzpah, was eventually taken down.
Me... wiggle? I’m just not underestimating the callous disregard to democracy the GOP has. McConnell has already hinted at his path of a bs trial.

And lets not forget, McConnell and the GOP already wiggled out of the Mueller Report. It will take a remarkable amount of partisan bs to save Trump’s ass, and the GOP is leaning closer to saving Trump than their political dignity, what little that remains.
The GOP doesn't have a callous disregard for voters. If enough voters turn on Trump, the Repugs will bail.
The conspiracy theories are flying on Limbaugh and even Prager today. The right-wing seems to be hunkering down. While the GOP in the Senate are still in a pause moment, it is going to take so much for them to intercede on the Trump Admin.

Steele Dossier? Left-wing deep state plot. (well sure it was... too bad they didn't take it to the press BEFORE the election!)
Mueller Report? Didn't find anything wrong. (no... that isn't true at all)
Ukraine whistleblower? When are we going to put Hunter Biden in jail?
 
How long before he tries to order a strike on Congress?

Conventional or nuclear?
Conventional. He orders property in DC. Pretty sure his insurers won't pay for damages done in a strike he ordered... Oh! Maybe it could be an attempt of insurance fraud? THEN we'll have him, by god.
 
The GOP doesn't have a callous disregard for voters. If enough voters turn on Trump, the Repugs will bail.
The conspiracy theories are flying on Limbaugh and even Prager today. The right-wing seems to be hunkering down. While the GOP in the Senate are still in a pause moment, it is going to take so much for them to intercede on the Trump Admin.

Steele Dossier? Left-wing deep state plot. (well sure it was... too bad they didn't take it to the press BEFORE the election!)
Mueller Report? Didn't find anything wrong. (no... that isn't true at all)
Ukraine whistleblower? When are we going to put Hunter Biden in jail?

And we all know the moon landings were staged, and there's bigfoot being concealed in national labs, and aliens, and ...
 
The GOP doesn't have a callous disregard for voters. If enough voters turn on Trump, the Repugs will bail.
The conspiracy theories are flying on Limbaugh and even Prager today. The right-wing seems to be hunkering down. While the GOP in the Senate are still in a pause moment, it is going to take so much for them to intercede on the Trump Admin.

Steele Dossier? Left-wing deep state plot. (well sure it was... too bad they didn't take it to the press BEFORE the election!)
Mueller Report? Didn't find anything wrong. (no... that isn't true at all)
Ukraine whistleblower? When are we going to put Hunter Biden in jail?

And we all know the moon landings were staged, and there's bigfoot being concealed in national labs, and aliens, and ...
But it is conservative chic to go with this stuff.
 
Why the House Democratic Caucus Was Able to Move So Rapidly Toward Impeachment
On Wednesday, September 18, as Democrats prepped for a series of private meetings, it was clear that nerves had been frayed. August had been a challenge for the party’s rank-and-file, as activists and angry citizens back home browbeat them at town halls, grocery stores, and local events for the party’s unwillingness to impeach President Donald Trump. “We spent all summer getting the shit kicked out of us back home,” said one Democrat who received such treatment. The day before, former Trump adviser Corey Lewandowski had made a mockery of the Judiciary Committee’s interview of him, betraying open contempt for the process and the people running it.
The Democratic Party's inaction was becoming almost as much a scandal as Trump's misdeeds, as AOC put it.
In order to placate a small handful of front-liners — perhaps as few as seven or eight — the entire party was being dragged down and routinely humiliated by Trump’s contempt for the rule of law.

That grassroots anger was translating into primary challenges, he noted, and needlessly furious constituents. Rep. Cheri Bustos, the chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, and a champion of doing nothing when it came to Trump, had recently counted as many as 111 primaries, far more than a typical cycle. The members without official primary challenges were by no means safe, either, as they might soon draw a challenge unless the trajectory of the politics changed.
Jon Favreau on Twitter: "This is absolutely insane. We have lifelong conservatives writing pieces about how Trump should be impeached and @SpeakerPelosi’s advisers are still telling reporters they refuse to hold the President accountable. This is pathetic.
This is not what we worked so hard for in 2018 https://t.co/ZVXEuLilTB" / Twitter


Then on Tuesday, Nancy Pelosi gave the go-ahead.

Then Monday night, six of the most vocal opponents of impeachment, the type Raskin was referring to at last week’s meeting, published a joint op-ed in the Washington Post, calling for impeachment proceedings to begin: The authors, all front-line freshmen, included Spanberger, Slotkin, Gil Cisneros of California, Houlahan, Luria, and Sherrill. (Jason Crow of Colorado also signed, but he had previously come out in support of impeachment.)

They would be followed Tuesday by more front-liners advancing impeachment, including New York Reps. Antonio Delgado and Tom Suozzi. And then they were followed by Pelosi, who called a meeting Tuesday afternoon to tell members she was moving forward with impeachment, though she hadn’t decided if there would be a special committee formed, or if it would go through a regular process.

Rep. Gerry Connolly, a Democrat from Virginia, left the meeting calling it “both significant and anti-climactic.” He had called for impeachment in August.
The DCCC had tried to argue that many Democratic voters don't like the idea of impeachment that much.
The polling pales in comparison to the scale of Trump’s Ukraine gambit.“This is extortion of a foreign leader. This is abuse of office in the most sordid way to get dirt on a prospective political opponent,” Connolly said, calling it “beyond the pale.”
Finally something big enough to spur the more cowardly Democrats into action, it seems.
 
The polls ignored the amount of zeal -- pro-impeachment ones felt more strongly than anti-impeachment ones, and they were more likely to be activists. Pro-impeachment ones were even talking about primarying reluctant Democrats, and I'm sure that they all know what happened to their long-time colleague Joe Crowley.

The heads of two committees had been slow-walking impeachment because they wanted to get Trump's support for some of their pet projects. Richard Neal (D-MA, Ways and Means) for a retirement-security package, and Peter DiFazio (D-OR, Transportation and Infrastructure) for an infrastructure deal. Both of them now have primary challenges.

I'm in Peter DeFazio's district, so I may be having a very interesting primary vote.

She's challenging Tom Suozzi:
Melanie D'Arrigo for Congress on Twitter: "Too little, too late. When it comes to Democratic priorities like impeaching Trump, Suozzi is last to the table. By waiting this long, Suozzi ignored a clear threat to our safety & national security for the sake of his GOP allies. https://t.co/bytvsjAN7L" / Twitter

He's challenging Peter DeFazio:
doyle canning on Twitter: "Congressional Democrats must start impeachment today setting a path for a floor vote to #ImpeachTrump before 2020. #Timetotakeastand https://t.co/7DswgXrXzg" / Twitter

He's challenging Richard Neal:
Alex Morse on Twitter: "While @RepRichardNeal drags his feet on holding this president accountable on tax returns instead of leading the fight, he’s been the biggest obstacle to corruption oversight. His refusal to support impeachment proceedings of the most corrupt president in history is unacceptable." / Twitter
Another Alex :D
 
CNN Erases Women of Color Leading Impeachment Push as Trump Attacks
here is a growing double narrative about who deserves credit for the effort to impeach President Donald Trump. One side of the narrative, coming primarily from the media, lauds late-coming figures to impeachment as saviors, and the other, coming from Trump, tears down impeachment’s early adopters as malicious traitors. Though the two campaigns are almost diametrically opposed, their effects are the same: to question the legitimacy and “seriousness” of leftists and women of color who have risen to leadership positions in our national politics.
Rashida Tlaib (D-MI), an off-white woman, memorably called for impeaching the "motherfucker" soon after she was sworn in, but Maxine Waters (D-CA), a black woman was for impeachment well into 2017, and Al Green (D-TX), a black man, was the first to file articles of impeachment.
Ignoring the work of these people of color, CNN instead lifted up as “unlikely leaders on impeachment” Slotkin and Rep. Abigail Spanberger, D-Va., both former CIA officers; Chrissy Houlahan, D-Pa., an ex-Air Force officer; and Mikie Sherrill, D-N.J., and Elaine Luria, D-Va., who are both former Navy officers. All of these women were against impeachment not long ago — some of them as recently as mid-September
 
Donald Trump’s long history of racism, from the 1970s to 2019 - Vox
1991: A book by John O’Donnell, former president of Trump Plaza Hotel and Casino in Atlantic City, quoted Trump’s criticism of a black accountant: “Black guys counting my money! I hate it. The only kind of people I want counting my money are short guys that wear yarmulkes every day. … I think that the guy is lazy. And it’s probably not his fault, because laziness is a trait in blacks. It really is, I believe that. It’s not anything they can control.” Trump at first denied the remarks, but later said in a 1997 Playboy interview that “the stuff O’Donnell wrote about me is probably true.”
He wants only Jews counting his money, it seems. So I doubt that Trump is an anti-Semite as much as someone with complicated and contradictory attitudes toward Jews.
 
Why the House Democratic Caucus Was Able to Move So Rapidly Toward Impeachment

The Democratic Party's inaction was becoming almost as much a scandal as Trump's misdeeds, as AOC put it.

Jon Favreau on Twitter: "This is absolutely insane. We have lifelong conservatives writing pieces about how Trump should be impeached and @SpeakerPelosi’s advisers are still telling reporters they refuse to hold the President accountable. This is pathetic.
This is not what we worked so hard for in 2018 https://t.co/ZVXEuLilTB" / Twitter


Then on Tuesday, Nancy Pelosi gave the go-ahead.

Then Monday night, six of the most vocal opponents of impeachment, the type Raskin was referring to at last week’s meeting, published a joint op-ed in the Washington Post, calling for impeachment proceedings to begin: The authors, all front-line freshmen, included Spanberger, Slotkin, Gil Cisneros of California, Houlahan, Luria, and Sherrill. (Jason Crow of Colorado also signed, but he had previously come out in support of impeachment.)

They would be followed Tuesday by more front-liners advancing impeachment, including New York Reps. Antonio Delgado and Tom Suozzi. And then they were followed by Pelosi, who called a meeting Tuesday afternoon to tell members she was moving forward with impeachment, though she hadn’t decided if there would be a special committee formed, or if it would go through a regular process.

Rep. Gerry Connolly, a Democrat from Virginia, left the meeting calling it “both significant and anti-climactic.” He had called for impeachment in August.
The DCCC had tried to argue that many Democratic voters don't like the idea of impeachment that much.
The polling pales in comparison to the scale of Trump’s Ukraine gambit.“This is extortion of a foreign leader. This is abuse of office in the most sordid way to get dirt on a prospective political opponent,” Connolly said, calling it “beyond the pale.”
Finally something big enough to spur the more cowardly Democrats into action, it seems.
Why were the Dems hesitant? Remember Mueller Report and how Barr fixed it.

We now have a transcript of him abusing power and only a couple in the GOP are saying it was wrong, but impeachment is a bridge too far. Most are proclaiming a nation wide conspiracy for the Dems to fix... the 2016 election.

Pelosi was forced into an impeachment inquiry because the Ukrainian conversation was too egregious.
 
Republicans try an old punchline to defend Trump: It's just a joke - CNNPolitics
A President walks out onto the White House lawn and says that China should investigate the Bidens because "what happened in China is just about as bad as what happened with Ukraine."

Ba-da-boom.

That's the punchline, at least according to Republican Florida Sen. Marco Rubio. It was a joke. And we just don't get it. "I don't think it's a real request," Rubio said. "I think he did it to get you guys. I think he did it to provoke you to ask me and others and get outraged by it. He plays it like a violin and everyone falls into it. That's not a real request."

...
If past is indeed prologue, as they say, the joke alibi will remain. After all, it has worked before for Trump when staff have had to do clean-up after his outrageous comments or claims.

Consider these greatest hits: Remember when candidate Trump said, "Russia, if you're listening, I hope you're able to find the 30,000 (Hillary Clinton) emails that are missing"? When asked about it by special counsel Robert Mueller, Trump's written answer was essentially "lighten up." The emails statement, Trump's lawyers wrote, was made "in jest and sarcastically, as was apparent to any objective observer."
How is one supposed to tell what is serious and what is a joke?

CNN Politics on Twitter: "Republicans try a new excuse to defend Trump: It's just a joke | Analysis by CNN’s Gloria Borger [url]https://t.co/Yg70KCGFC4 https://t.co/LjDitLHqy5" / Twitter[/url]
then
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on Twitter: "When Republicans say our nation‘s laws are “just a joke,” they mean it.
They treat our country as a joke, our communities as a joke, and our future as a joke.
For the GOP, as long as the rich get richer, they are happy to play games with American lives. https://t.co/y8TRhgeHkG" / Twitter
 
9 scenarios for how the Trump-Ukraine impeachment process could end - Vox

1) Trump doesn’t get impeached
2) Trump could be forced to resign
3) Mitch McConnell could spike the trial
4) A rigorous trial leads to a party-line acquittal
5) Trump is acquitted, despite an anti-Trump majority
6) The GOP splits, and Trump is removed from office
7) Pence is complicit, and he’s removed too
8) The Presidential Succession Act might be unconstitutional
9) President Steve Mnuchin
 
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/10/08/us/politics/sondland-trump-ukraine-impeach.html


WASHINGTON — The Trump administration directed a top American diplomat involved in its pressure campaign on Ukraine not to appear Tuesday morning for a scheduled interview in the House’s impeachment inquiry.

The decision to block Gordon D. Sondland, the United States ambassador to the European Union, from speaking with investigators for three House committees is certain to provoke an immediate conflict with potentially profound consequences for the White House and President Trump. House Democrats have repeatedly warned that if the administration tries to interfere with their investigation, it will be construed as obstruction, a charge they see as potentially worthy of impeachment.

Democrats from the House Intelligence, Foreign Affairs and Oversight and Government Affairs committees did not immediately respond on Tuesday.

But in making the decision, hours before he was scheduled to sit for a deposition in the basement of the Capitol, the Trump administration appears to be calculating that it is better off risking the House’s ire than letting Mr. Sondland show up and set a precedent for cooperation with an inquiry they have strenuously argued is illegitimate.



What's next?
 
What's next?
I'd guess more obstruction.

I think you're right. And, this is why some of. us were hesitant to support impeachment. The good news is that the latest polls suggest that 58% of American now support impeachment and 49% support Trump's removal from office. Things are changing quickly so maybe there is hope. I hope.
 
What's next?
I'd guess more obstruction.

I think you're right. And, this is why some of. us were hesitant to support impeachment. The good news is that the latest polls suggest that 58% of American now support impeachment and 49% support Trump's removal from office. Things are changing quickly so maybe there is hope. I hope.
Independents are the first domino, which then hopefully ends with the Senate GOP toppling. But we just don't know.
 
And so far, from what I've seen on MSNBC, the % who want him impeached has reached 58% while his approval numbers are where they've been since August, 38%, which means the 5 or 6% of nominal independents who like him has not changed since the Ukraine headlines hit. Apparently when you make a deal with a slow-witted devil, you keep it.
 
Regarding the 58% supporting impeachment inquiry...

One thing stands out. Dems have a 5 pt positive on approval of how they are handling the impeachment inquiry 49 to 44. The Republicans are -23 pt at 33 to 56 for approval. That is very interesting. Close to 2 to 1 found that the Ukrainian call was somewhat/very inappropriate to appropriate.

Now the troubling issue.

Do you support the impeachment inquiry:

Strongly yes: 43
Somewhat yes: 15
Somewhat no: 9
Strongly no: 29

I'm not certain Trump can do anything that would change a single "Strongly No" person into a yes person, meaning, there is pretty much just 1 in 10 people that are left to sway here. The, Trump is a bastard, but I hate Democrats so much I can't support the inquiry type people. But, if that number of people did sway, we'd go from shy of 3 in 5 Americans to 2 in 3 supporting impeachment. Honestly 58% is a pretty big number. Last time a person got that much in a vote for President was in '84.

The article refers to how ideologies responded. 57% of independents support the inquiry (49% support removing Trump from office!). That is a big number! So we'll likely continue with an inquiry with little Senate GOP fanfare... they'll just say that Trump did wrong, but it isn't impeachable. It isn't like he lied about sex while under oath.
 
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