One obvious conclusion is that the evidence does not support the initial allegations that the rebels did it.
Almost immediately after the plane came down both Ukraine and the USA accused the rebels. I was sitting in my office, morning time in Australia when on TV a now discredited and no longer mentioned "proof" was aired.This proof is no longer mentioned.
Writing a crime play (And showing SBU MH17 taps are frauds)
John Kerry himself was soon saying the same thing. This was before intelligence analysts would have had time to reach a solid conclusion. This conclusion it seems, once the analysts had time to analyse, did not match with the evidence. Which puts the intelligence analysts in a difficult position (again).