I think if Biden were to become the nominee and he chose Stacey Abrams as his running mate, he would probably win.
I don't think Stacey Abrams is seasoned enough for a presidential election. After all, she is only a former state legislator. Each Georgia House district is only about 60k people (about half the population of South Bend, IN) and her district (89th) is so blue, she ran unopposed.
If she wants to prove her mettle let her run for Senate or House. Or maybe try again for statewide office. But for 2020, she would not make a good running mate. After all, Biden's vice president would be one 78 year (at time of inauguration) old's heartbeat away from the presidency.
I don't see Bloomberg as having a chance. I'm not even sure he's really going to enter the race.
He thinks Biden might falter and that Warren has no chance to beat Trump (or whoever is actually on the ballot in 2020).
He's not well liked by black voters due to the "stop and frisk" policy, started un his forerunner Rudy ( yuck ) but expanded under him.
You seem to think that what black people think should be the sole determination of who a good candidate is.
Also, what's wrong with "stop and frisk"? It's necessary when you have many illegal guns in the streets. It is certainly better than what's been going on under DeBlasio, which is thugs feeling emboldened to dump water on police officers and trash on police cars.
He's been a Dem and a Repub and an independent over the years.
So possibly an independent thinker. We need more of that and less blind party loyalty.
He's socially liberal but way too fiscally conservative for most Democrats.
But is he too socially conservative for most Americans? Democrats are a minority of the electorate. Democrats + Independents are a majority. Bloomberg in the general would win over Independents much easier than say Warren.
Maybe he could beat Trump but I'm not convinced of that and I seriously doubt he would become the nominee.
I think he would almost certainly beat Trump, but unless the stars align just right, he will have an almost impossibly steep hill to climb in the primaries.
Warren and Sanders are both considered too far left for the middle and southern parts of the country. I find it odd that most of Bernie's supporters are younger voters, when you consider his age and health. I've said this before, but those of us old enough to have voted for George McGovern in 1972, don't want to watch someone who is very progressive lose again. Sanders is the only candidate that I would have a very hard time voting for, but he doesn't have a chance of winning in Georgia, so it's mute.
You are right that Sanders and Warren are too far left. But Democratic primaries are not winner take all, so somebody not being able to win a state is not a reason not to vote for them at all. They can still get some good delegates.
I like Warren, but I have no doubt, despite what Derec says, that sexism is part of the reason why she would have a hard time winning a national election. It would also be difficult for her to win enough swing states. So both her gender and her unrealistic policies would be big obstacles for her.
I disagree. I think Americans would vote for a woman depending on the candidate. Likability is important for both male and female politicians.
Mayor Pete is simply too young and inexperienced
You think Mayor Pete is too inexperienced and yet you think Former State Representative Stacey should be one heartbeat away?
and I actually agree with Derec when he said that short men don't usually win presidential elections int he US. He's 5'8". That's as stupid as gender discrimination, but it's a real thing. Plus, he seems phony to me, and his record in Indiana leaves a lot of black voters unlikely to vote for him in the primaries.
Again you with the black voters. They should not be seen as
sine qua non, that Democratic candidates must forever pander to them no matter what. And what is his damaging "record" in South Bend anyway? I can only think of that guy who got shot by police, but a) it was not Mayor Pete who shot him and b) apparently he had a knife. Just because a black man was shot by police, does not mean that the shooting was unjustified and it certainly doesn't mean that the mayor was responsible for it.
I just don't see him as presidential. I don't see him having much chance of winning enough swing states either. Maybe one day, he'll be ready to take on a bigger role.
I also think he needs more seasoning.
Regardless of what I think, the other unmentioned candidates aren't gaining any steam and are unlikely to at this point. I wish they'd back out soon. And, it's rather odd, or disappointing that so many Democrats aren't sure of who they want to run, or have changed their minds several times. One of my friends has gone from Biden to Booker to Warren. I need to ask her if she's changed her mind again.
According to
Hillary, many people want her to run. And
Deval Patrick is trying to get in too. It might be a second wave of entrants.