Has it never occurred to you that there might possibly be some prisoners in the British penal system who are trans, but who have refrained from announcing that fact?!?
Then that's a massive failure on your part to think critically.
because there are heavy incentives for trans people in the system to at least be out to the system,
And it would be rational for a prisoner to depend on the prison staff to keep what they know about him or her confidential, and trust them to never reveal it to the other prisoners, because... ?
and there is a trend among sex offenders to use bad faith immediately after capture to claim they are trans.
So you admit that prisoner self-reporting to the MoJ is an unreliable trans identification procedure, and that prisoners' self-reporting may be influenced by incentives and not just by their own personal commitment to complete openness. And yet you insist on treating a statistic gathered by this method as settling the matter.
There is a selection bias to over-report being trans particularly among sex offenders.
Obviously. Otherwise prison-identified trans prisoners' crimes would not skew so wildly toward sex offenses. It's a mystery why you would assume sex-offender statistics tell us much at all about the population of trans criminals who aren't sex offenders. The prison system gives different incentives to sex offenders from regular criminals. Duh!
Your data is either bad for your claim or really bad for your claim.
It's Oleg's data, not mine. You refused to read
my data, remember?
I have clearly identified trends in my corner and you have what? A hand wave?
No, I have a study I linked to that you dismissed after reading only the abstract and reading it carelessly. The study I linked didn't have the blatantly obvious methodological problem the MoJ data supposedly "in your corner" has. (And if you seriously believed the MoJ data was reliable, why the devil would you imagine data saying 58.9% of transwomen criminals are
sex offenders is "in your corner"?)
Because while you keep screaming "ItS A PrObLeM! PeNiS PerSoN WaNt bE WiTh WiMmINS!"
Stop putting words in my mouth. If you want to impute a view to me, quote me.
The fact is that you want to villainize trans people because the conservatives need a new enemy now that people like TeH GaYs too much to hate on them for now, at least in this moment in history.
Where "fact" is a word that here means "whatever imbecilic fantasy Jarhyn makes up out of whole cloth". You are trumping up false damaging claims about me and other posters with malice and with reckless disregard for the truth -- if we used real names here your libels would be actionable. I have never vilified trans people or treated them as enemies; you have never had a reason to believe I have; and I'm not a conservative. Stop assuming your opponents are the caricatures of them you draw in your own mind, and stop behaving like a jerk.
This will be true no matter how much sophistry you commit to.
You do not have a reason to think anything I wrote was sophistry. Try applying critical thought to your own beliefs for a change.
You are trying to paint trans folks as criminals.
I am trying to do nothing of the sort. You made that up. If I were to say Norwegians are no less likely to commit crimes than the average person, that would not be "trying to paint Norwegians as criminals".
They are not. They are not, by a whole base 10 order of magnitude,
You are basing that claim on data you already stipulated is unreliable.
and all you have to dispute that statistic, provided by OLEG in an attempt to suck up to you, that makes exactly this point.
That clause lacks a main verb so I have no idea what it's supposed to be asserting. But the bit it contains about Oleg is a libelous false accusation. Oleg was obviously attempting to prove his own contentions to any open-minded readers. Just because you're obsessed with me doesn't mean I'm the focus of every other poster's motivations. Why do you behave this way?
And to be clear, you actually had a responsibility to point that out, to maintain your own integrity, and find a statistic that cites your claim without such a clear statistical problem.
What planet are you from? What the devil do you imagine
Oleg's data has to do with
my integrity and responsibility? I found a statistic that cites my claim; I posted it upthread; you refused to read it; and then you libeled me. Why do you behave this way?