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Democrats 2020

Here’s How We’re Defining A ‘Major’ Presidential Candidate | FiveThirtyEight

Who’s Running for President in 2020? - The New York Times (Democrats // Republicans)

Running (20): Booker, Buttigieg, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Harris, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, O’Rourke, Ryan, Sanders, Swalwell, Warren, Williamson, Yang // Trump, Weld

Likely to Run (2): Biden, Bullock

Might Run (6): Bennet, McAuliffe, Moulton, Schultz (May run as Ind.) // Hogan, Kasich

Unlikely to Run (3): de Blasio, Kerry, Landrieu

Not Running (12): Bloomberg, Brown, Casey, Clinton, Garcetti, Holder, Merkley, Murphy, Ojeda (Dropped out), Patrick, Steyer, Winfrey

Who is running for president in 2020? - Washington Post (Democrats)

Running: Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Julián Castro, John Delaney, Tulsi Gabbard, Kirsten Gillibrand, Kamala Harris, John Hickenlooper, Jay Inslee, Amy Klobuchar, Wayne Messam, Beto O'Rourke, Tim Ryan, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Marianne Williamson, Andrew Yang

Looking like a candidate: Michael Bennet, Joe Biden, Steve Bullock, Bill de Blasio, Terry McAuliffe, Seth Moulton, Howard Schultz (maybe as an independent), Eric Swalwell
 
More on Here’s How We’re Defining A ‘Major’ Presidential Candidate | FiveThirtyEight

How we’re defining “major” presidential primary candidates

Candidates must meet the DNC’s debate qualifications via fundraising or polling OR meet at least six of these 10 criteria …
How actively the candidate is running
1. Has formally begun a campaign (not merely formed an exploratory committee)
2. Is running to win (not merely to draw attention to an issue)
3. Has hired at least three full-time staffers (or equivalents)
4. Is routinely campaigning outside of their home state*
What other people think of the candidate
5. Is included as a named option in at least half of polls*
6. Gets at least half as much media coverage as candidates who qualified for the debate*
7. Receives at least half as much Google search traffic as candidates who qualified for the debate*
8. Receives at least one endorsement from an endorser FiveThirtyEight is tracking
The candidate’s credentials
9. Has held any public office (elected or appointed)
10. Has held a major public office (president, vice president, governor, U.S. Senate, U.S. House, mayor of a city of at least 300,000 people, member of a presidential Cabinet)

The criteria are applied to the trailing 30 days.

* “Routinely campaigning” means being on the road, hosting events open to the public, for at least two weeks out of the previous 30 days. Polls include all state and national polls over the previous 30 days as tracked by FiveThirtyEight; however, each polling firm is counted only once. (If a candidate is mentioned by name in any of that polling firm’s polls over the previous 30 days, he or she counts as having been included.) Media coverage is based on the number of articles at NewsLibrary.com. Google search traffic is based on topic searches — rather than verbatim search strings — in the United States.
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However, they don't have a table of how well the candidates satisfy any of these criteria. But that article mentions the candidates who had good showings in five polls. By how many:
  • 5: Biden, Sanders, Harris, O’Rourke, Warren, Booker, Klobuchar
  • 4: Castro, Gillibrand, Buttigieg
  • 3: Inslee
  • 2: Hickenlooper, Bloomberg, Brown, de Blasio, Yang, Delaney, Gabbard
  • 1: Kerry, Bennet, Holder, Bullock
 
Libs can't meme. It's Lucy Flores.
 
Too bad, I was hoping it would take him out.
 
So, is it a coincidence that Bernie moves to the head of the polls just as we learn he's part of the richest 1%?

It's like the game is rigged and stuff.
 
If Bernie is in the 1% but advocates for higher taxes on the rich and more services for the poor, that makes him rather noble, don't you think? He's speaking against his own self interest for the greater good in that case.
 
Jolly_Penguin said:
If Bernie is in the 1% but advocates for higher taxes on the rich and more services for the poor, that makes him rather noble, don't you think? He's speaking against his own self interest for the greater good in that case.
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There are a lot of far wealthier people who advocate higher taxes on the rich in order to fund more services for the poor and/or alleviate wealth inequality. Warren Buffet comes to mind.

Plus, is it really against his self interest? Higher taxes on the wealthy might impact them in the short term, but spreading prosperity is a good thing. Average people with more purchasing power are going to have a much more positive impact on the economy than average people being driven into poverty. A rising tide lifts all boats, and what not. Using the levers of power to make the playing field more level has a greater return than using it to make the rich even richer. We've been through all of this before.
 
New Survey Shows Young People Are Staying Liberal and Conservatives Are Dying Off

For obvious reasons, the broadly liberal demographic trends in American politics have received much less attention since the 2016 election. Yet the fact remains that America is politically sorted by generations in a way it never has before. The oldest voters are the most conservative, white, and Republican, and the youngest voters the most liberal, racially diverse, and Democratic. There is absolutely no sign the dynamic is abating during the Trump years. If anything, it is accelerating.
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ZiprHead said:
New Survey Shows Young People Are Staying Liberal and Conservatives Are Dying Off

For obvious reasons, the broadly liberal demographic trends in American politics have received much less attention since the 2016 election. Yet the fact remains that America is politically sorted by generations in a way it never has before. The oldest voters are the most conservative, white, and Republican, and the youngest voters the most liberal, racially diverse, and Democratic. There is absolutely no sign the dynamic is abating during the Trump years. If anything, it is accelerating.
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I really REALLY hope this trend continues.
 
ZiprHead said:
New Survey Shows Young People Are Staying Liberal and Conservatives Are Dying Off

For obvious reasons, the broadly liberal demographic trends in American politics have received much less attention since the 2016 election. Yet the fact remains that America is politically sorted by generations in a way it never has before. The oldest voters are the most conservative, white, and Republican, and the youngest voters the most liberal, racially diverse, and Democratic. There is absolutely no sign the dynamic is abating during the Trump years. If anything, it is accelerating.
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Not surprising, since this has always been the trend. However, these surveys are snapshots, not moving pictures. What they fail to give a clear picture of is how individual politics trends over a lifetime. Usually, people become more conservative as they age. Many of today's young liberals will become moderates and conservatives later on. Many baby boomers in the 60s and 70s would be horrified at the political profile of baby boomers today.
 
Copernicus said:
ZiprHead said:
New Survey Shows Young People Are Staying Liberal and Conservatives Are Dying Off

For obvious reasons, the broadly liberal demographic trends in American politics have received much less attention since the 2016 election. Yet the fact remains that America is politically sorted by generations in a way it never has before. The oldest voters are the most conservative, white, and Republican, and the youngest voters the most liberal, racially diverse, and Democratic. There is absolutely no sign the dynamic is abating during the Trump years. If anything, it is accelerating.
Click to expand...
Click to expand...

Not surprising, since this has always been the trend. However, these surveys are snapshots, not moving pictures. What they fail to give a clear picture of is how individual politics trends over a lifetime. Usually, people become more conservative as they age. Many of today's young liberals will become moderates and conservatives later on. Many baby boomers in the 60s and 70s would be horrified at the political profile of baby boomers today.
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Then every once in a while the Democrats get control, people see their promises are empty and stuff doesn't work, and they lose everything for 10 or 15 years.

I think there's a big reckoning coming up in a decade or so with Social Security/Medicare. We'll get to see how many of those younger browner people are thrilled about forking over their money to older richer whiter people.
 
ideologyhunter said:
In the last seven decades, private sector job growth was approximately twice as great under Dem. Presidents as opposed to G.O.P. Presidents.
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Yeah and now everything is shitty because the private sector is robbing everybody blind. Maybe we shouldn't take such statistics as necessarily good and something to be proud of.
 
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