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Donald Trump looks Old.

But how senile is he really? The trouble with Trump is he lies all the time. Has been for decades. He mixes up names sometimes. Says stuff that sounds stupid because he is stupid and way over his head in politics.

But is he really senile? He is self-deluded / unbelievably committed to the brand, but because of his narcissism / business. After losing all of his casinos and barely making it out alive, Trump learned that he could make money off of his name simply by the image behind it. And since then, he has fought tooth and nail to protect that image, lying and boasting grandiose claims to propagate that image. And all of the ridiculous claims about his success, follow suit with his self-identity and need to inflate it so everyone else believes it.
I have thought he was in cognitive decline since 2016, which, to be fair, is the first time I ever paid him much attention. I frankly avoided ever watching or listening to him because I don’t have a lot of use for egomaniacal blowhards. During that campaign, NPR played an old interview with him that had to have been 20 years old at that point and frankly what I heard was an egomaniac/blowhard but someone with full use of his ( limited) faculties. Contrasting that with the 2016 version and yeah, I saw or rather heard significant decline between the old Trump and the 2016 version. The old interview displayed someone who cared only about himself and his very narrow range of interests. 2016 showed someone who was steeply declining into what one expects of a doddering self centered individuals: more self interest than anything else, and absolutely zero sincerity about anything. It’s no secret I detest the man but in 2016 I was willing to listen and give him a fair shot at demonstrating something that could appeal or some concern for his country and a vision of what he could bring to improve the lives of other people. This was never his long suit and he’s not much of an actor. There are no hidden depths to the man. His idea of making a deal is that someone gets screwed and he’d prefer it not be him. He’ll lie, cheat and steal to ensure that it’s not him—and usually, it is not because most people do try to do a good job at whatever it is they are doing. But even in 2016, his vocabulary was unusually limited, he spoke almost entirely in hyperbole and self-aggrandizing statements.
But wouldn't one of the differences between old Trump and newish Trump be that he is out of his element. It is probably a lot easier for him to BS in business, but national politics, foreign policy, I see the lack of range and depth being his literal being way over his head and utterly unprepared to discuss these topics. I don't see much difference now than in 2016 when he was debating Clinton. We couldn't go a week in his term without Trump being Trump, sometimes a day! He is still upset over the inauguration estimate!
He is worse now. Even accounting for poor acoustics/microphones and unskilled interviewers ( Musk, FOX) he sounds physically unwell and as though he’s slipped multiple notches, cognitively. Much more limited ability to speak and actually be responsive. It’s all just the same recycled stump speech/rally.
One thing that catches my notice on YouTube are the growing videos of Trump "losing it" or "melting down". But the videos are really the same thing, Trump being Trump. With the videos, I'm often also catching where Trump is coming from. Most likely not legitimate, but it isn't senility either. I would ask how many times you watched an entire rally in 2016 verses 2024 for your comparison, but like myself, I'm assuming you wouldn't have had the stomach, even if paid to do so. Which gives me a feeling of we don't have a viable sample to be comparing his mentality.

I'm not going to say that Trump can't be suffering from issues, after all, he did take some type of competency test. Though it may have been to figure out what type of delusions he suffers from.
 
But how senile is he really? The trouble with Trump is he lies all the time. Has been for decades. He mixes up names sometimes. Says stuff that sounds stupid because he is stupid and way over his head in politics.

But is he really senile? He is self-deluded / unbelievably committed to the brand, but because of his narcissism / business. After losing all of his casinos and barely making it out alive, Trump learned that he could make money off of his name simply by the image behind it. And since then, he has fought tooth and nail to protect that image, lying and boasting grandiose claims to propagate that image. And all of the ridiculous claims about his success, follow suit with his self-identity and need to inflate it so everyone else believes it.
I have thought he was in cognitive decline since 2016, which, to be fair, is the first time I ever paid him much attention. I frankly avoided ever watching or listening to him because I don’t have a lot of use for egomaniacal blowhards. During that campaign, NPR played an old interview with him that had to have been 20 years old at that point and frankly what I heard was an egomaniac/blowhard but someone with full use of his ( limited) faculties. Contrasting that with the 2016 version and yeah, I saw or rather heard significant decline between the old Trump and the 2016 version. The old interview displayed someone who cared only about himself and his very narrow range of interests. 2016 showed someone who was steeply declining into what one expects of a doddering self centered individuals: more self interest than anything else, and absolutely zero sincerity about anything. It’s no secret I detest the man but in 2016 I was willing to listen and give him a fair shot at demonstrating something that could appeal or some concern for his country and a vision of what he could bring to improve the lives of other people. This was never his long suit and he’s not much of an actor. There are no hidden depths to the man. His idea of making a deal is that someone gets screwed and he’d prefer it not be him. He’ll lie, cheat and steal to ensure that it’s not him—and usually, it is not because most people do try to do a good job at whatever it is they are doing. But even in 2016, his vocabulary was unusually limited, he spoke almost entirely in hyperbole and self-aggrandizing statements.
But wouldn't one of the differences between old Trump and newish Trump be that he is out of his element. It is probably a lot easier for him to BS in business, but national politics, foreign policy, I see the lack of range and depth being his literal being way over his head and utterly unprepared to discuss these topics. I don't see much difference now than in 2016 when he was debating Clinton. We couldn't go a week in his term without Trump being Trump, sometimes a day! He is still upset over the inauguration estimate!
He is worse now. Even accounting for poor acoustics/microphones and unskilled interviewers ( Musk, FOX) he sounds physically unwell and as though he’s slipped multiple notches, cognitively. Much more limited ability to speak and actually be responsive. It’s all just the same recycled stump speech/rally.
One thing that catches my notice on YouTube are the growing videos of Trump "losing it" or "melting down". But the videos are really the same thing, Trump being Trump. With the videos, I'm often also catching where Trump is coming from. Most likely not legitimate, but it isn't senility either. I would ask how many times you watched an entire rally in 2016 verses 2024 for your comparison, but like myself, I'm assuming you wouldn't have had the stomach, even if paid to do so. Which gives me a feeling of we don't have a viable sample to be comparing his mentality.

I'm not going to say that Trump can't be suffering from issues, after all, he did take some type of competency test. Though it may have been to figure out what type of delusions he suffers from.
Certainly he is way out of his element in dealing with anything related to…public service. I am convinced he ran in 2016 as a publicity stunt and never dreamed of winning and now he’s running to avoid prison.

Yes, I think he sounds worse. He’s even more repetitive, leans even more into hyperbole and obsesses over minutiae. I think while in office he was sometimes pushed towards stances he does not really believe in ( I cannot believe he opposes abortion, for one thing).

But you are right: I don’t know that I could listen to him speak for more than five minutes at a time. I do think that at times he sounds…semi-cogent, and still obviously has only a very cursory understanding of policy and issues. But most people with cognitive decline do have good days, or times of day, and safe subjects they can speak on with some degree of confidence. Usually the distant past or something that gas engaged them throughout their lives.

My mother was well into dementia to the point that she could not tell me what she had for lunch and may not have known who I was but she could give me very good directions through rural roads I had not traveled in over 30 years, and point out who lived where ( during her girlhood) as we passed various farms. At that point, the county had not drastically changed. She could recount her own girlhood with stories that agreed with what she used to tell us before her brain injury. She seemed to remember nothing at all about her children’s childhoods. But she was still good with crying babies.

Obviously, Trump is not in that bad shape but there are similarities to what I saw with my mother and also with some patients in memory care in the nursing home.
 
He turned 78 two months ago. It was six years ago that he had that weird slurred speech at the mic: 'God bless the United Shtays..." Then there was 'origins', wasn't it, that he tried to say over and over. "Oranges!! Ori-- oranges..." One can only hope there's more of that as he has to do more and more speaking in the next two months. It's a bit alarming to hear a wanna-be Pres talking like he's got a mouth full of lima beans (or, since this is DJT, full of Whopper chunks.) Dems could lean into that like he leaned into Biden's speech.
 
I think everyone who is paying attention, without regard to their political leanings, has noticed a definite change in Trump's behavior. We can call it a decline, but it's apparent and quite sudden.

If we take Donald Trump as we know him, and lay a veneer of post traumatic stress syndrome disorder on top of it, the changes in his behavior make sense, at least in medical terms. It would be truly bizarre if getting shot at had no effect at all. I don't know what kind of personality disorder could allow a person to survive that experience and it not show an kind of symptoms.
 
I think everyone who is paying attention, without regard to their political leanings, has noticed a definite change in Trump's behavior. We can call it a decline, but it's apparent and quite sudden.

If we take Donald Trump as we know him, and lay a veneer of post traumatic stress syndrome disorder on top of it, the changes in his behavior make sense, at least in medical terms. It would be truly bizarre if getting shot at had no effect at all. I don't know what kind of personality disorder could allow a person to survive that experience and it not show an kind of symptoms.
I honestly mean this - I suspect the media paying more attention to Harris/Walz than him affected him more than the assassination attempt. The attempt was all about him so he's probably coping with that better than being cast aside. He is that broken and has been for years that's probably where his priorities lie.
 
Plus, I don’t think Trump has much use for women other than as alternative spots to place his dick.
There were multiple women in his Cabinet and as his advisors and press secretaries.

It may be fun to just throw insults at Trump but sometimes it’s just silly.
It is fun and it can be silly even when there may be some truth to it.
Apparently even if there’s no truth to it either.
I find the couch related humor more funny along the lines of how obviously false the original claim was. I'm perplexed at what catches.

I can't imagine Nikki Haley being subservient to Trump. Being the VP can be a pain, and I can't imagine the zingers Trump would lay out there. It is quite possible that Haley was out there just to keep her face seen for 2028. She is running out of time because she'll be outside of the DC / US Political sphere for too long by 2032. It is something, because in Haley, the GOP have (had?) an A-list'er... while they are drooling over the D grade chicken which is starting to smell kind of funny.
Nikki Haley is soiled goods. Over a month ago she was nay saying Trump, but at the RNC she became a Trump boot licker. Many people in her own voting PAC turned against her, switching support to Kamala Harris, due to her support of Trump. She is no longer an "A-lister', as she self-destructed with her lack of spine and of integrity.
 
I think everyone who is paying attention, without regard to their political leanings, has noticed a definite change in Trump's behavior. We can call it a decline, but it's apparent and quite sudden.

If we take Donald Trump as we know him, and lay a veneer of post traumatic stress syndrome disorder on top of it, the changes in his behavior make sense, at least in medical terms. It would be truly bizarre if getting shot at had no effect at all. I don't know what kind of personality disorder could allow a person to survive that experience and it not show an kind of symptoms.
I honestly mean this - I suspect the media paying more attention to Harris/Walz than him affected him more than the assassination attempt. The attempt was all about him so he's probably coping with that better than being cast aside. He is that broken and has been for years that's probably where his priorities lie.
All of Trump's pathologies have been chronicled for sometime and it's not really possible to say which stimulus makes him flinch more or less.

Without going into details, I've been living with a person who has severe PTSD for about 5 years and I've been able to observe the personality changes. Some are obvious and some are very subtle. I called it a "veneer of post traumatic stress syndrome" because that's what it is. A thin layer over every action and reaction. It's most apparent in reactions to stress and sudden disorder is very stressful. Trump started the race feeling he had a better than even chance at beating Biden. With no warning, Harris is his opponent and every single aspect of his future plans change. Don't forget he has a court date coming up, followed by many court dates yet to be determined. He has a lot on his mind and then someone tries to kill him, for no apparent reason.

The result is, a man with little empathy has even less empathy, and his narcissism becomes more self centered. One of the most common symptoms of PTSD is second guessing every decision. It's a natural reaction, like the person who gets hit by a car crossing the street. Their mind keeps going back to every step of the day, wondering if they had paused here, or walked faster there, would they have been somewhere else when the car went by. For a person like Trump, who has always believed his judgment is superior to all other people, that is a crippling handicap. Recovery is a very slow process and I don't think he has that much time.
 
Recent poll shows Trump 48%...Harris 46% when obviously, in a world of common sense, it would be Trump 3%, Harris 96%, 1% brain-addled and undecided.
WTF is wrong with us? How can this be close? Do half of us have rock salt for brains? These people never discussed propaganda and demagoguery in school?
 
FOX/OAN/NewsMax/AM Radio information deserts flooded with RW lies …
It’s a total immersion environment in middle Murka.
 
Recent poll shows Trump 48%...Harris 46% when obviously, in a world of common sense, it would be Trump 3%, Harris 96%, 1% brain-addled and undecided.
WTF is wrong with us? How can this be close? Do half of us have rock salt for brains? These people never discussed propaganda and demagoguery in school?
At this point, in the 2016 election cycle, Clinton had a 90+% chance of winning.
I pay little attention to polling numbers and more to trends in those numbers.
Tom
 
Recent poll shows Trump 48%...Harris 46% when obviously, in a world of common sense, it would be Trump 3%, Harris 96%, 1% brain-addled and undecided.
WTF is wrong with us? How can this be close? Do half of us have rock salt for brains? These people never discussed propaganda and demagoguery in school?
At this point, in the 2016 election cycle, Clinton had a 90+% chance of winning.
I pay little attention to polling numbers and more to trends in those numbers.
Tom

The trend is clear at the moment. If it doesn’t stop or at least slow down, Trump might be in for a drubbing. Not that it matters. Whether he loses by one electoral vote or 300 electoral votes, the aftermath would be the same. But still … USA Today, today;

Vice President Kamala Harris is within “striking distance” of former President Donald Trump in Florida, according to the pollster behind a new USA TODAY/Suffolk University/WSVN-TV survey of 500 likely voters released Tuesday.

Imagine him losing FL and TX.
I hear Caracas isn’t too bad in November.
 
Recent poll shows Trump 48%...Harris 46% when obviously, in a world of common sense, it would be Trump 3%, Harris 96%, 1% brain-addled and undecided.
WTF is wrong with us? How can this be close? Do half of us have rock salt for brains? These people never discussed propaganda and demagoguery in school?
At this point, in the 2016 election cycle, Clinton had a 90+% chance of winning.
I pay little attention to polling numbers and more to trends in those numbers.
Tom
The magic number is 50%. It sounds obvious, but in 2016, Clinton was leading in the polls and the polls got her right. But she wasn't polling above 50% in the battlegrounds. Look at Michigan, Clinton was dead on balls with the polling. Was around 46 and 47 percent. She got 47 percent. Same with Iowa, fishing around 41%, and got that. Florida, 45 to 49 percent, Clinton got 47. Clinton actually outperformed Colorado polls. Trump generally got a Libertarian sniff test boost, and appeared to get a lot more undecideds as well.

For Harris, NH and ME are comfortable again. While WI, MI, GA, AZ, NV have become very uncomfortable for Trump. Harris is approaching very close to 50% in MI and WI and is pulling "ahead" in NV, AZ, but still needs to improve. However, wrong trend for Trump.
 
Recent poll shows Trump 48%...Harris 46% when obviously, in a world of common sense, it would be Trump 3%, Harris 96%, 1% brain-addled and undecided.
WTF is wrong with us? How can this be close? Do half of us have rock salt for brains? These people never discussed propaganda and demagoguery in school?
I am confidently hopeful that the K-W team learned an important lesson from Clinton's debacle.
"Don't let the message become 'it's in the bag'. Too many of Dem supporters are in low turnout demographics and will easily be persuaded to not bother voting."

I hope that they keep up the message "Vote like your life and country depend on it because they DO!"
Tom
 
WI, MI, GA, AZ, NV have become very uncomfortable for Trump

if he neglects FL, the abortion issue could signal Game Over for the Trump Train.
I'm not bringing FL, but the state is going to cost him dearly in money, which they won't have enough of. Sen. Scott isn't very popular, the abortion initiative is on the ballot, and Florida could be close enough that the Democrats will likely dabble because the stars are aligning just right that they could lose the state to Trump, but pick up an absolutely crucial Senate seat. The Democrats can't put the house on Florida, but it will be worth the effort. One of the great things about Walz is being MN, he can shore up the Midwest (absolute priority) much more than Shapiro could, allowing Harris to head south (AZ, FL senate and EVs up for grabs).
 
Recent poll shows Trump 48%...Harris 46% when obviously, in a world of common sense, it would be Trump 3%, Harris 96%, 1% brain-addled and undecided.
WTF is wrong with us? How can this be close? Do half of us have rock salt for brains? These people never discussed propaganda and demagoguery in school?
I am confidently hopeful that the K-W team learned an important lesson from Clinton's debacle.
"Don't let the message become 'it's in the bag'. Too many of Dem supporters are in low turnout demographics and will easily be persuaded to not bother voting."

I hope that they keep up the message "Vote like your life and country depend on it because they DO!"
Tom
The message needs to be less "we're going to win" and more "winning isn't good enough... We need a mandate!"
 
Recent poll shows Trump 48%...Harris 46% when obviously, in a world of common sense, it would be Trump 3%, Harris 96%, 1% brain-addled and undecided.
WTF is wrong with us? How can this be close? Do half of us have rock salt for brains? These people never discussed propaganda and demagoguery in school?
Considering most polls get their data via landline phone calls, and the only people who still have a landline are over 55, those percentages kinda check out.
 
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