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On Deck: 2022

What a clueless thing to do.

www.jta.org

An evangelical GOP House candidate in Texas wrote a novel about Anne Frank finding Jesus - Jewish Telegraphic Agency

Johnny Teague, a pastor, claims in his candidate biography that he “has been affiliated with” the Association for Jewish Studies.
www.jta.org www.jta.org

The Republican nominee for Congress in Texas’ 7th district is a self-proclaimed history buff, but his take on Anne Frank is not one that most historians would endorse.

Johnny Teague, an evangelical pastor and business owner who won the district’s primary in March, in 2020 published “The Lost Diary of Anne Frank,” a novel imagining the famous Jewish Holocaust victim’s final days in the Auschwitz and Bergen-Belsen concentration camps as she might have written them in her diary.

The kicker: In Teague’s telling, Frank seems to embrace Christianity just before she is murdered by the Nazis.
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article said:
"Nancy Pelosi, well, she’s got protection when she’s in D.C. — apparently her house doesn’t have a lot of protection," Lake said at a campaign event in Scottsdale, Arizona, sparking laughter from many in attendance.

Lake then said, "If our lawmakers can have protection, if our politicians can have protection, if our athletes, then certainly the most important people in our lives — our children — should have protection."
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I remember the feeling of dread after the mass shooting against Republicans in DC at a ball field by a burned out Sanders supporter. I remember feeling terrible about it.

And these people are laughing about an 80+ year old being attacked and hospitalized with a skull fracture. Joking about it while running for office, right before the election! These people are sick and inhumane.
 
Jimmy Higgins said:
These people are sick and inhumane.
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That Lake woman is a sicko indeed, and I think most who will vote for her know it. But they find her preferable to blood drinking lizard people under the control of Hunter’s laptop.
To mitigate the risk of deeming most Republicans sub-human and thereby becoming what we despise, it’s helpful to remember that more than half of all people are working with an IQ of 101 or less.
 
2022 Midterm Elections - A FAQ of Depression

So, is next Tuesday night going to be a party like 1993 in Canada for Liberals? Will our bodies be waving from the rafters? Will we continue having these too darn close election results that keep us refreshing the darn browser every 30 seconds to see if that Precinct comes in from the NW portion of Phoenix?

Really, all three of these options are quite possible. Early voting has been high in areas, compared to previous mid-term elections. But without much other data, it is impossible to determine what, if anything, that means. We still don't know if this will be offset with lower turnout on election day, or whether it'll be a very busy day.

What are the polls telling us? What did I tell you about the polls? Are you still looking at those damn things?!

So this brings us to Election Day. Are there any indicators we can use to determine how late of a night it'll be... and whether we need to be tying up that garage door handle in the attic (or basement) joist? It'll be, if anything Georgia. Luckily they close first. IF Dobbs gives a significant boost to the Democrats, we should know from there. If they can call Walker the loser when the polls close, start the party! If they can call Walker the winner when they close, start sharpening the razor blades. If they can't call it early, this will be an early indication that it is a long night without going into data. Ohio provides us the next test, which I think might provide a clearer narrative for the night, as Walker might have had fourteen women come out against him before this election. But Ohio has Ryan v Vance, which is moderate Democrat verses Trump Whore.

article said:
During a Saturday night rally for Vance in Youngstown, Ohio, Trump refuted a New York Times story that suggested some candidates — including Vance — were not inviting him to rallies over concerns about alienating swing voters.

“J.D. is kissing my ass, he wants my support,” Trump said, railing against the “fake” news story. “The entire MAGA movement is for J.D. Vance.”
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Again, if they can call it immediately, time for some rainbow fentanyl (come on... it's a special occasion) or turning on the gas stoves without the pilot light indicator. Ohio has shifted a bit red since Trump took a crap on America. But as I've noted before, Ryan is about as Moderate as it gets. He is the Democrat for Ohio if there ever was one. If Dobbs causes a major push, it'll be seen here.

Importantly, even if we don't get quick results, we'll have access to a couple important indicators via Exit Polls, which yes, they are accurate.
  • Female turnout
    • If this is higher than average, that will be something of significance. (Gawd help me... I'll be getting that data together)
    • Based on certain metrics, it appears this might vary from state to state.
  • The male/female numbers
    • You generally can tell who won a state just from those numbers.
But what about the House?! Yeah, that is going to suck. So the Senate is effectively the thing that'll provide us with a hint of what is to come. We won't know the House for a while.
 
Jimmy Higgins said:
Well, I just voted. Extrapolating what I know about the vote so far in the early voting (by extrapolating my vote), the Dems should win unanimously! ;)
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That's certainly a bold prediction, but the models at fivethirtyeight predict that Republicans will almost certainly take the House and that the Senate is a dead heat (notwithstanding the tie-breaking advantage of the vice-President).
 
I'm not certain how this is happening. People are receiving the wrong ballots?
article said:
NASHVILLE, Tenn. (AP) — More than 200 votes have been cast in the wrong races in Nashville since early voting began in Tennessee, election officials confirmed Wednesday.

Davidson County election administrator Jeff Roberts said his office reviewed voter data throughout the night after The Associated Press first alerted officials Tuesday that voters were receiving conflicting information on what race they could vote in.

That review determined that 190 voters cast ballots in a wrong congressional race, 16 cast votes in a wrong state Senate race and six cast votes in a wrong state House race.

“The fix has been put in place,” Roberts said, adding he had sent the correct updates to the secretary of state's office earlier Wednesday morning.
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It is like the ballot system is using an outdated or different GIS database for generating ballots. It really shouldn't be possible to get the wrong ballot, yet they picked up on the error... well, after the "liberal media" let them know their system is fucking up.
 
ZiprHead said:
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It isn't just GOP polls showing things looking goodish for the GOP. I hope the Times/Siena poll are accurate, but they can be accurate, within the margin of error, and the other candidates are leading. Regardless, get the fuck out and VOTE!!!
 
2022 polls are really something.

They seem to be speaking a bit of different narratives. Take the Civiq polls, it shows Arizona tied for the US Senate, which seems to make sense. It also shows North Carolina tied for the US Senate. :unsure: Does accuracy of one close race speak to another?

YouGov shows Michael Bennett with a huge lead in Colorado (14 pt)... which I would expect. Colorado had been polling what I would consider low for what has been Colorado results recently. YouGov also show Fetterman winning with ease in PA. Does accuracy in Colorado imply PA is a done deal?

One thing for certain Putin won again... his OPEC+ maneuver with the Saudi Prince, has helped turn the tide of the electorate against the Democrats.
 
EVERYONE PANIC!!!

article said:
The survey of 1,641 U.S. adults, which was conducted from Oct. 27 to 31, found that the two parties are now effectively tied — within the poll’s 2.7% margin of error — among all registered voters (46% Democrat, 44% Republican) as well as among those who have already voted or say they will definitely vote on Nov. 8 (49% Democrat, 47% Republican).

In August, Democrats were ahead on the so-called generic ballot question — which asks respondents which candidate they would vote for in their congressional district if the election were held today — by 6 points (45% to 39%). As recently as late September, they were ahead by 4 (45% to 41%).
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Okay, it isn't great, but let's be clear... if someone told me a year ago that Biden would be polling low 40s% approval, I wouldn't have expected the Dems to be slightly ahead of the GOP in the generic poll.
 
Oprah Winfrey, who gave Mehmet Oz his start in the entertainment industry, has endorsed Fetterman.
 

Zahra, then a 23-year-old small-business owner who was a little more than a year away from enrolling in law school, is now a state judge and up for re-election to Michigan’s Supreme Court.

“I’m grateful I had a choice, and I think he’s grateful he had a choice,” Jones said in an interview.

In early September, thirty-nine years after Jones says she terminated the pregnancy, Zahra voted to block a ballot initiative — known as Proposal 3 — that would enshrine abortion rights in the Michigan Constitution, arguing in a dissenting opinion that insufficient spacing between some words on the petition rendered it incompatible with Michigan law.
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"Choice for me but not for thee" is the GOP view on abortion. This hypocrisy comes as no surprise.
 
ZiprHead said:

Zahra, then a 23-year-old small-business owner who was a little more than a year away from enrolling in law school, is now a state judge and up for re-election to Michigan’s Supreme Court.

“I’m grateful I had a choice, and I think he’s grateful he had a choice,” Jones said in an interview.

In early September, thirty-nine years after Jones says she terminated the pregnancy, Zahra voted to block a ballot initiative — known as Proposal 3 — that would enshrine abortion rights in the Michigan Constitution, arguing in a dissenting opinion that insufficient spacing between some words on the petition rendered it incompatible with Michigan law.
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"Choice for me but not for thee" is the GOP view on abortion. This hypocrisy comes as no surprise.
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Evidently you don't understand what hypocrisy is. Zahra did not author or endorse legislation that made abortion in Michigan illegal (it is currently legal). Nor indeed did he dissent on ideological grounds, but on the legal propriety of the initiative as proposed.
 
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