In the Real Clear Politics aggregate polling, Biden leads Trump by 9.5%. 538 has Biden ahead by 9.2% At this point, I am comfortable. Trump is losing i a lot of swing states. 538 had Biden ahead in Florida by 6.9%. 538 has Trump support at 41.3% and dropping since April. We might just get down to 38% support when the second wave of covid-19 sweeps across America. Which experts are telling us is going to happen. A big unknown is the 7% or so of Independents who say they do not know who they will vote for, Trump or Biden.
538
...
But now, in 2020, Trump may have
lost his edge among the “haters” — that is, the voters who hold an unfavorable view of both presidential candidates. Two recent national surveys found that former Vice President Joe Biden has a big lead over Trump among those who have unfavorable views of them both. An
April survey from NBC News/Wall Street Journal put Biden ahead of Trump 60 percent to 10 percent, and an
early May survey from Morning Consult gave Biden a lead of 46 percent to 14 percent.
...
Haters sunk Clinton. They broke for trump. But now Biden, though disliked by many, is winning over Trump. Smirk! Smirk!
Do remember though, a lot of voters do not follow politics or make up their minds until the last few weeks of an election. But I do not see anything working well for Trump at this point.