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The Race For 2024

especially when the guy is a lawyer and not a doctor
Uh … referring to his own unprofessional personal opinion of Biden’s mental capacity had no place in a report explaining the Special Counsel’s inability to find cause to charge the person Trump hired him (directed Sessions to hire) to charge.
Biden or Garland could have - probably should have - fired the fucker on day one, knowing there was no there there.

Contrast this with Bill Barr burying the Mueller report - including all the times Trump’s five-word memory failed him - then going on prime time TV and totally misrepresenting it. Not one word about Trump’s obvious mental deficiencies.
Just another example of the vast corruption of the Trump regime and the lawful conduct of the Biden administration.
 
Donald Trump has offered potentially his most deranged statement regarding the Jan. 6 riot at the U.S. Capitol to date, telling reporters outside his Florida estate on Thursday that the 2021 attack was “an insurrection caused by Nancy Pelosi.”

Trump made the comment just after a Supreme Court hearing wrapped up about whether he will be permitted on Colorado’s 2024 ballots—an issue that’s still being debated by the high court.

Trump didn’t elaborate on how the Jan. 6 riot, which was carried out by thousands of self-proclaimed Trump supporters, could possibly be tied to Rep. Pelosi (D-CA). Instead, he wrongly claimed that he made only “very beautiful, very heartwarming statements” on the day of the attack, suggesting he wasn’t the person who incited the violence.

“I heard, and I watched, and the one thing I’ll say is they kept saying about what I said right after the insurrection, which I think was an insurrection caused by Nancy Pelosi,” he said. “I said peacefully and patriotically... Take a look at the statements I made before and after, and you’ll see a whole different dialogue.”
So Trump himself says it was an insurrection.
 
especially when the guy is a lawyer and not a doctor
Uh … referring to his own unprofessional personal opinion of Biden’s mental capacity had no place in a report explaining the Special Counsel’s inability to find cause to charge the person Trump hired him (directed Sessions to hire) to charge.
Biden or Garland could have - probably should have - fired the fucker on day one, knowing there was no there there.
Indeed, I'm curious how the tragic outcome of his son's death from cancer even came up regarding a documents case.
 
especially when the guy is a lawyer and not a doctor
Uh … referring to his own unprofessional personal opinion of Biden’s mental capacity had no place in a report explaining the Special Counsel’s inability to find cause to charge the person Trump hired him (directed Sessions to hire) to charge.
Biden or Garland could have - probably should have - fired the fucker on day one, knowing there was no there there.
Indeed, I'm curious how the tragic outcome of his son's death from cancer even came up regarding a documents case.
It would be like Mueller including an accounting of Malaria’s callgirl career in his report about Trump’s collusion with Russia.
Of course that wouldn’t have mattered, since Billy Barr would have buried it just like he buried the rest of Trump’s corruption. It’s hard to compete honestly with a dishonest, corrupt scumbag.
 
Nevada Republican Primary 2024: Live Election Results - The New York Times - Feb 6

With 87% of the votes counted, "None of these candidates" 63.4% -- Nikki Haley 30.4% -- Mike Pence 3.9% -- Tim Scott 1.4% -- 0.3%, 0.3%, 0.2%, 0.1%

Nevada Republican Caucus Election Results 2024 - The New York Times - Feb 8

With >95% of the votes counted, Donald Trump 99.1% 26d -- Ryan Binkley 0.9%
Donald Trump got all that state's delegates.

Some news stories: "Who is Ryan Binkley?"

Nevada Democratic Primary 2024: Biden Wins - The New York Times - Feb 6
With 89% of the votes counted, Joe Biden 89.4% 36d -- "None of these candidates" 5.6% -- Marianne Williamson 3.0% -- 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% <0.1%
Joe Biden got all that state's delegates.

Dean Phillips did not run in this state.
 
 Results of the 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
 Results of the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries

The D's have MI on Feb 27 before Super Tuesday, March 5, and the R's have several states before then, starting with SC on Feb 24.

Nikki Haley is doing a vigorous challenge to Donald Trump, and I think that she will continue for most of the primary season. However, Ryan Binkley and Dean Phillips are not getting anywhere, and I predict that those two will drop out right after Super Tuesday, if not before.
 
With Biden you'd get an 82-year-old President with diminished energy but a competent support staff.
With Trump you'd get a 78-year-old President who betrayed his country and surrounds himself with 100% bootlickers who will not dare contradict or instruct him.
Yeah. I care more about who they choose to surround themselves with.

I actually think the government might be better served by making the sole duty of the elected officials be selecting appointees.
 
Did Pence remember every piece of classified material that he took? I don't think that Biden or Pence purposely meant to keep these articles where they shouldn't have put them. There were both forgetful, which doesn't mean either of them have dementia. Unless someone has an extremely extraordinary memory, all of us forget some of the things we've done in the past, or where we've put something. You don't have to be old to forget things at times.
I find it highly doubtful that Pence, Biden, and Trump packed and moved their own boxes.

Trump, however I think directed a lot of those classified documents to be boxed and transported. The enormity of the stockpile makes it obvious it was a directed operation. He then continuously lied about it (Isn't lying to the FBI a crime?). Then claimed they were his all along.
Likely, but I'm not at all sure. I strongly suspect there is someone close to him that is actually under Moscow's control--and that someone might have been responsible.
 

Dementia sufferers have good days and bad days. The bad days are becoming more frequent and these episodes that he is having are not gaffes, they are indicators of a fading mind. His body is also in steep decline. He's got that old geezer walk. It can only get worse, not better.
I see occasional lapses on Biden's part. I see fairly major dementia on His Flatulence's part--he's still reasonably good at filling in the holes but without actual understanding. He latches onto anything that gives him the impression of being a good idea. His bleach gaffe shows this up perfectly--yes, disinfectants are good in certain contexts. He clearly didn't understand the context and just aped the thought.
 
Well, if he’s really that bad then surely he will lose to the opposing party’s superior candidate. Oh, wait…

Are you saying that Trump winning the next election is beyond the realms of possibility?
Nope. Just saying that Trump is not a superior candidate in the mental realm, in addition to being a criminal.

At least you agree Brandon's mental faculties are indeed shot.
"Shot" is too strong a term. I think there are moments that definitely do not look good for him and there are other moments that I've seen that show him in good form, especially considering his age. I think it's easy to cherry pick video, and Biden has always been a gaffe machine. Having watched him in TV interviews for a few decades, this becomes apparent, regardless of any age-related concerns.

Dementia sufferers have good days and bad days. The bad days are becoming more frequent and these episodes that he is having are not gaffes, they are indicators of a fading mind. His body is also in steep decline. He's got that old geezer walk. It can only get worse, not better.
I agree that he is likely not going to get sharper with age. And yes, he appears as an old man because he is an old man.
 
That's a crazy claim. People in their 40s sometimes get dementia and people in their 90s are often very sharp. I cared for some victims of dementia who were in their 40s and I've known a few 90 plus year olds who were sharper than any 20 year old. Your ageist remarks are meaningless.
That's not a crazy claim. I am not comparing a 77 year old with another 81 year old. I am comparing the same person at 77 and 81.
To quote Marty Hart from the OG season of True Detective, "Father Time has his way with all of us".
You can't really deny that Biden is slower, frailer and has more memory lapses and gaffes than he used to. He was always a bit of a gaffe machine, but not like this.
The real question is why would anyone with half a brain support a life long criminal grifter who has obvious symptoms of severe narcissism as well as psychopathy, and some symptoms of cognitive decline, which seem to be accelerating, compared to any of Biden's gaffes.
That's not the right question.
tumblr_mzc20ethmg1qk6mq4o1_5001.gif

You do not have to support Trump, or even think he is any better, to realize that Biden is not the man he was even four years ago, much less eight years ago. The problem is that most posters on here do not want to admit that there is anything wrong with Biden.

I still think Biden should have run in 2016 and it was a mistake that he demurred in favor of Hillary. He would have almost certainly won against Trump and he would be finishing his 2nd term right about now.

Biden might be off his game a bit,
That's the underggeration of the year.

Don't you think it's weird that he brags about passing the mini mental test several years ago, a test that is used to assess for some basic signs of dementia and yet isn't foolproof. Only an idiot would brag about being able to pass that test.
Again, nothing in my post should be misunderstood as a defense of Trump.

What makes you such an expert on aging, btw? Not only have I taken a college course on aging studies just to increase my knowledge, as well as taking most of my CEUs on dementia or other aspects of aging, I spent more than half of my career directly caring for older adults who suffered from either mental or physical ailments.
I am not offering a medical diagnosis. Just an opinion that he is deteriorating based on observations from years past, most notably from the 2020 campaign.

Without compromise, by both sides, we're totally fucked.
Indeed. The failure of the compromise border and funding bill is a fucking disgrace.

The immigration bill that the Republicans developed and then refused to pass, as soon as the Master told them not to pass it, is the perfect example of their incompetent, Trump sucking behavior.
The main problem is the system of partisan primaries, esp. with lopsided districts where the primary is the de-facto election.

If Trump wins the election, it's more evidence that Idiocracy has come to the US.
Parts of it are already here. Like the state of education.
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Kids are being pushed along from grade to grade whether or not they learn anything. Some colleges are implementing easily cheatable online exams even in in-person classes to artificially boost grades and graduation rates. Meanwhile, school districts are getting rid of 8th grade algebra in the name of "equity".
You don't have to be old to forget things at times.
True, but it tends to get worse with age, even without clinical dementia.
 
Sometimes sexual assault cases depend on the jury's assessment of the believably of the parties involved.
And that's a problem. There needs to be specific evidence, not just jury believing somebody without evidence and awarding millions of dollars based on that.
The defendant in this case bragged on tape about pretty much exactly what she said happened. In his deposition, he actually said that the ability of a celebrity to grab pussy was a fact of life, quote, "fortunately or unfortunately".
He also said, "they let you do it". But let's say this tape means he raped somebody before. That doesn't mean he attacked EJC. Obviously, EJC would have known about the tape as well, and could well have decided to make up her rape claim based on that.

Let's look at the claim itself. The timeline is vague, she isn't even sure what year the alleged attack took place. Then her story parallels an episode of Law and Order SVU (the one with Kevin Pollack). Lastly, he made the allegation when she was trying to sell her book in which she claimed that she was sexually assaulted over a dozen times. She is an obvious fabulist.

She was only found more believable by the jury because Trump is very unpopular in NYC. And the court system should not be a popularity contest. Whether you like the defendant or not, this is a very bad development for the country.
There is no set legal formula for damages in a defamation case.
That's another problem. Juries just make shit up randomly.
In this case, defendant was continuing to issue statements that defamed her, even during the second trial. What amount would make him shut his pie hole? They tried $5million, which didn't stop him for a nanosecond.
When somebody is accused of rape, especially dating decades ago, a person should be able to defend himself and not have to shut up.

Finding a jury of one's peers is the goal, but the pool of sociopathic septuagenarians with the emotional age of 5 or 6 isn't that easy to fill.
Most countries did away with the American style jury system for a reason. It's a relic of the past, just like inches and ounces.
 
Projection, much? Trump has refused to attend a single debate, and will continue to do so.
Certainly not projection, since I wasn't making an argument about Trump, but since you are asking.

He refused to debate because he has been miles ahead for the whole campaign. He only had something to lose by debating.
The general election will be different. In a close race, he can ill afford to not debate.

And while both men are prone to blunders, Trump comes off as more energetic on stage. Biden is speaking slowly, often swaying, etc. That does not look good. We should all be concerned about that.
 

She was only found more believable by the jury because Trump is very unpopular in NYC. And the court system should not be a popularity contest. Whether you like the defendant or not, this is a very bad development for the country.
Do you have a source for your claim about why Ms. Carroll was found more believable than Mr. Trump or is it simply impossible for you to accept that a woman can be more credible than a man (especially Mr. Trump)?
 
especially when the guy is a lawyer and not a doctor
Uh … referring to his own unprofessional personal opinion of Biden’s mental capacity had no place in a report explaining the Special Counsel’s inability to find cause to charge the person Trump hired him (directed Sessions to hire) to charge.
Biden or Garland could have - probably should have - fired the fucker on day one, knowing there was no there there.

Contrast this with Bill Barr burying the Mueller report - including all the times Trump’s five-word memory failed him - then going on prime time TV and totally misrepresenting it. Not one word about Trump’s obvious mental deficiencies.
Just another example of the vast corruption of the Trump regime and the lawful conduct of the Biden administration.

Blog containing some important background information and questions people should ask themselves before they proclaim, “this proves he’s lost it!”



Special Counsel Robert K. Hur, who was examining the classified documents that Joe Biden retained when he should not have done so, finished his work last week and submitted his 388-page report this week. Yesterday, the report was publicly released. The good news for Biden is that Hur recommended no charges be filed. The good news for Donald Trump is that Hur raked the President over the coals, portraying him as a feeble-minded old man, and declaring that Biden willfully kept the materials, but that he really can't be prosecuted because he barely understood what he was doing.

We'll start with the key passages from the report. First, the portion where Hur most aggressively slurs Biden's mental faculties:

Mr. Biden's recorded conversations with [autobiography ghost writer Mark] Zwonitzer from 2017 are often painfully slow, with Mr. Biden struggling to remember events and straining at times to read and relay his own notebook entries.

In his interview with our office, Mr. Biden's memory was worse. He did not remember when he was vice president, forgetting on the first day of the interview when his term ended ("if it was 2013—when did I stop being Vice President?"), and forgetting on the second day of the interview when his term began ("in 2009, am I still Vice President?"). He did not remember, even within several years, when his son Beau died. And his memory appeared hazy when describing the Afghanistan debate that was once so important to him. Among other things, he mistakenly said he "had a real difference" of opinion with General Karl Eikenberry, when, in fact, Eikenberry was an ally whom Mr. Biden cited approvingly in his Thanksgiving memo to President Obama.
And then the portion where Hur explains that he's recommending against charging Biden because the President is a doddering old fool:

We have also considered that, at trial, Mr. Biden would likely present himself to a jury, as he did during our interview of him, as a sympathetic, well-meaning, elderly man with a poor memory. Based on our direct interactions with and observations of him, he is someone for whom many jurors will want to identify reasonable doubt. It would be difficult to convince a jury that they should convict him by then a former president well into his eighties of a serious felony that requires a mental state of willfulness.
You are to be forgiven if you think that sounds more like it was written by Sean Hannity or Laura Ingraham, as opposed to a Department of Justice lawyer who is ostensibly supposed to be neutral.

These passages, along with many others, are simply beyond the pale. We say that for three reasons:

  1. Hur did not make available his recordings of the interviews he alludes to, which means that not only is the voting public unable to judge his assessments for themselves, but also that there is zero context. For example, were the misstatements Hur alludes to cherry-picked, or are they examples of something that happened dozens of times? Did they appear to be actual misstatements, or were they potentially a byproduct of Biden's lifelong stuttering issues? Was Biden well-rested, or was he fatigued?

    For what it's worth, the one thing that is known (no thanks to Hur) is that the two interviews Biden sat for lasted 5 hours, and at least one of them took place the day after Hamas attacked Israel. Do you think maybe it is possible that Biden was on short sleep, and that he had other things on his mind?

  2. Hur does not have the expertise to be assessing a person's mental state. If the Special Counsel planned to incorporate such "findings" in his document, and in particular if such findings were going to play a role in the decision to charge Biden or not, then he should have consulted someone (or, ideally, multiple someones) with the necessary training to make such judgments. This did not happen.

    It's worth noting that specific years are among the hardest things for human beings to remember, because the human brain isn't really wired to keep track of long-term timeframes, and because a set of four digits doesn't usually contain within itself any meaningful mnemonic elements (unless it's the year 1666, or something like that). In other words, it will be rather easier in 5 years, say, to remember that Carl Weathers and Toby Keith died in the Year of the Rabbit, as opposed to remembering that they died in 2024. Heck, (Z) is a historian, a field in which years kinda matter, and he also has memory skills that are, at very least, above-average. And yet, he still makes errors of this sort, both on this site and in lectures. Just this week, he told a class that the income tax was adopted in 1921, despite knowing full well it was adopted in 1913. It happens, and he is pretty sure it's not a sign that he's on the cusp of dementia. Because years are hard to remember, incidentally, (Z) always tells students on the first day of class that he will never, ever ask them a quiz question that requires them to remember a date.

  3. It runs contrary to both Department of Justice policy, and to the general ethics of the legal profession, to editorialize in this way when deciding not to file charges. If a person is not convicted of a crime, and is not going to be convicted, then that means that they do not have a penalty they have to pay. Back-dooring a de facto penalty in there by slurring their reputation is sleazy.
So, why did Hur do it? There are two explanations that occur to us, and we suspect they are both partly on the mark. First, Hur is a Republican. He clerked for a conservative judge, worked for the Trump-era FBI, and then was appointed United States Attorney for the District of Maryland by Trump. It seems very probable that Hur saw this as an opportunity to score some partisan points and to do his part to defeat Joe Biden. It is also well within the realm of possibility that he'd like to be considered for a plum appointment, should there be a second Trump administration—maybe a federal judgeship, or maybe the Attorney Generalship. If so, Hur's in good shape on that front, as of yesterday.

Second, when a person or a panel is appointed to examine a particular question, there is much reluctance to come back with the answer: "Sorry! Didn't find anything!" Hur was on the job for a little over a year, despite this being a fairly simple matter. Surely he did not want to make it seem like he spun his wheels the whole time, nor did he want it to seem like the government wasted its money. At the same time, filing charges was clearly not in the cards—presumably because Biden's actions did not rise to the standard necessary to be criminal. So, Hur wrote up an explanation that effectively gives the impression that he did find dirt, and he really thinks there was wrongdoing, but he just can't recommend charges because of those darn juries with their darn feelings. One can see how that frames Hur's work as much more noble and substantive, especially in right-wing circles, as compared to "Sorry! Didn't find anything!" or recommending charges and having them go nowhere.

In any case, Hur (like James Comey before him), has had a giant political impact as a result of a "fair" report that he wrote about a Democrat running against Donald Trump. As you can imagine, Trump and his supporters are taking two lines of attack here. The first involves grabbing the low-hanging fruit that Hur left there for right-wingers to pick, and harping on Biden's cognitive abilities. For example, four of the top five stories on Fox last night were on this theme:

Headlines: 'Biden slams special counsel after report finds he could not remember key details of his life,' 'Special counsel says Bidenwillfully retained classified docs, blamed poor memory,' 'First lawmaker calls on Biden's Cabinet to remove him fromoffice after 'alarming' report,' 'Congress reacts to special counsel report on Biden classified docs'


As a sidebar, when navigating to capture that screenshot, (Z) accidentally mistyped the name of the site as Fox Mews (note "m" instead of "n"). Probably not a sign of cognitive impairment. But it probably is a more accurate name for that media operation.

The second line of attack, which is the former president's preferred angle, is that the decision not to charge is proof that the system is rigged. Here is what Trump said in a statement:

THIS HAS NOW PROVEN TO BE A TWO-TIERED SYSTEM OF JUSTICE AND UNCONSTITUTIONAL SELECTIVE PROSECUTION! The Biden Documents Case is 100 times different and more severe than mine. I did nothing wrong, and I cooperated far more. What Biden did is outrageously criminal.
Nikki Haley, who apparently still hasn't decided if she is, or is not, running against Trump, made the exact same argument yesterday. These folks do not seem to care that you can't have it both ways; if Hur's assessments of Biden's memory are to be deemed reliable, then Hur cannot also be an incompetent hack who is in the bag for the President. It's gotta be one or the other, right?

At this point, let us remind everyone, for the umpteenth time, that Trump's claims are nonsense. Regardless of what Biden did, or what he thought, before his set of classified documents came to light, the fact is that he is the one who revealed their existence, at which point he willingly turned the documents over to NARA. Meanwhile, regardless of what Trump did, or what he thought, before HIS set of classified documents came to light, the fact is that the revelation came from outside, Trump did not return the documents even after being told multiple times to do so, and then he actively interfered with attempts to retrieve them. It is also the case that, at least based on what is publicly known, the Biden documents were mundane, while some of the Trump documents were extremely sensitive. If anyone is potentially guilty of "outrageously criminal" behavior here, it is Trump.

Just as the Republicans knew they had just been handed political gold, the White House knew it had a big problem on its hands. And so, Biden held a hastily organized press conference (as you can see above, from the Fox website). The President came out with guns blazing, focusing in particular on the cheap shot about his son's death:

I don't need anyone, anyone, to remind me when he passed away. How the hell dare he raise that. Frankly, when I was asked the question, I thought to myself, was it any of their damn business? The simple truth is that I sat for five hours, two days, over events going back 40 years. At the same time I was managing a national crisis.
The press conference was chaotic, and Biden was emotional, so he probably did not convey the message of "a firm hand at the wheel" that he hoped to convey. It did not help that he had another gaffe, accidentally referring to Mexico when he meant Egypt. Although again in his defense, (Z) has literally made that exact same error in lectures. The reason is that people remember things associatively, and that those are the two nations famous for having ancient pyramids. In any event, Biden is going to have to rethink his strategy of avoiding sit-down interviews, because he needs to convey, many times, that he's not losing his marbles. In particular, he really ought to change course and sit for a Super Bowl Sunday interview.

And finally, there's one other person worthy of mention, and of criticism, before wrapping this up: AG Merrick Garland. Garland appointed a special counsel here—when one was probably not called for—to avoid looking "political." He picked a staunch Republican for the job—when he really should have been looking for someone whose politics are not known—to avoid looking "political." He released the report—even though its editorializing violates DoJ policy and thus is basis for withholding release—to avoid looking "political." And now, the whole mess has become enormously political. Biden cannot ask for Garland's resignation right now, as it would look like Saturday Night Massacre, redux, but he would be entirely justified in doing so given how badly the AG has mishandled this whole matter.

The New York Times columnist and Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences winner Paul Krugman personally spoke with Biden in August for an hour. Krugman says that Biden is "perfectly lucid, with a good grasp of events." He calls Hur's report a "hit job" containing "snide, unwarranted, obviously politically motivated slurs." Here is the link if you are a Times subscriber. (Z)
 
He refused to debate because he has been miles ahead for the whole campaign. He only had something to lose by debating
I do agree with this. Insanity, not rational argument, is his only real advantage. Unfortunately, it might be more than enough to place him in the office he so covets.
 
Mr. Biden's recorded conversations with [autobiography ghost writer Mark] Zwonitzer from 2017 are often painfully slow, with Mr. Biden struggling to remember events and straining at times to read and relay his own notebook entries.
Why was this part of the investigation in the first place?
 
Mr. Biden's recorded conversations with [autobiography ghost writer Mark] Zwonitzer from 2017 are often painfully slow, with Mr. Biden struggling to remember events and straining at times to read and relay his own notebook entries.
Why was this part of the investigation in the first place?
It wasn't.
This is a transparently obvious hit job - or attempted hit job - and a glaring repetition of the Trumpist tactic of loudly accusing others of that which you are yourself guilty of. The SC should have stayed in his lane - if Trump doesn't win he will probably have a hard time finding work.
 
What if he does win?

Right now the effort to keep Trump off the ballot is taking place in the primaries. Even if it works, it looks like Trump will get the nomination anyway.

What about keeping him off the general election ballot?

It seems the only states that are going through with the effort to remove him from the ballot are states that he won't win anyway, and isn't happening in the swing states, that leaves open the possibility that he will win anyway.

If it looks like Trump might actually win, what should be done to prevent this?
 
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