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The Race For 2024


Michael Sandel, a (Marxist?) professor of political philosophy at Harvard, explains why Americans elected Trump.


Western European countries are more egalitarian than the U.S. and offer free education. Because of this, upward mobility is higher in those countries than in the U.S. Elites in the U.S. emphasize the need for a college degree, but for the many millions of Americans lacking such a degree this comes across as "blaming the victim." This elitist attitude seemed condescending; Democrats should have instead focused on the dignity of the common people. Trump tapped into these feelings, e.g. with his promise to bring working-class jobs back.

"The most corrosive effect of the widening inequalities has been the erosion of public places and common spaces." As an example of this, Sandel speaks of the "Skyboxification" of America during the 1990's. Sports stadia once had a class-mixing role, but are now segregated. The affluent live detached from the common people. The people need a sense of community and patriotism, but the Democrats have allowed the MAGA movement to provide that sense. Sandel goes into detail about the message Democrats should offer.

Perhaps Sandel just repeats what others have explained, but he articulates it well.
 
Did he predict the Trump win?

Trump just barely won (not even 50% of voters) and so I’m sure there would be articles explaining why Americans chose Kamala Harris, their first woman minority President had just a few thousand votes gone the other way.
 
Did he predict the Trump win?

Trump just barely won (not even 50% of voters) and so I’m sure there would be articles explaining why Americans chose Kamala Harris, their first woman minority President had just a few thousand votes gone the other way.
250,000 more votes or 125.000 switching their votes from Trump to Harris. Not quite as close as 2016. I'm still befuddled over that.

Trump is almost dead on balls even with his 2020 result in California.

2020 - 6,006,518
2024 - 6,000,377

That is 0.1% close, and as the final ballots are counted, it'll get smaller. But Harris, she lost nearly 2 million votes to Biden. Lowest turnout since about 2000 at 70%. Clinton won by 30 pts, Biden a tiny bit less. Harris won by 20 pts.

But then look at the southeast.
  • Georgia.
    • Harris outperformed Biden
    • Biden got 2.47 million, Harris 2.54 million
  • North Carolina
    • Harris outperformed Biden
    • Biden got 2.68 million, Harris 2.72 million
You look at Michigan and Wisconsin, and Harris lost ground but just tens of thousands fewer. WTF happened in California?
 
:confused2: Focusing on why somebody got 49% of the vote in one election but 51% of the vote in another election completely misses the point. The more pertinent question is why a sociopathic grifter got many tens of millions of votes at all, regardless of whether the count was slightly more than or slightly less than his opponent's count.

One possible explanation is that the American people needed a message of community and shared values, while the Democrats offered a less appealing, if more intellectual message. Blaming voters' stupidity for the 2024 debacle is not helpful.
 
:confused2: Focusing on why somebody got 49% of the vote in one election but 51% of the vote in another election completely misses the point.
I'm talking millions of votes. I get the minor shifts. But Texas and Florida were pretty big shifts, but non-historical outcomes. California, could be said to be the same, Kerry won by 5% or something in '04. But to see one candidate stay the same and the other candidate to plummet, that is weird.
 
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