Trump Will Likely Win

[trillian]

climate scam

Climate change is not a scam.

Climate change is a certain scientific fact- regardless of humans being on the planet. Remedies for a fast paced change in a single country holding a small percentage of persons is idiotic when demand just moves energy needs to other countries with less environmental regulation. Nuclear is the best solution.

 

[trillian]

Well. All I can say is fuck Donald Trump and anyone who voted for him. We deserve the orange cocksucker. I bet he will suck as President and America will regret it. I wish the fucking democrats would grow a pair of balls. I’m sick of their wimpy ass mother fuckers.

A lot of people will regret it, but the ones who voted for him will find a way to blame it on the libs...

A lot of people regretted voting Biden.....and speaking of Biden...who exactly is running my country right now? I think it is a dereliction of duty to let a man with deficient cognitive function run the super power of the world for all these moths (or imo , years)
But that is just me.

If Kamala was a strong strategic leader looking out for America's interest, she would have taken over for the good of the country. By 25th amendment if she had to use it. But she cant. She doesn't have the skills, a smart coalition supporting her, or the self confidence to do it.
Just not capable.

 

[Jimmy Higgins]

Another interesting article about the gender gap, but downplaying the female vote for Harris.

Is there really a ‘gender gap’ in the US election?

When it comes to winning over women, the divide between Harris and Trump might be closer than it seems.

www.spiked-online.com

He notes that polls may overstate Harris’s support, because of the negative perception a vote for Trump is amongst women. They are labeled as “internalized misogyny” or being garbage, deplorable, Nazi, or fascist. So they tell pollsters they support Harris.

Okay what?!

There is a gender gap. There has been a gender gap for a while. I always skip right to the exit polls in General Elections and do the math on male and female voters to tell who won the state. Women almost always vote more Democrat than men. This is caused by two things.

1) Minority women vote en masse for Democrats. Black women it is something like 9 in 10.
2) White women don't vote in majority for Republicans as much as white men.

I want to be optimistic, but I just don’t see it happening. Trump will win. Sad.

As I've said, there is a poll for everyone this year. Trump could be Dewey tomorrow night.

Jimmy. You’re full of shit. Not always. But you were on this one. There was no gender gap. Trump has handily defeated her. The polls once again underestimated Trump. For the third time. Fuck the fucking pollsters.

There was a gap. Check the exit polls.

 

[barbos]

.who exactly is running my country right now?

Deep State, always.

 

[SLD]

Another interesting article about the gender gap, but downplaying the female vote for Harris.

Is there really a ‘gender gap’ in the US election?

When it comes to winning over women, the divide between Harris and Trump might be closer than it seems.

www.spiked-online.com

He notes that polls may overstate Harris’s support, because of the negative perception a vote for Trump is amongst women. They are labeled as “internalized misogyny” or being garbage, deplorable, Nazi, or fascist. So they tell pollsters they support Harris.

Okay what?!

There is a gender gap. There has been a gender gap for a while. I always skip right to the exit polls in General Elections and do the math on male and female voters to tell who won the state. Women almost always vote more Democrat than men. This is caused by two things.

1) Minority women vote en masse for Democrats. Black women it is something like 9 in 10.
2) White women don't vote in majority for Republicans as much as white men.

I want to be optimistic, but I just don’t see it happening. Trump will win. Sad.

As I've said, there is a poll for everyone this year. Trump could be Dewey tomorrow night.

Jimmy. You’re full of shit. Not always. But you were on this one. There was no gender gap. Trump has handily defeated her. The polls once again underestimated Trump. For the third time. Fuck the fucking pollsters.

There was a gap. Check the exit polls.

Not enough

 

[Jimmy Higgins]

Another interesting article about the gender gap, but downplaying the female vote for Harris.

Is there really a ‘gender gap’ in the US election?

When it comes to winning over women, the divide between Harris and Trump might be closer than it seems.

www.spiked-online.com

He notes that polls may overstate Harris’s support, because of the negative perception a vote for Trump is amongst women. They are labeled as “internalized misogyny” or being garbage, deplorable, Nazi, or fascist. So they tell pollsters they support Harris.

Okay what?!

There is a gender gap. There has been a gender gap for a while. I always skip right to the exit polls in General Elections and do the math on male and female voters to tell who won the state. Women almost always vote more Democrat than men. This is caused by two things.

1) Minority women vote en masse for Democrats. Black women it is something like 9 in 10.
2) White women don't vote in majority for Republicans as much as white men.

I want to be optimistic, but I just don’t see it happening. Trump will win. Sad.

As I've said, there is a poll for everyone this year. Trump could be Dewey tomorrow night.

Jimmy. You’re full of shit. Not always. But you were on this one. There was no gender gap. Trump has handily defeated her. The polls once again underestimated Trump. For the third time. Fuck the fucking pollsters.

There was a gap. Check the exit polls.

Not enough

I never said it was a guarantee. I said it most definitely existed.

Ann Selzer's poll in Iowa was incredibly wrong.

 

[jonatha]

I think it is a dereliction of duty to let a man with deficient cognitive function run the super power of the world for all these moths (or imo , years)

Yes, the next 4+ years are liable to be fraught

 

[SLD]

You underestimate how Trump encourages turn out for both tickets.

I go back to the days when we used to put on concerts and music festivals. It was always a nail-biter. Advance ticket sales were a disaster for some shows. Promoters yelling at us when we'd only sold a few thousand tickets a few days before the event. Then the "walk-up" would blow all that out of the water, and instead of a few thousand, we'd wind up with ten thousand or more. I admit it's just a "vibe," but it seems like that to me right now.

Ford, your vibes suck.

 

[zorq]

"Woke" helped bring this on us. Using terms like "cisgender" and "white privilege" alienated a massive demographic.

Scary words motivate them?

Universities are where this shit came from. I know this because I was there. It's not just about conservatives hating higher education. It was about the utter nonsense and contempt for hetero white males.

Why have I never met these people? I'm a cisgender, heterosexual, white man and I've never met someone express contempt for me based on my identity. Did you?

It was a backfired attempt at revenge based on delusional notions that white people don't struggle. Even if it was acknowledged that everyone struggles, white folks have no right to complain because others have it worse. It's so simple minded and reductive.

It sounds very simple minded and reductive, but I have never heard these things from actual 'woke' people. I hear accusations of this sort of thing all the time from various anti-woke people. I think they get these notions from their conservative media bubbles and not from the real world. Don't get me wrong, I'm sure someone out there has said something like this, but why then have none of my 'woke' friends or anyone else said anything like this? Is this just a cherry picked boogie man that conservatives tell each other?

"And then... just before dawn, when the night was at it's darkest, we heard a thump, Thump, THUMP, and ...(pause for dramatic effect)... The WOKE FEMINAZI shouted that white people have no right to complain!"

So why did black and latino men for Trump too? It's because they were told that being a hetero male was a shameful shortcoming; that they were less-than simply for being who they are.

Why haven't I gotten that message? Who is telling it? Because if it isn't actually coming from the 'woke' crowd then it's a lie.

I'm a 55 year old white guy, so I'll probably be okay. It's cold comfort, but at least I know I didn't contribute to the problem.

But you regurgitating these truths (as you see them) may be exactly the problem. In other words, please show your sources. Show me that my media bubble is deficient and that "woke nonsense" like this is ACTUALLY pervasive (from the woke) and/or dangerous.

 

[SLD]

"Woke" helped bring this on us. Using terms like "cisgender" and "white privilege" alienated a massive demographic.

Scary words motivate them?

Universities are where this shit came from. I know this because I was there. It's not just about conservatives hating higher education. It was about the utter nonsense and contempt for hetero white males.

Why have I never met these people? I'm a cisgender, heterosexual, white man and I've never met someone express contempt for me based on my identity. Did you?

It was a backfired attempt at revenge based on delusional notions that white people don't struggle. Even if it was acknowledged that everyone struggles, white folks have no right to complain because others have it worse. It's so simple minded and reductive.

It sounds very simple minded and reductive, but I have never heard these things from actual 'woke' people. I hear accusations of this sort of thing all the time from various anti-woke people. I think they get these notions from their conservative media bubbles and not from the real world. Don't get me wrong, I'm sure someone out there has said something like this, but why then have none of my 'woke' friends or anyone else said anything like this? Is this just a cherry picked boogie man that conservatives tell each other?

"And then... just before dawn, when the night was at it's darkest, we heard a thump, Thump, THUMP, and ...(pause for dramatic effect)... The WOKE FEMINAZI shouted that white people have no right to complain!"

So why did black and latino men for Trump too? It's because they were told that being a hetero male was a shameful shortcoming; that they were less-than simply for being who they are.

Why haven't I gotten that message? Who is telling it? Because if it isn't actually coming from the 'woke' crowd then it's a lie.

I'm a 55 year old white guy, so I'll probably be okay. It's cold comfort, but at least I know I didn't contribute to the problem.

But you regurgitating these truths (as you see them) may be exactly the problem. In other words, please show your sources. Show me that my media bubble is deficient and that "woke nonsense" like this is ACTUALLY pervasive (from the woke) and/or dangerous.

Yes scary words do motivate them. Sadly, that’s all it takes.

 

[thebeave]

This came out a few days ago:

'Latinx' Label Is So Despised by Latinos It's Moving Them to Trump: Study

Depending on where you live or your social media algorithms, you might have seen the term "Latinx" used to describe Hispanics and Latinos over the last few years, as a gender-neutral way to refer to people of Latin American descent or cultural identity in the United States. But new research suggests that not only do many of those exact people dislike it, the word itself may even be pushing them away from the Democratic Party.

"Latinx" entered the mainstream lexicon around 2016, gaining traction through its use by liberal celebrities, media and politicians. Democratic figures like Vice President Kamala Harris and President Joe Biden have used the term in public statements. During the 116th Congress, between 2019 and 2021, half of Democratic representatives used it on social media, while Republicans did not use it once.

While "Latinx" was intended to be an inclusive term by progressives, it has had the opposite effect among many in the Latino community, according to surveys.

"Latinos and Hispanics often dislike the term and, as a result, are more inclined to support the Republican Party or withdraw support for Democratic candidates," Roman said in an interview with Newsweek.

He said that part of the backlash stems from the perception that "Latinx" signals an association with progressive gender and LGBTQ+ issues, which may not resonate with the more socially conservative segments of the Latino community.

Such backlash against the term reflects a broader trend among Latino voters, long thought to be a reliably Democratic voting bloc.

Latinx issue aside, what did Kamala actually do proactively to court the Hispanic vote? She seemed to go all in on the African American women vote, given her rallies featuring the likes of Beyonce, Cardi B, Megan thee Stallion and others. And at the end of her campaign she brings on Jennifer Lopez? BFD. Is J-Lo supposed to be inspiring to Hispanic women and men? She also may have overdone it with the pro-choice emphasis, given lots of Hispanics are Catholic and pro-life. She could have and should have done a lot more to appeal to Hispanics, particulary the men. Hispancs are the largest and fastest growing demographic in the country.

 

[RVonse]

I honestly thought Kamela would win so I want to admit publicly how wrong I was. I thought the women were so pissed at Trump they would move the needle away from Trump.

But for those who are feeling bad about the loss you should be blaming no one or anything except the Democrat party. They are the monopoly who put Harris in place without testing her in a primary. A stupid and arrogant move that even the Republicans were smart enough not to do with Trump.

 

[Jimmy Higgins]

I honestly thought Kamela would win so I want to admit publicly how wrong I was. I thought the women were so pissed at Trump they would move the needle away from Trump.

But for those who are feeling bad about the loss you should be blaming no one or anything except the Democrat party.

The Democrats have issues regarding selling what the Admin accomplished with a stagnant Congress. Trump was given a pass on blocking the immigration reform that was extorted from the Democrats for Ukraine funding.

They are the monopoly who put Harris in place without testing her in a primary. A stupid and arrogant move that even the Republicans were smart enough not to do with Trump.

No one fucking cared about that. People voted for Trump because the GOP always gets a pass on the economy and the entire population of Central America invaded the southern border. And transgenders pack the WNBA and women Olympic teams, and are stalking your daughters in changing rooms.

 

[Colonel Sanders]

I honestly thought Kamela would win so I want to admit publicly how wrong I was. I thought the women were so pissed at Trump they would move the needle away from Trump.

But for those who are feeling bad about the loss you should be blaming no one or anything except the Democrat party. They are the monopoly who put Harris in place without testing her in a primary. A stupid and arrogant move that even the Republicans were smart enough not to do with Trump.

I remember thinking women would secretly vote against Trump in 2016 because he's such a reprehensible piece of shit. Yeah, no.

No matter how pissed off I am, the majority of the blame goes to the tens of millions of mouth-breathing empty buckets who voted for Trump. We are right to blame them for their hate, their ignorance, and their perplexing choice to vote so grossly against their own interests and to espouse such anti-democratic beliefs. We can rightly blame right wing propaganda outlets like Fox. We can blame the mainstream media for prioritizing clicks and ratings over integrity. That's who takes the solid majority of the blame.

I've ranted enough about the utter fucking ineptitude of the Democratic party. They alienated millions of men over the last god knows how many years in favor of much less influential voting blocks.

If we ever are able to vote again, I hope there is a lot more introspection in the party. The gettable votes that went to Trump need to be brought back even if it means courting the oh so awful white male vote.

Oh, and Harris was a shit candidate. I like her and I felt she was qualified enough to do the job--certainly better than Grover Von Fuckstick Cleveland, but there were far better choices. The loudest voices and out of touch people in the Democratic party chose Harris because running another white man was distasteful to them. Would it have made a difference though? I don't know. But what I do believe is that they chose her due to idealistic rather than practical reasons.

 

[thebeave]

I honestly thought Kamela would win so I want to admit publicly how wrong I was. I thought the women were so pissed at Trump they would move the needle away from Trump.

But for those who are feeling bad about the loss you should be blaming no one or anything except the Democrat party.

The Democrats have issues regarding selling what the Admin accomplished with a stagnant Congress. Trump was given a pass on blocking the immigration reform that was extorted from the Democrats for Ukraine funding.

They are the monopoly who put Harris in place without testing her in a primary. A stupid and arrogant move that even the Republicans were smart enough not to do with Trump.

No one fucking cared about that. People voted for Trump because the GOP always gets a pass on the economy and the entire population of Central America invaded the southern border. And transgenders pack the WNBAand women Olympic teams, and are stalking your daughters in changing rooms.

Uh...about that:

Olympic boxer Imane Khelif takes legal action over male chromosomes claims

Imane Khelif, the boxer who won Olympic gold amid a gender eligibility row, is taking legal action over media reports allegedly detailing her leaked medical records, the International Olympic Committee has said. Reports published in France this week claimed the 25-year-old has XY (male) chromosomes.

 

[jonatha]

I honestly thought Kamela would win so I want to admit publicly how wrong I was. I thought the women were so pissed at Trump they would move the needle away from Trump.

But for those who are feeling bad about the loss you should be blaming no one or anything except the Democrat party. They are the monopoly who put Harris in place without testing her in a primary. A stupid and arrogant move that even the Republicans were smart enough not to do with Trump.

I blame the electorate. Why shouldn't I?

 

[scombrid]

Right up till the last minute Trump was airing ads claiming that Imane was a man beating up women and that it was the liberals' doing. My wife even got spam texts about trans athletes in sports with Trump as the only savior. Fortunately she was able to refrain from clutching her pearls.

 

[Jimmy Higgins]

Right up till the last minute Trump was airing ads claiming that Imane was a man beating up women and that it was the liberals' doing. My wife even got spam texts about trans athletes in sports with Trump as the only savior. Fortunately she was able to refrain from clutching her pearls.

They kept showing that one old transgender that played for a community college in New York I think.

 

[thebeave]

Right up till the last minute Trump was airing ads claiming that Imane was a man beating up women and that it was the liberals' doing. My wife even got spam texts about trans athletes in sports with Trump as the only savior. Fortunately she was able to refrain from clutching her pearls.

They kept showing that one old transgender that played for a community college in New York I think.

There is a big hub bub going on right now with the San Jose State University women's vollyeball team. There is (apparently) a transgender woman on the team. Several opposing teams are refusing to play SJSU and have forfeited games. The whole debacle has been very disruptive to SJSU and the other teams. Despite what you might hear, its not that women volleyball players are hateful and bigoted bitches. Its about fairness in women's sports. I do like that the contraversy is being called, "The Battle of the Bulge".

 

[ZiprHead]

Ann Selzer's poll in Iowa was incredibly wrong.

Almost all the polls were incredibly wrong.