This is a story about Elon Musk's now-successful attempt to steer U.S. cities away from proven transportation solutions — but it's also a story about the desperation of elected officials who will try anything to fix their city's problems.
Musk's promise was never *one* tunnel. His promise was *infinite* tunnels.
From 2018: “No matter how much demand there is, you can satisfy it with a network of 3D tunnels. If you have 20, 30, 40 tunnels, eventually you run out of people to use them”.
Of course, Musk conveniently doesn't believe in induced demand.
But you don't have to believe in that concept to understand why "infinite tunnels" won't work. The best explanation I've read is from @MichaelManvill6's 2021 paper on congestion pricing.
Congestion pricing is hard! High speed rail is hard! Which is why we saw elected officials falling over themselves to associate with Musk's holes *and* his promise to pay up to $1 billion per project to "end traffic".
In 2018 I saw Musk tell a room of hundreds of city officials they shouldn't build rail anymore. The mayor of LA, who was onstage with him, didn't even push back!
This was a clear and concerted effort, says @parismarx (read their new book on this topic!)
Musk not only pays, he assumes all the risk, former LA Metro exec @joshuaschank, told me. So the Boring Company submits free or low bids for transportation projects, then raises money from investors convinced the tunneling technology is cheaper and faster (sound familiar?)
Which brings us to the Boring Company's new strategy: Going to city officials directly and telling them to casually suggest tunnels as solutions to their problems.
After this email to the Kyle, Texas city manager, a tunnel was approved nine months later.
Those city officials come to Vegas, see the tunnels under the convention center, and return home convinced they've seen the future of transportation. Fort Lauderdale just gave the Boring Company $375,000 for a study to tunnel under an intracoastal waterway.
Watch Mayor Dean Trantalis get defensive when a local tunneling expert pokes holes in the proposal, saying $10 million per mile is too low to tunnel under saltwater. Trantalis claimed he rode in Vegas tunnels that were "all underwater" (??) and go to the airport (they don't!).
The answer came not from the Boring Company, but from the city of Vegas's infrastructure director, who said he'd been working closely with the Boring Company. And guess what he said?
Don't worry, if the tunnels get congested, the Boring Company can just add more tunnels
And yes, you may have noticed the name of the item before the city council: "Agreement between the city of Las Vegas and The Boring Company to install and operate a monorail".
The way the tunnels are classified by Nevada state law, Elon Musk is now officially building a monorail.