Someone was asking about what the Dems would do for the White House in 2024. I said it was up to the voting black population. Blacks nominated Biden, and they showed up in 2020. They effectively have been the only reason why our nation hasn't devolved into an uncoverable Christian Taliban run nation.
What success the Democratic Party has today is due to Black support. That's why making South Carolina the early primary state has great merit.
I have heard this argument a lot, but I think that it is a bit wrong-headed and self-indulgent for Democrats to think this way. The strategy should be to make the primary sequence work better for the general election than intra-party politics. In the general election, you want to attract moderates and even Republicans to the ticket, not just motivate the base to turn out. A strategy that favors the voting base of the party will tend to pick candidates that appeal most to the fringes of the party rather than the center of the general voting public. This strategy of starting out with South Carolina looks to me like Joe Biden setting himself up for winning the nomination in 2024, which is not what I think even most Democrats want to see.
As one who has lived in the South for most of my adult life, I strongly support the idea of having early primaries in some of the Southern states. Biden will only win if enough people support him. Right now, the majority of Democrats want someone younger.
As of now, I would support him, as I don't currently see anyone else who could defeat the Republicans. I'm open to having someone else. I just don't know who that would be, and every time I read a list of possible Democratic candidates, other than Biden, I cringe. We could start a new thread to discuss potential candidates in 2024, if anyone is up to that. We Americans get done with one election and we become obsessed with the next one, don't we?