Another scary article from a respected journal.
If armed violence erupts in 2024, the fate of the nation might well be decided by a simple fact: a big subset of the Republican Party has been systemically arming itself for this very reason.
www.newsweek.com
if Trump loses, by any margin, and is unable to overturn the results through legal or political means, it seems likely Republicans will declare the election fraudulent. In 2020, the conviction—against all evidence—that Trump had the presidency stolen from him brought an insurrectionist mob to the U.S. Capitol. The mob was mostly unarmed, undoubtedly thanks to Washington D.C.'s strict gun-control laws. In 2024, that sort of mob, which will have been fed for four years on false claims of a "Big Steal" and exhortations to fight back against tyranny, will likely be far, far larger. If gun-control laws are weakened by the Supreme Court, they will also likely be heavily armed.
I am a bit skeptical of this scenario playing out. The Biden Administration wouldn’t likely be so unprepared to handle this mob. Trump won’t have the machinery of government to keep the response to minimal as he did before. A strong show of force will likely deter any such group from doing this. DC is not friendly to Trump, nor Northern Virginia. They may be as unwelcome as the mob led Beauregard 160 years ago was. Thus they may not make it to DC or if they did might find themselves vastly outnumbered.
Of far more concern is the scenario described in the article, where Republican legislatures with Republican governors in key battleground states like Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Michigan, overturning the will of the voters and either refusing to certify the election results or worse, placing an alternate slate of electors in place.
With the Republicans in charge of the Supreme Court, they’re likely to approve such a move. Then Democrats will either have to declare for civil war or be permanently a minority party despite being in the majority of people.
But the military leadership would likely fall behind the Supreme Court’s ruling in such a scenario. I don’t know though if all would. One could expect massive violent resistance in places like Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. But also California and many other places, particularly cities even in conservative states like Alabama and North Carolina. The Civil War may not be so much of an armed conflict but a descent into chaos and violence. We may see numerous assassination attempts on governors in those states. DC would likely have to shut down. Massive government workers would likely rebel, even sabotage the machinery of government. Imagine what would happen if Social Security and Medicare stopped. Wall Street would likely collapse. There may be a true occupy Wall Street scenario.
I hate to say it, but that might actually work. Trump would be powerless. The economy would collapse and he’d take the blame. Maybe the elections of 2026 would put enough Democrats back in power to block future atte,pts lie this. I don’t know.
I still see the only way out is Trump’s death.