Finally (today at least, I hope), this lovely headline from The Hill:
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Imagine reporting on a head-to-head poll in a swing state, thinking 2% is a difference worth mentioning, and yet failing to highlight the candidate who actually beats Trump in that matchup
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We now return to Bernie Sanders, whose head is actually this color in real life
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Finally (today at least, I hope), this lovely headline from The Hill:
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Imagine reporting on a head-to-head poll in a swing state, thinking 2% is a difference worth mentioning, and yet failing to highlight the candidate who actually beats Trump in that matchup
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They failed to mention all the other candidates as well. The point here is that two front runners, Biden and Warren, are actually at great risk of losing to Trump. That Bernie can beat Trump isn't any more news than that Yang and Tulsi can also beat Trump. Bernie and Yang are the only two that can pluck out 10% of Trump's own voters, which is a separate story people should be reporting.
Nate Silver proves again he can't do math:
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Looking a little closer...
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Warren's numbers improved by 2.2, which is the "most", while Sanders' numbers improved by only 2.2, which is "meh"
Krystal Ball from The Hill before the latest debate said:No. There are only three candidates on the stage who have the credibility to hit Warren where it hurts, Bernie, Tulsi, and Yang. Because Warren's vulnerability isn't that she's too far left or too centrist, it's that she's too establishment. Too cozy with the system that everyone hates. That she plays too many of the Washington games that voters are utterly disgusted with.
Washington games are why when Warren's asked about Biden's soft-corruption she gets flustered. Do I say what I actually believe or do I preserve the chance to be Biden's VP or Treasury Secretary?
That's why she's a crusader against corporate greed except when it comes to the medical device manufacturers who bring home the bacon in her own home state. Instead, Warren repeatedly pushed loopholes for them and was a primary mover behind repealing the medical device tax that was passed with Obamacare. That's why Warren calls herself a progressive but endorsed HRC once it was clear she'd be the nominee. That's why Warren promised the party that all this grassroots donor stuff would not apply to them. Her campaign made sure to make clear that Warren will still do high dollar fundraisers for the DNC. It's why she opposed single payer when she was running for Senate, but says I'm with Bernie now that the base wants to hear that. She's a more progressive version of the same old Washington stuff. But it would probably be pretty hard for Kamala Harris or another centrist to make that case.
Bernie just had a heart attack. If elected, he would be about 7 months short of 80 years old. Both of those facts are or should be deeply concerning no matter how much you admire his positions or the man.
Biden is only a year younger. He’s had serious health problems.
Warren is 8 years younger than Bernie and older than I’d like any POTUS to be in an ideal world. Two observations: Bernie is showing his age very badly, IMO worse than Biden and much worse than Warren. I have grave doubts about either Sanders or Biden being able to serve even half of a term effectively. I really wish thatvwarren were 10 years younger.
Age really really does matter. Trump has always been an arrogant asshole but he hasn’t always seemed as though he has dementia. To get a little distance: Regan was just shy of 70 when he was sworn in. His dementia was obvious to me by his second term, albeit much less obvious than Trump’s mental decline.
Age matters. It matters a great deal. The top three candidates are too old to be able to withstand the rigors of the office. Warren seems to be young for her age and to be the most agile mentally. That matters.
This is separate from whose platform you like the best or who you think would be most effective and even who you think could beat Trump.
Oh, so Warren's problem is that she is a pragmatic progressive who understands that sometimes one has to make compromises in the real world to make real progress.
Nate Silver proves again he can't do math:
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Looking a little closer...
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Warren's numbers improved by 2.2, which is the "most", while Sanders' numbers improved by only 2.2, which is "meh"
Notice how despite consistently now coming in 4th or 5th in polls, Yang is yet again not even mentioned in the above text blurb. Yang gets media blackout as bad or worse than Bernie did back in 2016.
Oh, so Warren's problem is that she is a pragmatic progressive who understands that sometimes one has to make compromises in the real world to make real progress.
Her problem is that her idea of progress is centered on talking to capitalism's manager and forcing him to sign a non-binding resolution to be nicer in the future.
Oh, so Warren's problem is that she is a pragmatic progressive who understands that sometimes one has to make compromises in the real world to make real progress.
Her problem is that her idea of progress is centered on talking to capitalism's manager and forcing him to sign a non-binding resolution to be nicer in the future.
Oh, so Warren's problem is that she is a pragmatic progressive who understands that sometimes one has to make compromises in the real world to make real progress.
Her problem is that her idea of progress is centered on talking to capitalism's manager and forcing him to sign a non-binding resolution to be nicer in the future.
As opposed to Bernie's idea of progress, which has been to trade his vote for pet project amendments and/or to deliberately submit bills he knows don't have a chance of being implemented in order to "start a conversation" that was already started forty years ago?
Bernie actually made a substantial change in the Democratic Party by running in 2016.
Half the candidates are now pushing "medicare for all".
He moved the overton window substantially.
Nader campaigned against the pervasiveness of corporate power and spoke on the need for campaign finance reform. His campaign also addressed problems with the two party system, voter fraud, environmental justice, universal healthcare, affordable housing, free education including college, workers' rights and increasing the minimum wage to a living wage. He also focused on the three-strikes rule, exoneration for prisoners for drug related non-violent crimes, legalization of commercial hemp and a shift in tax policies to place the burden more heavily on corporations than on the middle and lower classes. He opposed pollution credits and giveaways of publicly owned assets.
It remains to be seen is Warren can do that.
Yang and Bernie are the only two in the running who can split away a substantial number of Trump voters. Yang has brought other would be Republican voters on board as well, including a number of truckers.
Winning over Republicans to do good is part of the answer yes, but so is mobilizing people on the left to actually come out and vote.
You can start by not calling people "a basket of deplorables" and try to actually win them over, while also pushing hope and change (contrast Obama to Hillary) to mobilize the left.
You tried Hillary Clinton and the corporate Democrats last time and lost in a historic election to an orange idiot. Why not try something that may actually win you the whitehouse?
Both critiques of his are disingenuous and reveal that he doesn't understand what working class politics looks like. He knows that there will be a federal jobs guarantee as part of Bernie's economic package, but he doesn't agree with its implementation. He also knows that Bernie supports expanded benefits for stay-at-home parents through a mechanism that already exists: Social Security. What he doesn't say is that instead of slapping a consumption tax on everyone equally, which will hit poorer people harder after already making them choose between UBI and benefits, Bernie would fund it through income and wealth taxes on the most comfortable upper percentiles. In combination with the labor-centered movement that is absolutely necessary to preserve any of these reforms, and which only Bernie has in his corner, there is no reason to flirt with a too-small, means-tested UBI that doesn't address the root of our problems.Yang highlights Bernie's biggest flaw. That he isn't for universal basic income, and instead wants a higher minimum wage for those who can still get jobs (which will be fewer and fewer especially with artificially raised minimum wages) while ignoring those who can't and those who are stay at home parents.
That's starting to change as of the last two weeks with the endorsements and the last debate.I support Bernie over the others running aside from Yang. Bernie has a lot of good policy ideas and youd be much better off had he been your nominee last time around instead of corporate Hillary, but Bernie does have some flaws and is falling in the polls as Warren has been rising.