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Jimmy Higgins

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Wow! QB 2 for 3, and the Pats win. Bills aren't anywhere near a 7-5 team. Two great defenses. I don't know if these two teams can meet in the AFC Championship, but they are two of the best. Add in Kansas City and there are your top three teams.

And in a couple months when two other teams are in the AFC Championship you feel free to ignore this post.
 

Terrell

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Wow, Patriots only throw 3 passes tonight (bad wind), still win. Ran effectively for most of the game against 8-9 man boxes.

Edit: Lol, if only I hit reply a few seconds earlier.
 

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That was such a winnable game for Buffalo, it has got to mess with them, especially considering how they have been totally owned by NE for so long. And NE came out acting like an underdog going for two early. I thought Buffalo made a mistake attempting a field goal late in strong winds, instead of a touchdown.

AFC is still ridiculously tight, up for grabs. Even 1-7 Miami has a shot at postseason, now at 6-7. I'd say the biggest factor in the standings has been injuries.
 

Jimmy Higgins

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First time in a couple months New England didn't win this week. Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, Baltimore lose, Cleveland win to make the AFC North even more muddled.

The Bills are looking to be the best team that won't make the playoffs at this rate. The rest of their schedule is kind of simple, except the Patriots and Miami has been running more cylinders the past month.

The NFC look like three to four very good teams with a lot of bad teams.

The AFC look like two or three very good teams with a lot of good teams that can all beat each other.
 

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A lot of blowouts yesterday which will probably continue tonight.

Chargers receivers without Allen looking good, in time for Thursday showdown with KC.
 

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Good win for very underhanded Rams. They had practice squad players out there in secondary, Murray maybe could have exploited it better. Probably Stafford's best game of the year, not stats-wise but in showing skill. Yet, I think they played over their heads and should regress to their mean.
 

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The Chargers manage to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory in a very entertaining game. I reckon the defeat came down to a couple of bad decisions from the Chargers in opting to go for it on fourth down rather than take a field goal. Oh well.
Parham went off injured very early in the game and it looked a bad one.
 

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Of course, the decisions to go for it on 4th cost them the game. I don't know why so many coaches think three points is so worthless, as if they're not going to count in the 4th quarter for you. Staley was doing this a lot very early in season and was succeeding, but then in the middle he failed several times and so stopped for awhile, and now he's decided to restart at the worst time. He keeps falling for the sunk cost fallacy.

Anyways it was a gift for KC, because Mahomes had returned to his early season habit of turning it over.

At least they gave away the game early instead of late the way they had done in the past, which is probably an improvement.

Looking forward to Saturday's NE-IND matchup, will be interesting to see which team can stop the other's rushing offense.

If the game even takes place, the way they keep postponing them.
 

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Of course, the decisions to go for it on 4th cost them the game. I don't know why so many coaches think three points is so worthless, as if they're not going to count in the 4th quarter for you. Staley was doing this a lot very early in season and was succeeding, but then in the middle he failed several times and so stopped for awhile, and now he's decided to restart at the worst time. He keeps falling for the sunk cost fallacy.

Anyways it was a gift for KC, because Mahomes had returned to his early season habit of turning it over.

At least they gave away the game early instead of late the way they had done in the past, which is probably an improvement.

Looking forward to Saturday's NE-IND matchup, will be interesting to see which team can stop the other's rushing offense.

If the game even takes place, the way they keep postponing them.
I don't know about that. Staley is very aggressive and he's going to go for it on 4th down. On two of the 4th down plays Herbert just didn't have a good throw. Most of time he's going to stick it in there. I didn't like going for it a few seconds from half time. I think that at that point, put the points on the board. But part of the analytics of going for it on 4th down is to give further rest to the defense; and to pin the opponent deep. But great game. I think that Chargers are just going to get better and better.
 

Jimmy Higgins

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Aw nuts. My reserved and conservative stance on the Patriots wasn't rash and overly concerned. These playoffs are going to be nuts... I mean until Kansas City just steamrolls over everyone.
 

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Another weird decision in the Packers Ravens game that backfired on the Ravens. Instead of opting to kick for the extra point and tie the game and more than likely force extra time, the Ravens went for a two point conversion that would have won them the game. But they didn't succeed and the Packers won by one point 31-30. It made for a nail biting last few minutes for both sets of fans I guess but the Ravens have not had much success with this strategy.

And Tom Brady, shut out by the Saints and he was seen throwing his toys out the pram.

The lions beat the Cardinals ?! :eek:

Lads, it's the Jets :LOL:
 

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Baltimore's bigger mistake was like SD's, going for it on 4th early in the game, giving away 3 points in a game they lost by 1 point. 3 points are much better than zero, especially after a long drive. They wasted outstanding efforts by Edwards and Huntley. Everyone knew they were going to Edwards but he still made catch after catch, except for that last play which looked poorly designed.

The Lions game was so awesome. Like I've always said, Goff = GOAT. He doesn't get the respect he deserves. 🙃

Colts got a good must win, their rushing defense winning the battle. That 67-yard run in the final minutes kept Taylor's TD streak alive with style. I thought the db might have the angle on him, but Taylor outran him while reaching the highest ball-carrier top speed all year according to those stat keepers. He has 3 of the top 5 best on the year.

Miami has now won 6 in a row, but their next games will start getting tougher.

Jacksonville takes over as worst team in the league after their coaching travesty and loss to former worst Houston.
 

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Chicago Bears are terrible. They were a joke last night. There were a few laugh out loud moments in last night's game.
 

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Rams won their game against the Seahawks but we’re not very convincing against an out of sorts Seahawks and the Rams were a bit fortunate for a non call on what was blatant pass interference.
 

Jimmy Higgins

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Bills looking more like the team they can be. Patriots more like the team I was expecting them to be. Might face off one more time in the playoffs.
 

Jimmy Higgins

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Antonio Brown proves playing football to make lots of money just isn't enough to drive someone to do that.
article said:
Every one of Brown's blowups, on and off the field, have been excused away because he can catch a football.

Arians had said upon signing Brown in late October 2020 that the receiver would be gone if he had one screwup. Many people thought faking his COVID vaccination card was that screwup, but it wasn't to Arians, who just days ago told reporters in Tampa he "could give a s***" about people who were critical of the team's decision to keep Brown after serving his three-game suspension.

A week ago he gloated to reporter Peter King that Brown had been "a model citizen" in his 14 months with the Bucs.

Seven days later, here we are.
Meanwhile, Pats and Bills are in the playoffs... and the Bengals (not the Bangles) have won the AFC North after the Chiefs blew a decent sized lead. I'm certain the NFC had some games too.
 

Jimmy Higgins

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Oh boy! The AFC can go anywhere at this point.

Four teams can still take the top seed in the AFC, going into the final week. The Titans are the first in line with the Patriots needing the most help to take that Bye position. Also in the AFC, 8th and 11th place still can weasel into 7th place. 9th and 10th can't. It is almost certain tiebreakers will determine which seed multiple teams are. Patriots could play the third seed (based on a tiebreaker with Indianapolis based on average phase of moon for victories)... or get a Bye. I think anyone could play anyone else, given the right circumstances in the first round.

I think something weird could happen. If the Patriots win, and Tennessee and Kansas City lose, the Patriots get the First Seed, even if Buffalo wins the AFC East. The WashPo article doesn't say as much, but that seems to be what happens.

Scratch that. Top Conference Team is based on best division winner. Which would be odd, because the Patriots would have the tiebreaker, but not win the conference.
 

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I don't like this new system where only one team gets a bye, it's such a big advantage to give to only one team. Not just cuz Rams are sitting at 2, I can't see them winning at GB either way. Rams play SF next, a team they haven't beat in 5 games, so the 2 spot is not so secure. They've won 5 straight, but have some ugly wins in there. Stafford has been showing an untimely talent for the pick 6, been getting the yips near his end zone. He's thrown 4 this year, threw one last week. They did end up winning, as they did they the prior week despite 3 picks, which is I guess a good sign that they can overcome those TOs, but they were lucky to face Ravens not a full strength, and got some lucky big plays in both games. Stafford is also unhelpfully a slow starter in games, he plays best in 4th quarter which is nice, but would be better not to be digging such big holes.

Ravens still alive, but, both they and their next opponent Pittsburgh will need Colts to lose to Jaguars, along with other help, and that game is probably the biggest lock of the week or even year. Their games have the same start time.

Titans should get the top spot, but they are getting little respect from oddsmakers, being ranked below KC and Bills. Bengals also not much respect even though they are so hot right now. Chiefs are having trouble with Denver atm.

Chargers and Raiders get to play an elimination game Sunday night, because Chargers managed to get killed by Houston, and Raiders have salvaged a season that seemed over with a clutch win over the previously hot Colts.

Biggest surprise to me is to see that the Eagles are already in.
 

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Just started watching the KC game in time to see Denver on a drive into the red zone with the lead and then this happened.

 

Jimmy Higgins

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Patriots appear to be a one and done this playoff year, which is fine. Buffalo seems to be the most insane team of the season, the best team that can't manage to do crap on the field.

I will note the Patriots did get screwed with the no contact unnecessary roughing call. Yes, it would have been had contact been made. KC and Tennessee are the favorites in the AFC. If Buffalo ever decided to get going, they'd be a force too. The way this season has gone, who the heck knows. It'll be coaching and matchups.

The NFC seems a bit wider... and Dallas, who suck.
 

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Ravens still alive, but, both they and their next opponent Pittsburgh will need Colts to lose to Jaguars, along with other help, and that game is probably the biggest lock of the week or even year. Their games have the same start time.

lol, and that is why I don't bet on football. Very weird that a team with all the incentive to win, loses to a weaker team on paper who had incentive to lose. Jaguars had their cake and ate it though because Detroit also managed to win a game they had incentive to lose.

Chargers and Raiders get to play an elimination game Sunday night, because Chargers managed to get killed by Houston, and Raiders have salvaged a season that seemed over with a clutch win over the previously hot Colts.

Pittsburgh is as happy as the Raiders for winning, and not tying which they were in surprisingly high danger of, Raiders only breaking a tie in the last seconds of OT. It was another of those amazingly wild games that 2021 has been known for.

Both LA teams lost in OT. The Rams back into the playoffs with a choke job in the second half of a game they led 17-0. Stafford got off to a good start for a change but finished poorly, the game ending on an interception. McVay made some questionable decisions at the end that didn't help.

AZ backed in too, failing to take advantage of Rams loss.

Important note to bettors, I forgot to wear my lucky Rams shirt today, but I'll remember next time.
 

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Pittsburgh is as happy as the Raiders for winning, and not tying which they were in surprisingly high danger of, Raiders only breaking a tie in the last seconds of OT. It was another of those amazingly wild games that 2021 has been known for.
I watched that game but had to leave at end of regulation. What an amazing game. Checked things this morning to see what happened and see that the game was tied in overtime with 2 seconds remaining when the winning 47 yard field goas was kicked. Just a wacky and amazing finish to the regular season.
 

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11hours of football testing, I’m exhausted, particularly after watching the Chargers who insisted on doing things the very hard way.
 

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11hours of football testing, I’m exhausted, particularly after watching the Chargers who insisted on doing things the very hard way.
Yea, that was a frustrating game. They really need a right tackle and improvement on defense. Herbert will sign a massive massive contract next year.
 

Jimmy Higgins

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Mother of Jebus! Buffalo was playing with the cheat codes last night. They could have fumbled the ball and still manage to score a touchdown. Jones wasn't great, but his performance was notably better than his stats, and a number of drops. The one end zone interception will have an unknown impact on the course of that game. He doesn't pull off the crazy catch, Patriots likely get a TD and it is 7-7. Don't recall hearing Judon's name much.

Otherwise, Buffalo's great defense was on show last night. And they held the Patriots back, while their offense performed perfectly. Not certain how much was an indicator of the improvements the Pats need verses how good Buffalo is, but I've been of the mindset the Bills were the best team in the AFC all year, they just weren't playing like it at times.

Pats had a slow start to the year, performed better, made the playoffs, lost to a better team. Mac Jones shows promise, but we've seen one and done before, so time will tell. The Patriots spent a fortune which won't be available this summer, so they need to adapt and get better next year to make that spending worth it. I think maybe Belichick is finally not invincible coaching wise. He changed the NFL a bit and the NFL has caught up.

I'm happy, no Patriots fan should not be happy. Making the playoffs isn't a birthright, like it seemed to be for two decades. Making the playoffs means having a good year. Only four teams make it to the Conference Championship games. Only one wins the Super Bowl, and it is rarely the same team(s) every other year.
 

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No shockers yesterday. Pittsburgh to me was the most likely to pull an upset just because they are Pittsburgh, but KC eventually got things in gear. Dallas lost, but to me they always seemed misrepresented by their record (due to the that easy schedule). And the Bucs beat the Eagles. One more game I think. Cards and Rams in one of the most absurd opening Wild Card matchups you can have.
 

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I wasn't shocked or really surprised by the Cowboys loss, but I don't think they were necessarily overrated that much going in. In many respects they did well in the game, but 14 penalties! Aargh! That's lack of coaching. Also the fiasco at the end, with Dak rushing for 10 yards with 14 seconds left on the clock. Poor coaching.
 

Jimmy Higgins

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I wasn't shocked or really surprised by the Cowboys loss, but I don't think they were necessarily overrated that much going in. In many respects they did well in the game, but 14 penalties! Aargh! That's lack of coaching. Also the fiasco at the end, with Dak rushing for 10 yards with 14 seconds left on the clock. Poor coaching.
Yeah, the clock is running down, the run is a bad idea. And you don't spike it, you have to run a play!
 

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I wasn't shocked or really surprised by the Cowboys loss, but I don't think they were necessarily overrated that much going in. In many respects they did well in the game, but 14 penalties! Aargh! That's lack of coaching. Also the fiasco at the end, with Dak rushing for 10 yards with 14 seconds left on the clock. Poor coaching.
Yeah, the clock is running down, the run is a bad idea. And you don't spike it, you have to run a play!
You hand the ball to the ref, not to your center.
 

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Kyler Murray looks like a mouse on speed, and not in a good way. I’d never seen a QB throw the ball like a grenade. Easy pick six.
 

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Kyler Murray looks like a mouse on speed, and not in a good way. I’d never seen a QB throw the ball like a grenade. Easy pick six.
Good football over the weekend. But it was all chalk. No surprises. I give up football this time of year to ski unless my favorite teams (Ducks, Seahawks, Chargers) are playing; and they are all toast! To me, the best looking team so far is Buffalo; although Rams were very impressive yesterday.
 

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I wasn't shocked or really surprised by the Cowboys loss, but I don't think they were necessarily overrated that much going in. In many respects they did well in the game, but 14 penalties! Aargh! That's lack of coaching. Also the fiasco at the end, with Dak rushing for 10 yards with 14 seconds left on the clock. Poor coaching.
Yeah, the clock is running down, the run is a bad idea. And you don't spike it, you have to run a play!
You hand the ball to the ref, not to your center.
But they practiced handing it to the Center... so clearly he can do the job. :D

Had they run a play, they might have been able to have a chance. Attempting to kill the clock should never be the last play of a game!
 

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Kyler Murray looks like a mouse on speed, and not in a good way. I’d never seen a QB throw the ball like a grenade. Easy pick six.

He's not alone this year in qbs melting down trying to avoid a safety.

Murray.



Stafford, from that same cursed end zone, and as good as a pick 6.



A week earlier, Wentz, trying it left handed.


Learned this is not new for Stafford. He has thrown at least 3 in 7 seasons. He's the leading active player with 27, closing in on Favre's record of 31. Manning and Brees are up there too, but Stafford's going at a much faster rate. Brady has 18 for comparison.

Stafford has great physical talent, it's decision making that's his problem. When he avoids bad choices he wins, like on Monday, because he can put the ball where he wants anywhere on the field.

Someone who can't, or doesn't try to, is Jalen Hurts, who gave the worst playoff performance I have seen by a qb. Has he never heard of leading a receiver? All his passes are as to a stationary target.

The Bills beatdown of NE must have been very satisfying, and they did not hold back, throwing bombs with a big lead. Not as satisfying if Brady were there, but maybe they'll get that chance in a few weeks.

Very attractive looking matchups next round. Hopefully, won't be another weekend of blowouts.
 

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I went 4 for 5 last weekend, forgot about predicting the Monday night game. Based on the lack of competitiveness in most games, the NFL hasn’t done fans any favors with the new 7 team each conference format.

And the newish rules for kick-offs are just silly. If I ran the NFL:

1. If the kicked ball lands before the end zone it has to be fielded, it’s a fully live ball, just like on an on-sides kick. Anything else is just lazy and confusing and not consistent with other aspects of the kicking game.

2. If it lands in the field and then bounces into the endzone, the receiving team has to field the fully live ball and there is no taking a knee to down it. If tackled in the endzone it is a safety. If the ball bounces out the back it is a safety. Don’t reward the receiving team for not fielding the ball, for just letting it go and hoping or letting it bounce out the back.

3. If it lands in and stays in the endzone it can be downed for ball on the 20 or run out. But it’s a live ball, if receiving team can’t manage to get a player to down it, then the kicking team can recover for 7, just like on an on-sides kick.

4. If it lands in the endzone and bounces out the back it’s a safety. The receiving team has to actually do something.

5. Kicked ball clears the field, receiving team gets the ball on the 20.

Back to this round, should all be great games based on match ups:

Bengals over Titans
49ers over Packers
Rams over Bucs
Bills over Chiefs
 

Harry Bosch

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I went 4 for 5 last weekend, forgot about predicting the Monday night game. Based on the lack of competitiveness in most games, the NFL hasn’t done fans any favors with the new 7 team each conference format.

And the newish rules for kick-offs are just silly. If I ran the NFL:

1. If the kicked ball lands before the end zone it has to be fielded, it’s a fully live ball, just like on an on-sides kick. Anything else is just lazy and confusing and not consistent with other aspects of the kicking game.

2. If it lands in the field and then bounces into the endzone, the receiving team has to field the fully live ball and there is no taking a knee to down it. If tackled in the endzone it is a safety. If the ball bounces out the back it is a safety. Don’t reward the receiving team for not fielding the ball, for just letting it go and hoping or letting it bounce out the back.

3. If it lands in and stays in the endzone it can be downed for ball on the 20 or run out. But it’s a live ball, if receiving team can’t manage to get a player to down it, then the kicking team can recover for 7, just like on an on-sides kick.

4. If it lands in the endzone and bounces out the back it’s a safety. The receiving team has to actually do something.

5. Kicked ball clears the field, receiving team gets the ball on the 20.

Back to this round, should all be great games based on match ups:

Bengals over Titans
49ers over Packers
Rams over Bucs
Bills over Chiefs
Dang! You are predicting all the underdogs to win! I agree that Rams will beat the Bucs. But Bengals and 49ers winning would be quite an upset. Bills and Chiefs will be a great game. Two best teams in the NFL imo.
 

hyzer

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I went 4 for 5 last weekend, forgot about predicting the Monday night game. Based on the lack of competitiveness in most games, the NFL hasn’t done fans any favors with the new 7 team each conference format.

And the newish rules for kick-offs are just silly. If I ran the NFL:

1. If the kicked ball lands before the end zone it has to be fielded, it’s a fully live ball, just like on an on-sides kick. Anything else is just lazy and confusing and not consistent with other aspects of the kicking game.

2. If it lands in the field and then bounces into the endzone, the receiving team has to field the fully live ball and there is no taking a knee to down it. If tackled in the endzone it is a safety. If the ball bounces out the back it is a safety. Don’t reward the receiving team for not fielding the ball, for just letting it go and hoping or letting it bounce out the back.

3. If it lands in and stays in the endzone it can be downed for ball on the 20 or run out. But it’s a live ball, if receiving team can’t manage to get a player to down it, then the kicking team can recover for 7, just like on an on-sides kick.

4. If it lands in the endzone and bounces out the back it’s a safety. The receiving team has to actually do something.

5. Kicked ball clears the field, receiving team gets the ball on the 20.

Back to this round, should all be great games based on match ups:

Bengals over Titans
49ers over Packers
Rams over Bucs
Bills over Chiefs
Dang! You are predicting all the underdogs to win! I agree that Rams will beat the Bucs. But Bengals and 49ers winning would be quite an upset. Bills and Chiefs will be a great game. Two best teams in the NFL imo.
Yup, I know, all upsets. And the odds are well against, but there ya go. I don't bet, but get a small golly out of making predictions here.
 

Harry Bosch

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I went 4 for 5 last weekend, forgot about predicting the Monday night game. Based on the lack of competitiveness in most games, the NFL hasn’t done fans any favors with the new 7 team each conference format.

And the newish rules for kick-offs are just silly. If I ran the NFL:

1. If the kicked ball lands before the end zone it has to be fielded, it’s a fully live ball, just like on an on-sides kick. Anything else is just lazy and confusing and not consistent with other aspects of the kicking game.

2. If it lands in the field and then bounces into the endzone, the receiving team has to field the fully live ball and there is no taking a knee to down it. If tackled in the endzone it is a safety. If the ball bounces out the back it is a safety. Don’t reward the receiving team for not fielding the ball, for just letting it go and hoping or letting it bounce out the back.

3. If it lands in and stays in the endzone it can be downed for ball on the 20 or run out. But it’s a live ball, if receiving team can’t manage to get a player to down it, then the kicking team can recover for 7, just like on an on-sides kick.

4. If it lands in the endzone and bounces out the back it’s a safety. The receiving team has to actually do something.

5. Kicked ball clears the field, receiving team gets the ball on the 20.

Back to this round, should all be great games based on match ups:

Bengals over Titans
49ers over Packers
Rams over Bucs
Bills over Chiefs
Dang! You are predicting all the underdogs to win! I agree that Rams will beat the Bucs. But Bengals and 49ers winning would be quite an upset. Bills and Chiefs will be a great game. Two best teams in the NFL imo.
Yup, I know, all upsets. And the odds are well against, but there ya go. I don't bet, but get a small golly out of making predictions here.
You're 1-0 so far amigo! Great game by the Bengals. Quite an upset.
 

blastula

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Competitive start to the week. TN is so good in a lot of areas, but the qb let them down. Burrow gets sacked 8 times but gets right back up unfazed, unhesitant.

Don't know who to root for in the late game, Rams have problems with both of them, and maybe more with SF, even at home. Hate that fucker, Samuel.

Before that, Rams deserve to be the underdog to TB, who have the advantage on offense and defense. Best shot may be big plays from special teams.
 

hyzer

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Thoughts and Predictions

I went 4 for 5 last weekend, forgot about predicting the Monday night game. Based on the lack of competitiveness in most games, the NFL hasn’t done fans any favors with the new 7 team each conference format.

And the newish rules for kick-offs are just silly. If I ran the NFL:

1. If the kicked ball lands before the end zone it has to be fielded, it’s a fully live ball, just like on an on-sides kick. Anything else is just lazy and confusing and not consistent with other aspects of the kicking game.

2. If it lands in the field and then bounces into the endzone, the receiving team has to field the fully live ball and there is no taking a knee to down it. If tackled in the endzone it is a safety. If the ball bounces out the back it is a safety. Don’t reward the receiving team for not fielding the ball, for just letting it go and hoping or letting it bounce out the back.

3. If it lands in and stays in the endzone it can be downed for ball on the 20 or run out. But it’s a live ball, if receiving team can’t manage to get a player to down it, then the kicking team can recover for 7, just like on an on-sides kick.

4. If it lands in the endzone and bounces out the back it’s a safety. The receiving team has to actually do something.

5. Kicked ball clears the field, receiving team gets the ball on the 20.

Back to this round, should all be great games based on match ups:

Bengals over Titans
49ers over Packers
Rams over Bucs
Bills over Chiefs
Dang! You are predicting all the underdogs to win! I agree that Rams will beat the Bucs. But Bengals and 49ers winning would be quite an upset. Bills and Chiefs will be a great game. Two best teams in the NFL imo.
Yup, I know, all upsets. And the odds are well against, but there ya go. I don't bet, but get a small golly out of making predictions here.
You're 1-0 so far amigo! Great game by the Bengals. Quite an upset.
2-0 with two upsets! Not much offense in either game, lots of great defense, and the FG kickers per perfect despite the cold. Surely there will be offense today. Looking forward to the games.
 

blastula

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ANOTHER last second field goal FTW!

:cheer: :cheer: :cheer: :cheer: :cheer: :cheer:
 
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