So if the House does pass articles of impeachment, what do you think will happen at the Senate?
Republicans will be forced to go on record and in public trying to deny every particle of smoke coming from the numerous guns that will be placed in front of the American people again and again and again and again.
They are doing that now, of course, but in bits and pieces, where it can easily be ignored. Impeachment proceedings are a huge media circus that take center stage. Any gaff or fuck up or admission gets ripped apart like chum to sharks.
And since the stakes are
finally the highest possible, more people pay attention to them.
There will be a LOT of fringe noise, of course, to hide it all and downplay it all and distract from it all and confuse it all--and that will be a pain in the ass and much ado about nothing--but as we saw in similar instances of noise over substance, through all of that smoke a majority of Americans will get the truth.
But more importantly, of course, will be the impact on the republican (small "r"; voters) and right-leaning independents who are already abandoning Trump. In the
most recent YouGov poll regarding whether or not respondents support impeachment if Trump did what we now have incontrovertible proof that he did,
32% of republicans support impeachment! That's right now. On top of that, there's a total of an additional 27% who are on the fence.
Iow, a total of
59% of
republican voters will be watching and paying attention and sitting on the fences, etc.
Among indies, it's even higher. A total of
78%. And since they make up the
largest voting bloc, that's even worse for Trump.
ALL of which translates into the Republicans (big "r"; ratfuckers) in the Senate--particularly those looking at re-election and still fearing what happened in 2018 happening to them--facing 59% fence sitters in their own party and 78% among indies. That's not just a huge risk to take in close-race states, that's a huge risk to take in full-bore red states.
Which in turn means they will have to take more and more ludicrous positions to apologize for Trump's clearly guilty behavior/actions making them even more transparently full of shit in the eyes of those 59 and 78 percenters in their states.
Right now, the prevalent spin--that it was "bad judgement" but doesn't rise to the level of impeachment--
is already conceding Trump is guilty.
That's where we stand now and the process hasn't even begun yet, with Trump's side already conceding he committed the crime, just that it's not all that big of a deal in and of itself and it's bad, but, hey, just smack his hand, right?
So the die is already cast. It now becomes whether or not he fights it or resigns. And the level of defeatism that was evident in his rambling UN speech argues for resignation, but of course, he's hell bent on crashing his car.