Fair dinkum thinkum
- Mar 7, 2007
- Basic Beliefs
- Strong Atheist
I doubt that it was "always about" anything it's currently about; Putin's objective back in February was to defeat and occupy Ukraine as a whole, using his vastly superior army to crush Ukraine like a bug, sending a clear message of Russian dominance in the region of the former Soviet Union (maybe the entire former Warsaw Pact) to NATO, and (more importantly) to anyone in those regions who might be interested in freedom from Russian influence.I’m very curious about their actions. Is it as simmple as admitting publicly that it was never about Donetsk and Luhansk, but was always about the land route to Crimea?
This narrative was widely accepted as truth, even in the West - Zelensky was even offered evacuation and asylum in the face of this expected defeat by that overwhelming Russian power.
All Putin needed was a short, victorious war.
The "liberation" of Donetsk and Luhansk would have been a side effect of the total defeat of Ukraine, and a fig-leaf on its otherwise undeniable illegality.
Since the abject failure of the Russian military to come anywhere close to their much vaunted and widely accepted regional invincibility, Putin's goals have repeatedly been watered down, and adjusted to better reflect the very limited abilities his military has been revealed to have. How far down the list hit goes depends on how much worse it gets for his army on the ground.
All of Eastern and Southern Ukraine
Donetsk and Luhansk, Crimea, and the lands in between
Crimea, and a land bridge to Russia
Survival of the Putin regime in Russia
Survival of Putin