Accoding to this guy, we're fucked.
Original: https://cmarmitage.substack.com/p/i-researched-every-attempt-to-stop
I hadn't done the study of history he did but I already reached the same conclusion. Just look at the world--rebellions against local powers are either basically bloodless (people are so unhappy that when the pitchforks show up nobody acts against them), or extremely bloody and if the rebels prevail the result is always very bad. (Note the local power bit--bloody battles against colonial powers are not certain to have bad outcomes.) There's still too much popular support for a bloodless coup unless it was done from within (federal authorities that realize where their true duty lies), and any other scenario we lose no matter what.