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The Race For 2024

In PA, black males 79% to 52%. Latinos are too small in the samples for statistical breakdown.
bilby said:
Jimmy Higgins said:
I called most of the races correctly in 2020.
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Well done; Have a lollipop.
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Where is my fucking loli! ;)

But still, 2020, 2016, 2012... using Exit Polls with gender is very reliable.
bilby said:
Jimmy Higgins said:
So no, you are not correct.
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That remains to be seen. The first actual counts of votes from AZ are almost an hour away. Calling it now is premature; Calling a coin toss while the coin is in the air might easily give you the right answer, but that doesn't justify the prediction.
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No it isn't. It's math. You'd think it wasn't, but it really is. Exit polling manages to sample the exact right portion of the population.

Trust me, I'll use the loli to serve up some crow happily to see a 270 to 268 victory for Harris in the morning.
 
Jimmy Higgins said:
In PA, black males 79% to 52%. Latinos are too small in the samples for statistical breakdown.
bilby said:
Jimmy Higgins said:
I called most of the races correctly in 2020.
Click to expand...
Well done; Have a lollipop.
Click to expand...
Where is my fucking loli! ;)

But still, 2020, 2016, 2012... using Exit Polls with gender is very reliable.
bilby said:
Jimmy Higgins said:
So no, you are not correct.
Click to expand...
That remains to be seen. The first actual counts of votes from AZ are almost an hour away. Calling it now is premature; Calling a coin toss while the coin is in the air might easily give you the right answer, but that doesn't justify the prediction.
Click to expand...
No it isn't. It's math. You'd think it wasn't, but it really is. Exit polling manages to sample the exact right portion of the population.
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Managed. Past tense.

Exit polling doesn't capture votes not cast on the day. Of which there are now far more than in the past - and they tend to lean blue.
Jimmy Higgins said:
Trust me, I'll use the loli to serve up some crow happily to see a 270 to 268 victory for Harris in the morning.
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Brave of you to think the result will be known in the morning.
 
bilby said:
Managed. Past tense.

Exit polling doesn't capture votes not cast on the day.
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I've got to imagine that yes, they do. Otherwise, like in 2020, Ohio would have shown Trump winning by 20 pts due to the liberals using early voting and mail-in.
bilby said:
Of which there are now far more than in the past - and they tend to lean blue.
Jimmy Higgins said:
Trust me, I'll use the loli to serve up some crow happily to see a 270 to 268 victory for Harris in the morning.
Click to expand...
Brave of you to think the result will be known in the morning.
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It'd be the first election since 2000 that we didn't know.
 
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It’s a clusterfuck as predicted.
it doesn’t look good to me.
 
So poll wise, the polls seemed to get Trump better this year, at least some of them. Got Harris right to. So a win for them.
 
All trending strongly in Trump's direction. The only positive I can see is Trump winning the popular vote will reduce the violence.

All the fucking idiot talking heads regarding the cats and dogs, John Kelly calling him a fascist, Trump dancing to music, picking J.D. Vance, hanging out with Laura Loomer means he was running a bad campaign were incredibly naive. This is the stuff his base loves him for. They would give their life willingly for a fascist state and they are in extreme escastcy on the eve of their dream. They want Trump to murder the libs, deport the browns and blacks, and turn the USA into a theocracy. The American people are in no way good or decent, and Trump was the first politician to really understand that and exploit it.

I've never been a gun owner nor particularly like guns but I will certainly be buying some AR 15s tomorrow for protection.
 

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The bare thin thread of hope... in the Exit Polls:
Trump is up in PA by 0.01% We are close to Florida 2000 there.
Trump is up in MI by 0.06%.
Harris is up in WI by 1.2%

So bilby probably isn't completely wrong about this not being done yet. 0.01% is tiny and 0.06% is also very small. For polling, that is well within the margin of error. So who knows. But right now, nothing else is looking good. Trump managed to get a lot more black men to vote for him than last time. And of course, the whites were all-in on Trump. Though white women were better this time around.
 
Axulus said:
All trending strongly in Trump's direction. The only positive I can see is Trump winning the popular vote will reduce the violence.
All the fucking idiot talking heads regarding the cats and dogs, John Kelly calling him a fascist, Trump dancing to music, picking J.D. Vance, hanging out with Laura Loomer means he was running a bad campaign were incredibly naive.
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The problem is that Kamala also ran a very bad campaign. We had two bad candidates run against each other.
 
Jason Harvestdancer said:
Elixir said:
It’s a clusterfuck as predicted.
it doesn’t look good to me.
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What do you mean? It looks like your guy is humiliating Kamala.
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It's okay to not be an obnoxious cunt every once in a while. And your messiah Trump is more of a warmonger than Harris and Biden and Obama combined.

Cry on that.
 
Patooka said:
Jason Harvestdancer said:
Elixir said:
It’s a clusterfuck as predicted.
it doesn’t look good to me.
Click to expand...
What do you mean? It looks like your guy is humiliating Kamala.
Click to expand...
It's okay to not be an obnoxious cunt every once in a while. And your messiah Trump is more of a warmonger than Harris and Biden and Obama combined.

Cry on that.
Click to expand...
Not my messiah, Elixir's messiah.

Think about it. I have actively criticized Trump on Nawar Al-Awlaki. I was taking a break while he came up with his absurd tariff proposals, but I do say they are absurd.

Elixir's best criticism of Trump is "I don't like him, he's an orange fascist". It is almost as if he can't actually come up with a criticism of Trump. Think about it.
 
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Shadowy Man said:
bilby said:
Shadowy Man said:
ZiprHead said:
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Poor color choice. I was confused at first.
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Someone made a poor colour choice, but it was the US of A, not the Europeans. The left wing is always coloured in red, and the right wing in blue.

Just as temperatures are always measured in Celcius, and distances in Metres...

:diablotin:
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And if they were showing results from a European election i would concede that point.
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They are showing results from a European poll.
 
bilby said:
Shadowy Man said:
bilby said:
Shadowy Man said:
ZiprHead said:
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Poor color choice. I was confused at first.
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Someone made a poor colour choice, but it was the US of A, not the Europeans. The left wing is always coloured in red, and the right wing in blue.

Just as temperatures are always measured in Celcius, and distances in Metres...

:diablotin:
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And if they were showing results from a European election i would concede that point.
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They are showing results from a European poll.
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Of a theoretical American election.

All I am saying is that upon first glance it didn’t show what thought it was trying to show.

Not really worth bickering over. I hope you got my point.
 
Jason Harvestdancer said:
Patooka said:
Jason Harvestdancer said:
Elixir said:
It’s a clusterfuck as predicted.
it doesn’t look good to me.
Click to expand...
What do you mean? It looks like your guy is humiliating Kamala.
Click to expand...
It's okay to not be an obnoxious cunt every once in a while. And your messiah Trump is more of a warmonger than Harris and Biden and Obama combined.

Cry on that.
Click to expand...
Not my messiah, Elixir's messiah.

Think about it. I have actively criticized Trump on Nawar Al-Awlaki. I was taking a break while he came up with his absurd tariff proposals, but I do say they are absurd.

Elixir's best criticism of Trump is "I don't like him, he's an orange fascist". It is almost as if he can't actually come up with a criticism of Trump. Think about it.
Click to expand...
A - Your messiah. I'm very sorry but you aren't fooling anyone
B - Trump loves fascism. Democrats don't. I'm very sorry this is difficult for you.
 
Patooka said:
Jason Harvestdancer said:
Patooka said:
Jason Harvestdancer said:
Elixir said:
It’s a clusterfuck as predicted.
it doesn’t look good to me.
Click to expand...
What do you mean? It looks like your guy is humiliating Kamala.
Click to expand...
It's okay to not be an obnoxious cunt every once in a while. And your messiah Trump is more of a warmonger than Harris and Biden and Obama combined.

Cry on that.
Click to expand...
Not my messiah, Elixir's messiah.

Think about it. I have actively criticized Trump on Nawar Al-Awlaki. I was taking a break while he came up with his absurd tariff proposals, but I do say they are absurd.

Elixir's best criticism of Trump is "I don't like him, he's an orange fascist". It is almost as if he can't actually come up with a criticism of Trump. Think about it.
Click to expand...
A - Your messiah. I'm very sorry but you aren't fooling anyone
B - Trump loves fascism. Democrats don't. I'm very sorry this is difficult for you.
Click to expand...
A - Your messiah. I'm very sorry but you aren't fooling anyone.
B - Your messiah loves fascism. So do Democrats. I'm very sorry this is difficult for you.
 
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