I live in a town of about 25 or 30K people and it's very urban in parts. By that, I mean, we have a walkable downtown with lost of restaurants, and condos, apartments and houses within walking distance to it. It's the county seat, so there's a fairly large courthouse downtown and all kinds of other public buildings as well as quaint family owned stores and small businesses, as well as a theatre, a ballet company and I think there is still an opera house. To me, that's pretty urban. It's not so much the size as it is the make up and the demographics. Our small urban area is very diverse, racially and economically. Still, there are plenty of conservatives in the urban areas, just like there are in every urban area I've ever lived in including New Jersey.
I live within the city limits, but I consider my neighborhood to be suburban. We are a bit too far to walk downtown and the nearest stores are about two miles from here. The houses are on lots that are mostly over 1/3 acre but less than an acre.
If you drive a few miles from me, you enter what is now called exurban, meaning it's kind of rural in some ways but less than 50 miles from a good size city. Go a little bit further out and you're in a rural area, where most people live in lots that contain many acres and the only thing that might be close by is a Family Dollar store, churches and sometimes a small bank, gas station etc.
If it counts, my little city is right outside of the edge of what is considered Atlanta metro. It's grown and changed considerably over the 25 years that I've lived here. It seems far more urban now compared to when we moved here.
That's my perspective on urban, suburban etc. regardless of the definitions.
But, while there are more conservatives in rural areas, there are plenty of them in urban and suburban areas as well. A lot is going to depend on voter turnout next year. Too many people won't vote unless they are very excited about a candidate. Some will vote third party because they are.....let's just say idiots.
There's the same dumb excuses like "my vote doesn't count" "I don't know enough about the candidates" One former young coworker told me that once. I told her, just vote straight Democrat if you don't know them. You're young, Black and hardly making any money. You're not going to be helped by the Republicans. She agreed. I also worked with a white woman who was in her 80s and who lived in a very small town, who told me that she always voted for the Democratsbecause the Republican Party was the party for the wealthy and the Democratic Party was the party for everyone else. Still, many of my former patients who were in their 90s and dependent on SS and Medicare, voted for Trump in 2016. Go figure. A lot of people vote against their own self interests and/or just followed in the footsteps of their parents without giving voting much thought. And, of course, Trump is the great manipulator, who managed to get poor and lower middle class white people to vote for him by falsely telling him that he cared for. them, and those commie liberal elites were looking down on them......don't get me started.